1. Do We Need Fewer or More Dentists in the U.S. in the Coming Years?
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2. Today
PRESENTERS Marko Vujicic, Ph.D., Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Policy Institute Brad Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute

3. Today
PANELISTS Richard Valachovic, DMD, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association Jerold Goldberg, DDS, Former Dean, Case Western Reserve University School of Dental Medicine

4. Today
ADA.org/HPI

5. Key Messages
We monitor key dentist labor supply decisions and we concluded we needed to revise our future supply of dentist projections.
Big picture, in the most probable scenario, the per capita supply of dentists is still projected to increase through 2037.
The issue of provider adequacy is more complex; further research is needed.

6. Methodology Graduates Retired Foreign-trained Practicing Dentists
Moved out
Re-licensure
Death
Un-retirement
License lapse
Exit labor force
Emigration

7. Inflows

8. Outflows

9. Modeling Assumptions

10. Results of Three Outflow Assumptions

11. Gender Mix

12. Age Mix

13. Hours Worked Adjustment

14. Patient Visits Adjustment

15. Results (2016 model)

16. Results (2018 update)

17. Results

18. Results

19. Roundtable
Marko Vujicic, PhD, Chief Economist & Vice President, ADA Health Policy Institute
Brad Munson, Senior Research Analyst, ADA Health Policy Institute
Richard Valachovic, DMD, President & CEO, American Dental Education Association
Jerold Goldberg, DDS, Former Dean, Case Western Reserve
University School of Dental
Medicine

20. @ADAHPI ADA.org/HPI hpi@ada.org
Thank You!
@ADAHPI ADA.org/HPI