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Published byCandice Phelps Modified over 6 years ago
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Energy Commodities Trading Margarita Brouwer-Boulankova September th USAEE/IAEE North American Conference
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Key Message Crude and refined products are the largest traded commodities in the world by volume and value US production is growing & the US is increasingly playing a large role as a Global Trader The Market has evolved and dynamics are changing rapidly especially in recent years Financial players are changing the trading environment from a traditional fundamental supply & demand focus to more opportunistic and short-term event driven trading
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Who are the Traders Physical Trader Financial Trader Moving Physical Commodity Speculative Trading
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Commodities in the Supply Chain
Truck Truck Pipeline Refining Refined Products Storage / Terminaling Pipeline End Market Exploration & Production Rail Rail Crude Oil Storage / Terminaling Export Barge Barge Tanker Tanker Trading and Hedging Trading and Hedging
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Global Crude Oil & Liquids Production
1,000,000 bbls per day Source: EIA
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Crude Oil Import to the US
1,000 bbls per day 14% decline since 2010 Source: EIA
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Crude Oil Export from the US
Over 2mln bbls pd by June 2018 1,000 bbls per day 140% increase in 2 years Source: EIA
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Refined Products Export from the US
1,000 bbls per day 80 % increase in 7 years 130 % increase in 10 years Source: EIA
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US as the Global Trading Partner 10 years Ago Imports / Exports from selected key regions
Crude imports Crude imports (larger volumes) Refined products imports Crude exports Refined Products exports Source: EIA
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US as the Global Trading Partner Today Imports / Exports from selected key regions
Crude imports Crude imports (larger volumes) Refined products imports Crude exports Refined Products exports Source: EIA
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Contango vs Backwardation
Spread $ per bbl WTI $ per bbl Contango Pipeline disruption
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WTI-Brent Spread $ per bbl Export ban lifted
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Final Remarks The markets are changing rapidly with growing demand and production diversity Open global markets stimulate more trading activities The trading strategies are adapting to various market structures
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