1. The rise of populism and its impact on trade October 2016

2. Gentle trade – the civilising force

3. The biggest threat to the Global Economy

4. Decline in trade
13.8% fall in cross border trade in 2015

5. Fear of Immigrants is understandable
Territorial is normal in nature
Eusocial is rare in nature

6. Our inner conflict Eusocial, behaves like a bee
Territorial, like a hunter gatherer

7. 1990s - the EU pushes Russia back

8. 2010s – Russia pushes back against the EU
“The EU refused Christianity,
and that is why the EU
will be destroyed”
Konstantin Malofeev, predicting
that Brexit will trigger
the destruction of the EU.
Financial Times 24 May 2016

9. The fragmenting world is coming

10. Who will control the fragmented world?
The West (Ethnic Europeans)
EU 500m
USA 316m
Canada 35m
Australia 23m
New Zealand 4m
Total Europeans 878m
Asians
China 1,357m
India 1,252m
Indonesia 250m
Japan m
Vietnam 90m
South Korea 50m
Total Asians 3,126m

11. South China Sea

12. Not much trade now

13. Future history book? The Romans, 201BC to 476AD
The Europeans, 1492AD to 2025AD

14. Let’s speak up for trade

15. Reading Recommendations
Steven Pinker – The Better Angels of our Nature
Gideon Rachman – Easternisation
Peter Frankopan – Silk Roads
Edward O Wilson – The Social Conquest of Earth
Alexander Watson – Ring of Steel