1. FLOOD FORECASTING IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING IN REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA Regional Workshop on Hydrological Forecasting and Real Time Data Management 11-13 May 2009, Dubrovnik, CROATIA Vasko STOJOV (vasko@meteo.gov.mk) Nikola PETRESKI, Boza KOSTADINOVSKA HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE – MACEDONIA

2. ... Since absolute flood protection is almost impossible, flood forecasting is the only chance to avoid catastrophe.

3. Introduction LOCATION

4. Relief-Map

5. Map of the main catchments Aegean See Adriatic See Black See

6. Climatic conditions - In the higher regions of the country exist mountainous climate with various subtypes; -In the other parts is changing from continental to variable continental; -In the river Vardar valley and in the lower parts of some tributaries exist Sub- Mediterranean climate.

7. Flood Forecasting Activities Collection and processing of Hydrometeorological data Analysing meteorological products; Receiving Weather Forecast; Analysing hydrological data; Water Forecast; Hydrological Information and Alarming.

8. Meteorological Data Needs of new automatic stations especially in the mountainous regions Collection and processing of

9. Hydrological Data Needs of new automatic stations especially in the mountainous regions Collection and processing of

10. Analysing meteorological products Satellite Maps -EUMETSAT; Internet Maps -Wetterzentrale; -Meteo Blue; NMM Maps; -temperature; -air pressure; -precipitation; -wind direction; -cloud cover Forecast Meteograms.

11. Receiving weather forecast and alarming

12. Hydrological Analysing Hydrological Data;

13. Flood forecasting of the upper catchment of the r.Vardar Hydrological Station Info Hydrological Station Rain Gauge Station

14. Graph-analytical method for Flood Forecasting Estimation of average precipitation for relevant catchments;

15. Graph-analytical method

17. Hydrological Information and Alarming Centre for Crisis; Centre for informing and alarming; Relevant Ministries; Public and Media

18. What is reality With our NMM model, weather forecast is on very high level; METEO ALARM give public information about bad weather situations; but for better water forecast we need modernization of our hydrological network, raingauge system and update of our hydrological forecast model.

19. Flash Floods is our reality

20. Flash Floods is our reality (05.10.2008)

23. Salvador Dali Have no fear of perfection –youll never reach it

24. We know we are not perfect, but also we are not fear to keep on trying Vasko Stojov

25. Thank you for your attention