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A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD Over 7 billion people, and growing while…
Living and competing in an interconnected global economy, Producing $60 trillion of products each year, and Facing many kinds of complex disasters every year that are related to the 3 S’s, 5E’s, and 1H.
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THE 3 S’s SAFETY (from recurring natural hazards) SECURITY
SUSTAINABILITY
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THE FIVE E’s ECONOMY ENERGY ENVIRONMENT ECOLOGY EDUCATION
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THE 1 H HEALTH CARE
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LIKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
Poverty Chronic hunger Health care needs Increasing risk of pandemic disease Large-scale migration of people Endangered plant and animal life Conflict and terrorism
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LIKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS DURING THE 21ST CENTURY
Increasing morbidity, mortality, homelessness, and economic losses from recurring natural hazards Threats related to global climate change Environmental degradation and pollution of air, water, and soil Endangerment and extinction of plant and animal life
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OUR POSSIBLE “OH NO!” LEGACY OF THE 21ST CENTURY
Unless we design and implement a realistic new strategy for disaster prevention, OUR problems may grow worse so rapidly that we reach many “tipping points,” before we realize it and share in an unnecessary and irreversible reduction in the quality of life on Planet Earth.
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A SOLUTION SET: THE FRAMEWORK OF SUSTAINABILITY
To anticipate and plan for the full spectrum of what can happen To build capacity at the community level for monitoring, mitigation, and adaptation To build equity in all sectors of the community To inform, educate, and train
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INTERACTIONS THAT EXPOSE FRAGILITIES
A Restless Earth—The Cause of Natural Phenomena that interact with PEOPLE and COMMUNITIES Earthquakes Tsunamis Volcanic eruptions Landslides
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INTERACTIONS THAT EXPOSE FRAGILITIES
Extreme Storms----Natural Phenomena that interact with PEOPLE and COMMUNITIES Tropical Storms Hurricanes Typhoons Tornadoes Nor’easters
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INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES
Actions of a community---To increase “Quality of Life” Build Economic Development Create Land Control Water Expand Cities Facilitate Transportation
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INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES
Mankind’s Actions--- can have expected and unexpected consequences Deforestation Pollution Conflict
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INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES
A Warming World ---with its spectrum of natural and unnatural causes Increasing Temperatures Diminishing Polar Ice Shrinking Glaciers Rising Sea Level
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Fastest Growing Cities
CityMayor Statistics
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Today cities with the largest populations
1. Tokyo, Japan - 28,025, Mexico City, Mexico - 18,131, Mumbai, India - 18,042, Sáo Paulo, Brazil - 17, 711, New York City, USA - 16,626, Shanghai, China - 14,173, Lagos, Nigeria - 13,488, Los Angeles, USA - 13,129, Calcutta, India - 12,900, Buenos Aires, Argentina - 12,431,000
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How will this change in 2025? Tokyo, Japan 36.4 million
Mumbai, India 26.4 Delhi, India 22.4 Dhaka, Bangladesh 22 Sao Paulo, Brazil 18.3 Mexico City, Mexico 21 New York City, 20.6 Calcutta India, 20.6 mil Shanghai, China 19.4 Karachi, Pakistan 19.1 The World Resource Institute predicts 33 mega cities--those with populations exceeding 8 million--by That's up from 21 in 1990, not to mention two in 1950 (London and New York). All but six of the 33 will be in the developing world.
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The two chief forces reshaping our world are the changing demographics and the technological changes.
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First we shape the cities
-then they shape us
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- a miracle or straightforward common sense?
Piazza Il Campo, Siena, Italy (14th century) The Finest Urban Space in the World - a miracle or straightforward common sense?
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Overview of Quality criterias
-The Pedestrian landscape Campo in Siena
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Paradigm WANTED: Lively, Liveable City Sustainable City Healthy City
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Lively, Liveable City
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Sustainable City A good Public Realm is a crucial factor
for good Public Transportation
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Healthy City Problem: “The sitting Syndrome”
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Phase 1: 1960-1980: Pedestrian Streets (Walking / Promenade) Before
After Phase 1: : Pedestrian Streets (Walking / Promenade)
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Phase 2: : Car-free Squares / Cafées (Staying / Recreation )
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Phase 3: : Activity Parks / “Playgrounds” (Playing / Sports / Activities)
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Phot:DOT/NYC
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Moscow, Russia: Where car is King
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2012 2016
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2012 2016
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