1. DJANGO FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT LTD | WWW.DJANGOFINANCIAL.COM
MARKETS FORECAST 2018
The information, opinions and projections are provided for general information purposes only and is not meant as Investment or other professional advice. If you require specific Investment advice please consult your Financial Advisor
DJANGO FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT LTD |

2. The Degree by which you think you know
Or in any way need to know what is going to happen
Next, is the degree by which you fail as a trader (Or investor)
The information, opinions and projections are provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not meant as Investment or other professional advice. If you require specific Investment advice please consult your Financial Advisor
DJANGO FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT LTD |

3. US Dollar vs. Canadian Dollar 2017 – In Review
1.2500
YE Prediction
Actual

4. $ CAD Risk Per Million USD EQUALS $103,900 (10.39%)
.8289 HIGH
Range: Cents
$ CAD Risk Per Million USD EQUALS $103,900 (10.39%)
.7250 Low

5. US Dollar vs. Canadian Dollar Bloomberg Forecasts (Bloomberg FXFC)
1.34
1.32
1.31
1.30
13% Range
11% Range
10% Range
FORWARD (FIXED RATE UNTIL YEAR END=1.2500
18% Range
1.21
1.20
1.18
1.16

6. SEASONALITY (PAST 5 YEARS) (Bloomberg SEAG)

7. SEASONALITY (PAST 20 YEARS HEATMAP) (Bloomberg SEAG)

8. Manage Risk (or not) Decision Tree
Is this Acceptable Risk? No
Yes
What is Acceptable Risk?
Are you sure?
Certainty or Uncertainty?
Yes
Than You need to Hedge!
Are you a Gambler?
Yes No
Manage Risk!
How is that working for you?

9. Downside Protection against a falling USD (Bloomberg USDCAD OVML)

10. Upside Protection against a rising USD (Bloomberg USDCAD OVML)

11. Let’s Play a Game… Try WIN/LOSS Game 1, 1:1 Game 2, 1:3 Game 3, 3:10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Totals

12. Key Markets 2018 Dec 31st Prediction (Darts at Charts)
USDCAD – (Stable, Expect 10% Volatility)
Oil – 75 USD/BBL (Bullish but not out of the dirt)
TSX, 15,800 CAD by year end, 12,775 USD (Stabilizes)
SPX, 2600 (Cautious)
Dow, (Cautious)
XAU, 1350 USD (Slightly Bullish).
Bitcoin (FUBAR), Marijuana (Hell Yes, Bring it on), Blockchain (Cool concept) and AI (Creepy AF but definite future)
Whatever you invest in, know it well, manage the risks

13. DJANGO FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT LTD | WWW.DJANGOFINANCIAL.COM
Remember, Protection First: Upside 2nd
The information, opinions and projections are provided for general information purposes only and is not meant as Investment or other professional advice. If you require specific Investment advice please consult your Financial Advisor
DJANGO FINANCIAL RISK MANAGEMENT LTD |