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Statistical Orkney Luke Fraser Housing Manager (Policy & Planning)

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Presentation on theme: "Statistical Orkney Luke Fraser Housing Manager (Policy & Planning)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Statistical Orkney Luke Fraser Housing Manager (Policy & Planning)
Orkney Islands Council

2 Orkney’s 5 Super Datazones
The Scottish Government’s 2011 datazones are used as a baseline This limits our ability to be exact with boundaries However, as lots of data is available by datazone super-datazones are the easiest way to produce robust figures on a sub-Orkney level

3

4 Demographics

5 Population Projection 1981 - 2039
Source: NRS

6 2001 and 2011 Census Comparison – 0 - 74
University age Huge increase in over 40’s Source: NRS

7 2021 Projection – 0 -74 Increase has shifted to over 50’s Source: NRS

8 70 – 90+ Population 2001, 2011 & 2021

9 Population Projection 1981 – 2019 0 – 29
Source: NRS

10 Population Projection 1981 – 2038 30 - 59
Source: NRS

11 Population Projection 1981 – 2036 60 – 90+
Source: NRS

12 Dependency ratio

13 Natural Change Source: NRS

14 Orkney Net Migration – 1981 - 2038
Source: NRS

15 Births by Mother’s Postcode 2004 – 2015
St Andrew’s catchment area has seen significant growth This is also true for the new housing areas around Glaitness Primary school, particularly the low cost home ownership housing in the area There is a similar pattern in the Council built housing around Papdale, Meadowbank and Buttquoy. Lots of cheaper to buy ex-Council stock, social rented properties and private lets Source: NRS

16 Isles and Mainland Populations 1961 - 2011
Source: Scotland’s Census

17 Larger Isles Population 1961 - 2011
Source: Scotland’s Census

18 Smaller Isles Population 1961 - 2011
Source: Scotland’s Census

19 Age Structure by Island 2011 0 to 44
Source: Scotland’s Census

20 Age Structure by Island 2011 0 to 44
Source: Scotland’s Census

21 Small Area Population Projections
Source: NRS

22 Income & Employment

23 Unemployment by Area – 2004 - 2017
Source: NOMIS

24 Economic Activity Rates 16 - 64
Source: NOMIS

25 Jobs Density – Source: NOMIS

26 Unemployment Benefits Claimants by age – Average between 2013 &2016

27 Gross Value Added Per Head

28 Total Gross Value Added

29 GVA Agriculture, forestry and fishing

30 GVA Construction

31 Average Household Income 2017
Area Households Mean Income Lower Quartile Upper Quartile % of UK average Kirkwall 3,779 £32,723.25 £16,249.06 £43,403.52 84.21% Stromness 1,098 £33,820.96 £16,932.70 £44,831.09 87.04% West Mainland 2,321 £36,780.15 £18,979.66 £48,770.63 94.65% East Mainland 1,684 £37,210.07 £19,145.43 £49,460.05 95.76% Isles 1,382 £25,302.99 £12,434.82 £33,519.05 65.12% Orkney 10,264 £33,426.27 £16,858.01 £44,342.49 86.02% Scotland 2,465,346 £36,139.00 £15,553.00 £48,165.00 93.00% United Kingdom 28,030,952 £38,720.00 £16,958.00 £51,808.00 100.00% Data provided by CACI PayCheck under license

32 Average Household Disposable Income

33 Additional Living Costs by Household Type and Area
Source: A Minimum Income Standard: For Remote Rural Scotland. HIE

34 Energy & Fuel Poverty

35 Average Household Electricity Usage 2015
We expected rural areas to have lower usage due to higher levels of oil central heating Higher usage in Kirkwall makes sense due to prevalence of electrical heating & more modern housing Income appears to be a factor Area Electricity Use (Kw/h) Kirkwall Stromness West Mainland East Mainland Isles

36 Average Annual Electricity Usage 2015
CACI PayCheck Household Incomes 2015

37 Fuel Poverty Levels by Super Datazone 2016
Highest in the Isles Higher incomes in East and West Mainland areas helps

38 Heating Sources

39 Electricity Costs & Payment Method

40 Energy Provider

41 Oil Prices

42 Housing Market

43 Average House Prices – 2003/04 – 2017/18
Between 2007 and 2016 the average first time buyer purchase price was £109,167, while the average existing home owner purchase price was £135,898

44 House Sales Volume – 2003/04 – 2016/17

45 House Price by Area –

46 Sales Volume by Area –

47 House Sales by Purchaser Origin 2007 - 2014
Purchaser origin Area Total Same area Elsewhere in Orkney Outside Orkney Unknown Kirkwall 932 49.79% 33.15% 9.01% 8.05% Stromness 266 47.74% 26.69% 19.17% 6.39% West Mainland 472 19.49% 39.83% 29.24% 11.44% East Mainland 489 10.22% 60.74% 18.00% 11.04% Isles 396 19.44% 23.23% 38.13% 19.19% Orkney 2,555 29.34% 36.73% 22.71% 11.22%

48 Private Sector House Completions - 2009/10 - 2016/17


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