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Energy Commodities Trading Margarita Brouwer-Boulankova September 2018 36th USAEE/IAEE North American Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "Energy Commodities Trading Margarita Brouwer-Boulankova September 2018 36th USAEE/IAEE North American Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 Energy Commodities Trading Margarita Brouwer-Boulankova September th USAEE/IAEE North American Conference

2 Key Message Crude and refined products are the largest traded commodities in the world by volume and value US production is growing & the US is increasingly playing a large role as a Global Trader The Market has evolved and dynamics are changing rapidly especially in recent years Financial players are changing the trading environment from a traditional fundamental supply & demand focus to more opportunistic and short-term event driven trading

3 Who are the Traders Physical Trader Financial Trader Moving Physical Commodity Speculative Trading

4 Commodities in the Supply Chain
Truck Truck Pipeline Refining Refined Products Storage / Terminaling Pipeline End Market Exploration & Production Rail Rail Crude Oil Storage / Terminaling Export Barge Barge Tanker Tanker Trading and Hedging Trading and Hedging

5 Global Crude Oil & Liquids Production
1,000,000 bbls per day Source: EIA

6 Crude Oil Import to the US
1,000 bbls per day 14% decline since 2010 Source: EIA

7 Crude Oil Export from the US
Over 2mln bbls pd by June 2018 1,000 bbls per day 140% increase in 2 years Source: EIA

8 Refined Products Export from the US
1,000 bbls per day 80 % increase in 7 years 130 % increase in 10 years Source: EIA

9 US as the Global Trading Partner 10 years Ago Imports / Exports from selected key regions
Crude imports Crude imports (larger volumes) Refined products imports Crude exports Refined Products exports Source: EIA

10 US as the Global Trading Partner Today Imports / Exports from selected key regions
Crude imports Crude imports (larger volumes) Refined products imports Crude exports Refined Products exports Source: EIA

11 Contango vs Backwardation
Spread $ per bbl WTI $ per bbl Contango Pipeline disruption

12 WTI-Brent Spread $ per bbl Export ban lifted

13 Final Remarks The markets are changing rapidly with growing demand and production diversity Open global markets stimulate more trading activities The trading strategies are adapting to various market structures


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