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Leveraging Tools to Better Grok Model Calibration

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Presentation on theme: "Leveraging Tools to Better Grok Model Calibration"— Presentation transcript:

1 Leveraging Tools to Better Grok Model Calibration
TRB Applications Conference 2017 Bhargava Sana [ SFCTA ] Jayne Chang [ SFCTA ] Lisa Zorn [ MTC ] Elizabeth Sall [ UrbanLabs ] Brice Nichols [ PSRC ] Good Afternoon! I am here to share our experience with building visualization tools for calibrating Fast-Trips Dynamic Transit Assignment model. There is a Fast-Trips tutorial in progress in a parallel session!

2 Outline Motivation Desired Features
Python + Tableau (“Py-bleau”) Approach Fast-Trips Calibration and Validation Lessons Learned Tableau – a business intelligence tool

3 Motivation Aggregate More Disaggregate
Fast-Trips (FT) Dynamic Transit Assignment O D O D Aggregate More Disaggregate Better Calibration and Validation Tools ? Recently, there has been a continuous shift towards more disaggregate travel models Visualization tools for calibration and validation are lagging behind - reliance on conventional tools (aka Excel) Worksheets of pivot tables and charts ArcGIS/proprietary TDM software for mapping Fast-Trips (FT) is one such model that simulates a transit path choiceset for each traveler FT accounts for rider heterogeneity and quality of transit path Fast-Trips (FT) Calibration runs using observed transit paths in California HTS Need for both - System level metrics and Individual path level comparisons

4 Ideal Tool Desired Features Simple development and extension
Interactive visualization Integrated mapping Easy sharing and dissemination

5 - $ Picking a Tool Data Operation Integrated Mapping
Interactive Visualization Ease of Overall Development Ease of Sharing Cost Overall Excel + ArcGIS Slow for big datasets - $ ★★ iPython Notebook Performance impacted by large data Add-on packages Free ★★★ 󠅞 Tableau Powerful for large datasets Basic-inbuilt ★★★★ Easy dashboard building tool Fits multiple criteria for desired enhancements More powerful and flexible than Excel Publish and share using web Easy sharing ability is important for dispersed team members

6 Fast-Trips Calibration and Validation
Model Path Observed Path =? O D O D Compare modeled transit paths against survey paths Primary mode/Routes/Stops Access/Egress distances and times Transfer rates Python useful for Tableau setup Relate observed and model output data Organize/re-structure data (table joins, metrics, etc.)

7 Tableau in Action Video

8 FT Calibration Dashboards
Validation metrics Transit path visualizer 1. Show validation metric dashboard Primary mode match pie chart (overall performance) Acc/egr distance gap, suggests issues in generating access links Transfer rate, suggesting low transfer penalty Confusion matrix (and display full data for some cells) 2. Show a few records on map

9 Lessons Learned Interactivity allows for quick problem identification
Maps of disaggregate records more informative Easy and intuitive usage Using separate tools for data cleaning and visualization is manageable Maps of disaggregate records can be more informative and direct than aggregate statistics and numbers Lower entry barrier for the tool encourages more people to use it There may certainly be other off the shelf tools that might work just as well as Tableau. Similarly, could use R instead of Python. Effort to build Tableau dashboards not insignificant but much lower than any custom solution

10 Thank You!


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