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Faith's Comeback? The Demographic Revival of Religion in Western Europe Eric Kaufmann Birkbeck College, University of London
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Decline of Liberal Protestants
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Conclusion Northwest Europe (and probably all of western Europe) will likely be more religious in 2100 than in 2000 on current trends because: Secularisation rates have slowed dramatically, to the point of stalling Religious women have 10-20% higher fertility, all else equal Non-European immigrants are far more religious Muslim immigrants retain their religiosity
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Religious people are more conservative, and more conservative people vote for right-wing parties, BUT immigrants vote for left-wing parties Thus much will depend on how parties – especially conservative ones - position their strategy vis a vis religious immigrants Ethnic cleavage (Europe) v Religious cleavage (USA)?
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