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Greenbacks and Green Technology
Natalie Brown Kshithij Shrinath Kenyon Smutherman
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The Flag Game $74000 $9300 552 kWh 259 kWh $1400 2400 kWh
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How does a country’s level of economic development affect its renewable energy production?
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Hypotheses Linear Inverse U-shaped U-shaped
Developing countries produce more U-shaped Developing countries produce less
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Background Information
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Attractiveness of renewable energy
Low/middle-income - vulnerability to climate change High-income - energy stability Oil price increases and volatility Supply-side factors
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Problems with renewable energy
Benefits difficult to quantify High fixed and initial capital costs Urbanizing countries tend toward fossil fuels Financing mechanisms unavailable in low-income and middle-income countries High-income countries entrenched in fossil fuels US $41 billion in subsidies to oil and gas
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Data and Methodology
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Variables From the World Development Indicators
Independent variable: log GDP per capita (PPP) in constant 2005 US$ Dependent variable: electricity produced from renewable sources (kWh) per capita (includes nuclear) 1990 to 2009 2519 observations from 131 countries
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Descriptive Data
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Regressions Simple regression Country and year fixed-effects
Geography – land area, forest area, agricultural land Population – density, rural percentage Trade – imports/exports Political indicators - European Union, OECD, regime type
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Note the coefficients
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Conclusions from Data Linear and U-shaped hypotheses significant at 1% level throughout all models Linear more correct from descriptive data U-shape only in underdeveloped category Developed countries significantly outpace others Developing similar level to underdeveloped
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Relevant cases
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The way forward Renewable energy is a normal good
Fairly intuitive Underdeveloped and developing countries in trouble 33% of greenhouse gas usage, 75% of damage Adaptation more practical than mitigation Internalize the social costs of fossil fuels and social benefits of renewable energy Correct the externality
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We Are (Intercultural and Environmentally Conscious) Georgetown!
Thank you! We Are (Intercultural and Environmentally Conscious) Georgetown!
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