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Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Fall 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 10: :50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. Welcome
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Lecturer’s desk Projection Booth Screen Screen Harvill 150 renumbered
Row A 15 14 Row A 13 3 2 1 Row A Row B 23 20 Row B 19 5 4 3 2 1 Row B Row C 25 21 Row C 20 6 5 1 Row C Row D 29 23 Row D 22 8 7 1 Row D Row E 31 23 Row E 23 9 8 1 Row E Row F 35 26 Row F 25 11 10 1 Row F Row G 35 26 Row G 25 11 10 1 Row G Row H 37 28 27 13 Row H 12 1 Row H 41 29 28 14 Row J 13 1 Row J 41 29 Row K 28 14 13 1 Row K Row L 33 25 Row L 24 10 9 1 Row L Row M 21 20 19 Row M 18 4 3 2 1 Row M Row N 15 1 Row P 15 1 Harvill 150 renumbered table 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Projection Booth Left handed desk
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Schedule of readings Before next exam (September 22nd)
Please read chapters in OpenStax textbook Please read Appendix D online On syllabus this is referred to as online readings 1 Please read Chapters 1, 5, 6 and 13 in Plous Chapter 1: Selective Perception Chapter 5: Plasticity Chapter 6: Effects of Question Wording and Framing Chapter 13: Anchoring and Adjustment
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writing assignment forms notebook and clickers to each lecture
Remember bring your writing assignment forms notebook and clickers to each lecture
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Even if you have not yet registered your clicker you can still participate
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Labs continue this week
Lab sessions Everyone will want to be enrolled in one of the lab sessions Labs continue this week
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“Serious Gamer” Score “Serious Gamer” Score “Serious Gamer” Score Time
One positive correlation One negative correlation Comparing Two means “Serious Gamer” Score “Serious Gamer” Score “Serious Gamer” Score Time Studying Age Gender
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You’ve gathered your data…what’s the best way to display it??
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Frequency distributions
Frequency distributions an organized list of observations and their frequency of occurrence How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size?
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Another example: How many kids in your family?
Number of kids in family 1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 14 4 2 1 4 2 2 3 1 8
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Describing Data Visually
Lists of numbers too hard to see patterns Describing Data Visually Organizing numbers helps Graphical representation even more clear This is a dot plot
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Describing Data Visually
Graphical representation even more clear This is a dot plot
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Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped
53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Scores on an exam Remember Dot Plots Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped Step 4: Decide 10 for # bins (classes) 5 for bin width (interval size) Step 5: Generate frequency histogram Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5
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Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped
53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Scores on an exam Remember Dot Plots Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped Step 4: Decide 10 for # bins (classes) 5 for bin width (interval size) Step 5: Generate frequency histogram Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5
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Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped
53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Scores on an exam Remember Dot Plots Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped Step 4: Decide 10 for # bins (classes) 5 for bin width (interval size) Step 5: Generate frequency histogram Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5
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Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped
53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Scores on an exam Remember Dot Plots Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped Step 4: Decide 10 for # bins (classes) 5 for bin width (interval size) Step 5: Generate frequency histogram Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5
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Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped
Scores on an exam Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide grouped Step 4: Decide 10 for # bins (classes) 5 for bin width (interval size) Step 5: Generate frequency histogram Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1
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Generate frequency polygon
Scores on an exam Generate frequency polygon Plot midpoint of histogram intervals Connect the midpoints Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Score on exam 6 5 4 3 2 1
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Generate frequency ogive (“oh-jive”)
Scores on an exam Generate frequency ogive (“oh-jive”) Frequency ogive is used for cumulative data Plot midpoint of histogram intervals Connect the midpoints Scores on an exam Score 95 – 99 80 – 84 Score on exam 30 25 20 15 10 5 Cumulative Frequency 28 26 23 18 13 9 6 5 2 1
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Pareto Chart: Categories are displayed in descending order of frequency
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Stacked Bar Chart: Bar Height is the sum of several subtotals
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Simple Line Charts: Often used for time series data (continuous data)
Simple Line Charts: Often used for time series data (continuous data) (the space between data points implies a continuous flow) Note: For multiple variables lines can be better than bar graph Note: Fewer grid lines can be more effective Note: Can use a two-scale chart with caution
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Pie Charts: General idea of data that must sum to a total (these are problematic and overly used – use with much caution) Exploded 3-D pie charts look cool but a simple 2-D chart may be more clear Exploded 3-D pie charts look cool but a simple 2-D chart may be more clear Bar Charts can often be more effective
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Frequency distributions
Number of kids in family 1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size? Frequency distributions Crucial guidelines for constructing frequency distributions: 1. Classes should be mutually exclusive: Each observation should be represented only once (no overlap between classes) Wrong 0 - 5 5 - 10 Correct 0 - 4 5 - 9 Correct 0 - under 5 5 - under 10 10 - under 15 2. Set of classes should be exhaustive: Should include all possible data values (no data points should fall outside range) Wrong 0 - 4 8 - 11 Correct 0 - 3 4 - 7 No place for our families of 5, 6 or 7
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Frequency distributions
Number of kids in family 1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size? Frequency distributions Crucial guidelines for constructing frequency distributions: 3. All classes should have equal intervals (even if the frequency for that class is zero) Wrong 0 - 1 2 - 12 Correct 0 - 4 5 - 9 Correct 0 - under 5 5 - under 10 10 - under 15
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4. Selecting number of classes is subjective
4. Selecting number of classes is subjective Generally will often work How about 6 classes? (“bins”) How about 16 classes? (“bins”) How about 8 classes? (“bins”)
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Lower boundary can be multiple of interval size
5. Class width should be round (easy) numbers Remember: This is all about helping readers understand quickly and clearly. Lower boundary can be multiple of interval size Clear & Easy 8 - 11 Round numbers: 5, 10, 15, 20 etc or 3, 6, 9, 12 etc 6. Try to avoid open ended classes For example 10 and above Greater than 100 Less than 50
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Let’s do one Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order
Scores on an exam Let’s do one 53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Step 1: List scores Step 2: List scores in order Step 3: Decide whether grouped or ungrouped If less than 10 groups, “ungrouped” is fine If more than 10 groups, “grouped” might be better How to figure how many values Largest number - smallest number + 1 = 47 Step 4: Generate number and size of intervals (or size of bins) If we have 6 bins – we’d have intervals of 8 Sample size (n) 10 – 16 17 – 32 33 – 64 65 – 128 256 – 511 512 – 1,024 Number of classes 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Let’s just try it and see which we prefer… Whaddya think? Would intervals of 5 be easier to read?
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Let’s just try it and see which we prefer…
Scores on an exam Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 53 58 60 61 64 69 70 72 73 75 76 78 80 82 84 87 88 89 91 93 94 95 99 Let’s just try it and see which we prefer… 6 bins Interval of 8 10 bins Interval of 5 Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Remember: This is all about helping readers understand quickly and clearly.
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Let’s make a frequency histogram using 10 bins and bin width of 5!!
Scores on an exam Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Let’s make a frequency histogram using 10 bins and bin width of 5!!
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Step 6: Complete the Frequency Table
Scores on an exam Step 6: Complete the Frequency Table Scores on an exam Score Frequency 80 – 84 5 Relative Cumulative Frequency 1.0000 .9285 .8214 .6428 .4642 .3213 .2142 .1785 .0714 .0357 Cumulative Frequency 28 26 23 18 13 9 6 5 2 1 Relative Frequency .0715 .1071 .1786 .1429 .0357 Just adding up the relative frequency data from the smallest to largest numbers Please note: Also just dividing cumulative frequency by total number 1/28 = .0357 2/28 = .0714 5/28 = .1786 Just adding up the frequency data from the smallest to largest numbers 6 bins Interval of 8 Just dividing each frequency by total number to get a ratio (like a percent) Please note: 1 /28 = .0357 3/ 28 = .1071 4/28 = .1429
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“Who is your favorite candidate?”
Simple Frequency Table – Qualitative Data Who is your favorite candidate Candidate Frequency Hillary Clinton 45 Bernie Sanders 23 Joe Biden 17 Jim Webb 1 Other/Undecided 14 Number expected to vote 9,900,000 5,060,000 3,740,000 220,000 3,080,000 We asked 100 Democrats “Who is your favorite candidate?” Relative Frequency .4500 .2300 .1700 .0100 .1400 Percent 45% 23% 17% 1% 14% If 22 million Democrats voted today how many would vote for each candidate? Just divide each frequency by total number Just multiply each relative frequency by 22 million Just multiply each relative frequency by 100 Please note: 45 /100 = .4500 23 /100 = .2300 17 /100 = .1700 1 /100 = .0100 Please note: .4500 x 22m = 9,900k .2300 x 22m = 35,060k .1700 x 22m = 23,740k .0100 x 22m= 220k Please note: .4500 x 100 = 45% .2300 x 100 = 23% .1700 x 100 = 17% .0100 x 100 = 1% Data based on Gallup poll on 8/24/11
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Describing Data Visually
This is a dot plot
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Overview Frequency distributions
The normal curve Challenge yourself as we work through characteristics of distributions to try to categorize each concept as a measure of 1) central tendency 2) dispersion or 3) shape Mean, Median, Mode, Trimmed Mean Standard deviation, Variance, Range Mean Absolute Deviation Skewed right, skewed left unimodal, bimodal, symmetric
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Another example: How many kids in your family?
Number of kids in family 1 4 3 2 1 8 4 2 2 14 14 4 2 1 4 2 2 3 1 8
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Mean: The balance point of a distribution. Found
Measures of Central Tendency (Measures of location) The mean, median and mode Mean: The balance point of a distribution. Found by adding up all observations and then dividing by the number of observations Mean for a sample: Σx / n = mean = x Mean for a population: ΣX / N = mean = µ (mu) Measures of “location” Where on the number line the scores tend to cluster Note: Σ = add up x or X = scores n or N = number of scores
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Number of kids in family
Measures of Central Tendency (Measures of location) The mean, median and mode Mean: The balance point of a distribution. Found by adding up all observations and then dividing by the number of observations Mean for a sample: Σx / n = mean = x 41/ 10 = mean = 4.1 Number of kids in family 1 4 3 2 1 8 4 2 2 14 Note: Σ = add up x or X = scores n or N = number of scores
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How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size?
Number of kids in family 1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size? Median: The middle value when observations are ordered from least to most (or most to least)
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Number of kids in family
1 4 3 2 1 8 4 2 2 14 How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size? Median: The middle value when observations are ordered from least to most (or most to least) 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 2, 8, 2, 14 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 8, 14
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Number of kids in family
1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 Number of kids in family 1 4 3 2 1 8 4 2 2 14 How many kids are in your family? What is the most common family size? Median: The middle value when observations are ordered from least to most (or most to least) 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 4, 2, 8, 2, 14 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 8, 8, 14 14 2.5 µ=2.5 If there appears to be two medians, take the mean of the two Median always has a percentile rank of 50% regardless of shape of distribution
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Number of kids in family
Mode: The value of the most frequent observation Score f . 1 2 2 3 3 1 4 2 5 0 6 0 7 0 8 1 9 0 10 0 11 0 12 0 13 0 14 1 Number of kids in family 1 3 1 4 2 4 2 8 2 14 Please note: The mode is “2” because it is the most frequently occurring score. It occurs “3” times. “3” is not the mode, it is just the frequency for the value that is the mode Bimodal distribution: If there are two most frequent observations
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What about central tendency for qualitative data?
Mode is good for nominal or ordinal data Median can be used with ordinal data Mean can be used with interval or ratio data
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Thank you! See you next time!!
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