1. The World Bank Group & Knowledge Supply for Climate Change Adaptation Regional Consultation Meeting on the Development of the LAC Regional Climate Change Adaptation Network October 29-30, 2009 David N. Sislen

2. Agenda The WBG & Climate Change Case Studies
The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

3. What is the World Bank Group doing on Climate Change?
Principles of involvement
Strategic Framework for Development and Climate Change (SFDCC)
Major analytic work and key findings: WDR, Economics of Adaptation
Various types of financing already provided
Number of new mechanisms recently launched under the SFDCC
Substantial focus in LCR

4. Key Principles of Involvement of WBG work on Climate Change
WBG adheres to UNFCCC principles, policies and directions and supports decisions of UNFCCC process
WBG is working to reform its governance to be more balanced, equitable and suitable for the development trends and challenges of the 21st century
WBG supports clients’ adaptation and mitigation efforts in country-led programs to mobilize finance, deploy new technology, and develop policy, knowledge and capacity
WBG respects primacy of UNFCCC process and will support any CF governance model that emerges from negotiations in Copenhagen and thereafter

5. WBG Strategic Framework for Development and Climate Change
Key Principles and Actions:
Objective: support sustainable development and poverty reduction and facilitate global action and interactions among all countries in partnerships guided by UNFCCC process
Ensure a country-led, country-driven approach tailored to specific needs of diverse clients
Mobilize additional concessional & innovative finance
Facilitate development of market-based financing mechanisms and leverage private sector resources
Support accelerated development and deployment of new technologies

6. Policy Research and Analysis Bankwide
WDR 2010 on Development and Climate Change
Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change: global adaptation costs with case studies in seven countries
Regional studies: LCR report on Low Carbon High Growth; adaptation in ECA countries; climate risks and food security (Bangladesh); climate change economics program in SSA, etc.
Low-carbon growth country studies completed for Mexico; final review stage for Brazil and India; on-going for China, Indonesia, South Africa, Poland; growing demand from other countries
Major Adaptation Reports on ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Social Dimensions of Climate Change
Analytical Work in Progress: Transport and CC; Managing Terrestrial Carbon; 10 Years Experience with Carbon Market; Climate Finance & ODA; GHG Analysis - Testing Methodologies for Energy, Transport, & Forestry

7. WDR - Climate Change as a Development Challenge
Meeting the challenge is not a choice between growth and climate change
A climate smart world is within reach if we act now, act together and act differently…
… building on new finance, technology and capacity at scale

8. Financing for Climate Change
Development policy loans: Brazil (Sustainable Environmental Management DPL ), India (Himachal Pradesh DPL), Mexico (First dedicated climate change DPL)
Climate investment funds: Clean technology Fund (CTF), Strategic Climate Fund (SCF)
Pilot Program for Climate Resilience (PPCR): First operational program under the Strategic Climate Fund, grants and IDA-like resources
Carbon market: Carbon partnership Facility (CPF), Forest carbon Partnership Facility (FCPF)
Capital markets: weather-based crop insurance (CCRIF, LCR pioneering)
Future—new financial instrument

9. Agenda The WBG & Climate Change Case Studies
The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

10. Central America Probabilistic Risk Assessment (CAPRA)
What is CAPRA? CAPRA is an ongoing initiative to develop and enhance a set of GIS-based tools to understand, communicate and support decisions related to disaster risk at the local, national and regional levels in Central America.
Primary Products:
Compendium of hazard and risk maps: Printed Atlas
CAPRA Geo Node: Online data and maps
Hazard and risk reports: Country Risk profiles, Indicators of Risk and Risk management
Software to evaluate risk: Hazard models, vulnerability and risk visualization
Training courses & materials
Series of user-friendly applications: hazard assessment report for territorial planning; cost-benefit application for analysis of retrofitting projects; calculator of technical premiums for insurance

11. Disaster Impact Analysis –Scenario or Stochastic—
Probabilistic Risk Modeling
Hazard
(i.e. wind)
Exposure
(i.e. houses)
Vulnerability
(of house to wind)
Risk
(i.e probable loss)
Disaster Impact Analysis –Scenario or Stochastic—
Infrastructure
Economic
Social
Environmental

12. GROUND SHAKING / LIQUEFACTION
Multiple Natural Hazards
EARTHQUAKE
HURRICANE
INTENSE RAIN
VOLCANO
TSUNAMI
GROUND SHAKING / LIQUEFACTION
LANDSLIDES
- GROUND SHAKING
- HURRICANE RAINFALL
- OTHER RAINFALL
STRONG WINDS
STORM SURGE
HURRICANE RAINFALL
FLOODS
ASH FALLS
BALLISTIC EJECTIONS
PYROCLASTIC FLOWS
LAVA FLOWS

13. CAPRA: San Juan del Sur, Nicaragua

14. Mass Collaboration Changes Everything— (CAPRA)
We are infusing this open architecture at all levels of CAPRA
User community level
Software architecture level
Data level
....to ultimately improve Disaster Risk management
“To harness the collective work of thousands of contributors, creating a ‘living instrument’ ”
World Wind

15. Mexico’s Comprehensive Approach to Climate Change Adaptation
Strategic Framework: MOU with SEMARNAT that lays out a long-term support to the government, including the subnational CC and social agenda, Subnational Climate Action and Sustainability plans supported by WBG
2. Mayor Analytical Work: Economics of Adaptation Study, Social Impacts of Climate Change Study
3. Various Types of Financing: Climate Change DPL (2008), Adaptation in the Gulf of Mexico Project, Adaptation in Agriculture in the State of Sonora Project, upcoming work in the Municipality of Chetumal on Climate Change and Sustainability at the Municipal level, CTF

16. Mexico’s Comprehensive Approach to Climate Change Adaptation
Strategic Framework: MOU with SEMARNAT that lays out a long-term support to the government, including the subnational CC and social agenda, Subnational Climate Action and Sustainability plans supported by WBG
2. Mayor Analytical Work: Economics of Adaptation Study, Social Impacts of Climate Change Study, MEDEC
3. Various Types of Financing: Climate Change DPL (2008), Adaptation in the Gulf of Mexico Project, Adaptation in Agriculture in the State of Sonora Project, upcoming work in the Municipality of Chetumal on Climate Change and Sustainability at the Municipal level, CTF

17. Agenda The WBG & Climate Change Case Studies
The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward

18. The Adaptation Agenda Going Forward
Massive resource needs: WDR estimate US$ billion / year
Mainstreaming the adaptation agenda in sector development policies
Avoiding white elephants and gold plating
Critical ecosystems and the “human” aspects (urban, water, agriculture, disaster management, etc.)

19. Thank You David N. Sislen Sector Leader, Colombia
Gustavo Saltiel
Sector Leader, Mexico