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Capital Structure (How Much Debt?)

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1 Capital Structure (How Much Debt?)
MBAC 6060 Chapter 16 Capital Structure (How Much Debt?)

2 Chapter Overview WACC = WERE + WDRD(1 - T)
We looked a the return required by a company’s investors It is the same as the company’s cost It is the required return on the company’s investments WACC = WERE + WDRD(1 - T) WE and WD are the Percentages of Equity and Debt RE and RD are the Costs of Equity and Debt

3 βEquity = βAssets (1 + D/E)
Chapter Overview We also looked (in the context of the CAPM) at the effects of debt on Equity Risk βEquity = βAssets (1 + D/E) For a given risk of the firms assets (βAssets) A function of cyclicality and operating leverage How does the choice of debt level (D/E) change the risk of equity (βEquity) So the Question is: How much Debt should a firm have? What should be the firm’s Capital Structure? Capital Structure is defined by WE and WD Sometimes D/E

4 Aside: Compare WD = D/V to D/E
If WD = D/V = 20% then calculate D/E: E/V = 1 - D/V = 80% D/E = (D/V)/(E/V) = 0.20/0.80 = 0.25 If WD = D/V = 50% then calculate D/E: E/V = 1 - D/V = 50% D/E = (D/V)/(E/V) = 0.50/0.50 = 1.00 If WD = D/V = 60% then calculate D/E: E/V = 1 - D/V = 40% D/E = (D/V)/(E/V) = 0.60/0.40 = 1.50

5 Chapter Overview WACC is the discount rate for all the firm’s projects
The lower the rate, the higher the value of the projects A firm is the sum of its projects So the higher the value of the firm So how does WACC (and therefore firm value) change as WE and WD (or D/E) change?

6 Chapter Overview Definition: Adding Financial Leverage
Issue bonds to finance an expansion Issue bonds and use the proceeds to buy back stock Examine the effects of adding leverage: The Value of the company Value Unlevered (VU) versus the Value Levered (VL) The Required Return on the Assets (RA) The Required Return on the Equity (RE) First assume no taxes Second look at the effects of taxes

7 A = Assets or 0 = An All Stock firm
Notation: In this chapter, the text book uses both: D = Debt or B = Bond and E = Equity or S = Stock A = Assets or 0 = An All Stock firm

8 But First: Corporate Dividend Policy
Covered in Chapter 19 Main Results: The price of a stock decreases by the amount of a cash dividend But, if instead of paying a dividend Cash is used to repurchase shares Then the share price increases by the amount that would have been paid

9 Example: Company has Earnings (NI) = $500,000
Number of Shares = 100,000 EPS = $5.00 Assume PE Ratio = 20x PE accounts for current earnings, risk of earnings and NPVGO Share Price given EPS = $5.00 x 20 = $100 Company also has $100,000 in Excess Cash Excess Cash per Share = $100,000/100,000 = $1 Total Share Value = $100 + $1 = $101 Two Choices to pay Excess Cash to Shareholders: Pay $1.00 per share dividend Repurchase $100,000/$101 = 990 Shares

10 All Shareholders have = $100 share + $1 cash
Pay $1.00 per share dividend Share Value before Dividend = $101 EPS = $5.00 PE Ratio = 20x Share Price given Earnings = $5 x 20 = $100 Excess Cash per Share = $100,000/100,000 = $1 Share price = $101 After Dividend Still have same current and expected earnings ($500,000) Same number of Shares so EPS = $500,000/100,000 = $5 Same PE Ratio = 20 Paying excess cash does not change NPVGO Share Value = $5 x 20 = $100 Plus $1 in cash All Shareholders have = $100 share + $1 cash

11 990 Shareholders have $101 in cash 99,010 Shareholders have $101 share
Repurchase $100,000/$101 = 990 Shares Share Value before Repurchase = $101 EPS = $5.00 PE Ratio = 20x Share Price given Earnings = $5 x 20 = $100 Excess Cash per Share = $100,000/100,000 = $1 Share price = $101 After Repurchase Still have same current and expected earnings ($500,000) Fewer Shares: 100,000 – 990 = 99,010 shares So higher EPS = $500,000/99,010 = $5.05 Same PE Ratio = 20 Paying out Excess Cash does not change NPVGO Share Value = $5.05 x 20 = $101 990 Shareholders have $101 in cash 99,010 Shareholders have $101 share

12 Price Drop from Cash Dividend – MSFT
On November 15, 2004, MSFT paid a $3.08 dividend

13 Dividends vs. Repurchases
(Figure 19.5 Page 582)

14 Now to Capital Structure What does adding Leverage do to:
The Required Return on the Equity (RE) The Required Return on the Assets (RA) The Value of the Company Value Unlevered (VU) versus the Value Levered (VL)

15 Modigliani & Miller These theories, formulas and propositions were developed by Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller MM I (without Taxes) “Changing how the pie is sliced does not make it any bigger.” A firm’s total value is not affected by its capital structure: VL = VU MM II (without Taxes) Changing capital structure does increase equity risk and equity return but does not change the WACC RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E MM I (with Taxes): With taxes, adding debt does increase firm value. Firm value does depend on its capital structure: VL = VU + TC x D MM II (with Taxes): With taxes Leverage increases equity risk and equity return and does decrease WACC. RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – TC)D/E

16 ValueLevered = ValueUnlevered
First Results (no Taxes): ValueLevered = ValueUnlevered VL = VU The value of the firm does not increase with the addition of leverage Changing the way the pie is sliced does not increase the slice of the pie People can borrow just as easily as the company Result: A company can’t create value just by replicating what people can do on their own This result is know as MM I

17 MM I without Taxes: Levering Does Not Create Value
A company can’t create value just by replicating what people can do on their own Show this by comparing a persons returns from Owning a levered firm Increasing ownership in an Unlevered firm by borrowing Called “homemade leverage” This is shown in Example 16.1

18 Example 16.1 Unlevered Firm Levered Firm
The Unlevered Firm has $0 debt A share price of $20 And EPS of $1, $3 or $5 The Levered Firm has $4,000 debt And EPS of $0, $4 or $8 Putting up $2,000 to buy 100 share of the Levered Firm produces returns of $0/$2,000 = 0% $400/$2,000 = 20% $800/$2,000 = 40% Putting up $2,000 and Borrowing $2,000 to buy 200 share of the Unlevered Firm produces returns of 0%, 20% or 40% Since the returns available to an owner of the Levered Firm are easily replicated by an individual borrowing and buying shares of the Unlevered Firm, firms create no value by levering Unlevered Firm Levered Firm Assets $8,000 Debt $0 $4,000 Equity Borrow Rate 10% Price/Share $20 Shares 400 200 Units Sold 100 300 500 Sales $1,000 $3,000 $5,000 Costs $600 $1,800 EBIT $400 $1,200 $2,000 Int Exp EBT $800 $1,600 Tax Exp NI EPS $1 $3 $5 $4 $8 Own the Unlevered Firm Own the Levered Firm Shares Owned Cost Borrow Out of Pocket Shares x EPS $200 Net Payoff Return 0% 20% 40%

19 Second Result (still no Taxes): RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E
RA is the required return on the firm’s assets RA is function of cyclicality and operating leverage RD is the required return on the firm’s debt RD is a function of the risk of the assets and the amount of debt We cover this later D/E is the measure of leverage RE is the required return on the firm’s equity Result: RE increases as leverage increases This result is know as MM II

20 Derivation: WACC = WERE + WDRD RA = WERE + WDRD RA = (E/V) RE + (D/V) RD RA = E/(D + E)RE + D/(D + E) RD Do a bunch of Algebra. See footnote 8,page 497 RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E

21 Example: An Unlevered Firm earns $100 per year forever
Unlevered means D/E = 0 No Interest Expense and No Taxes  EBIT = EBT = NI = $100 The firm has 100 shares of stock EPS = $100/100 = $1 Price per share = $10 RE = $1/$10 = 10% RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E  10% = RA + 0  RA = 10% Firm Value = 100 x $10 = $100/0.10 = $1,000 If the firm issues $200 of 5% debt and repurchases $200 of stock What does this do to the firm’s cost of equity (RE)? What does this do the firm’s WACC? What does this do to the firm’s value (VL versus VU)?

22 Leverage increases the Equity’s risk so RE Increases!
What does this do to the firm’s cost of equity (RE)? If the firm issues $200 of 5% debt and repurchases $200 of stock: EBIT = $100 Assets, AT and PM did not change Interest Expense = $200 x 5% = $10 EBT = NI = EBIT – Interest Expense = $100 - $10 = $90 $90 per year forever New Shares = $200/$10 = 100 – 20 = 80 New EPS = NI/Shares = $90/80 = $1.125 New RE = $1.125/$10 = 11.25% OR RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E D/E = $200/$800 = 0.25 RA = 10% The firm’s assets did not change RE = 10% + (10% – 5%)0.25 = 11.25% Leverage increases the Equity’s risk so RE Increases!

23 WACC does not change! What does this do to the firm’s WACC?
Before the Leverage: RE = 10.00% WE = 1.00 No Taxes (yet) WACC = WERE + WDRD(1 - T) WACC = 1.00(10.00%) + 0 = 10.00% If the firm issues $200 of 5% debt and repurchases $200 of stock: RE = 11.25% WE = $800/$1,000 = 0.80 RD = 5.00% WD = $200/$1,000 = 0.20 Still No Taxes (yet) WACC = 0.80(11.25%) (5.00%) = 10.00% WACC does not change!

24 Firm Value Does Not Change!
What does this do to the firm’s Value? Firm Value is the NPV of all the firm’s projects The WACC does not change so the discount rate does not change If the discount rate does not change, then the NPVs do not change Firm Value Does Not Change! Recap: MM I without Taxes: VL = VU MM II without Taxes: RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E The Point: Financing decisions do not create value Operating decisions create value!

25 Now Included Taxes: First consider the Value of a Levered Firm
Since Interest payments are tax deductable Example: A firm’s EBIT = $100 Tax Rate = 35% With no Debt and therefore no Interest Expense: EBIT = EBT = $100 Tax Expense = $100 x 0.35 = $35 NI = $100 - $35 =$65 OR NI = EBIT(1 – T) = $100(1 – 0.35) = $65 So $65 per year to give to investors

26 With Taxes, Debt Increases Money Available to Stakeholders
Now Assume $200 of 5% Debt: RD = 5% EBIT = $100 Interest Expense = 0.05 x $200 = $10 EBT = $100 - $10 = $90 Tax Expense = $90 x 0.35 = $31.50 NI = EBT – Tax Exp = $90 - $31.50 = $58.50 OR NI = (EBIT – RDD) - (EBIT – RDD)T NI = (EBIT – RDD)(1 –T) NI = ($100 – 0.05 x $200)(1 – 0.35) = $58.50 NI = ($90)(0.65) = 58.50 $58.50 to Equity holders and $10 to Debt holders $ $10 = $68.50 Total CFs No Debt = NI = $65 Total CFs debt = NI + Interest Expense = $ $10 = $68.50 With Taxes, Debt Increases Money Available to Stakeholders

27 Debt Creates a Tax Shield
D = $ RD = 5% T = 35% CF to Equity holders = NI NI = (EBIT – RDD)(1 –T) NI = EBIT(1 – T) – RDD(1 –T) NI = EBIT(1 – T) – RDD + TRDD CF to Debt holders = Interest Expense Interest Expense = RDD Total CFs to Equity and Debt holders Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) – RDD + TRDD + RDD Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) + TRDD Unlevered: Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) Levered: Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) + TRDD TRDD is the increase in CFs from adding debt. It is the annual tax savings or tax shield So what is it worth? TRDD = (0.35)(0.05)($200) = $3.50 Recall: $ $65 = $3.50

28 With Taxes, Adding Debt Increases Firm Value
Debt Creates a Tax Shield Unlevered: Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) = $65 Levered: Total CFs = EBIT(1 – T) + TRDD = $65 + $3.50 = $68.50 TRDD is the annual increase in Total CFs from adding debt Assume T, Debt and RD are constant forever Then the Tax Shield is a perpetuity At what rate should we discount the perpetuity? Assume the tax savings has the same risk as the debt So discount the annual Tax Shield at RD So if Tax Shield is a perpetuity discounted by RD, Then the PV of the Tax Shield is: PV of Tax Shield = TRDD/RD = TD MM I with Taxes: VL = VU + TC x D With Taxes, Adding Debt Increases Firm Value

29 What Happens to Equity Risk and Return? Equity Risk:
Without Taxes: βEquity = βAssets (1 + D/E) With Taxes: βEquity = βAssets [1 + (1 - T)D/E] (See Chapter 13, footnote 6, page 405) Equity Return: Without Taxes: RE = RA + (RA – RD)D/E With Taxes: RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – T)D/E

30 New Example: An Unlevered Firm earns $100 per year forever
Calculate the RE and WACC: Unlevered means D/E = 0 No Interest Expense So EBIT = EBT = $100 Taxes = 35% NI = EBIT(1 – T) = $100(1 – 0.35) = $65 The firm has 100 shares of stock EPS = $65/100 = $0.65 Price per share = $6.50 RE = $0.65/$6.50 = 10% WACC = RA = WERE + WDRD(1 - T) = 1.00(10.00%) + 0 = 10.00% Value = $6.50 x 100 = $650 The firm issues $200 of 5% debt and repurchases $200 of stock What does this do to the firm’s value (VL versus VU)? What does this do to the firm’s cost of equity (RE)? What does this do the firm’s WACC?

31 With Taxes, Adding Debt Increases Firm Value
What does this do to the firm’s Value? Unlevered Value (VU) is the PV of the after-tax EBIT T = 35% D = $200 RD = 5% VU = EBIT(1 – T)/WACC = $100(1 – 0.35)/0.10 = $650 VL = VU + PV of Tax Shield Recall: Annual Tax Shield = Tax Rate x Interest Expense = RD x D x T PV of Annual Tax Shield = (RD x D x T)/RD = TD VL = VU + TD VL = $650 + $200 x 0.35 = $650 + $70 = $720 With Taxes, Adding Debt Increases Firm Value

32 Leverage increases the Equity’s risk so RE Increases
What does this do to the firm’s cost of equity (RE)? Calculate the New RE: for the Levered Firm: RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – T)D/E RA = 10.00% RD = 5.00% T = 35% Value = $720 D = $200 E = $720 - $200 = $520 D/E = 200/520 = = 10% + (10% - 5%)( ) = 11.25% Unlevered RE = 10.00% Levered RE = 11.25% Leverage increases the Equity’s risk so RE Increases

33 Leverage Lowers the Cost of Capital!
What does this do to the firm’s WACC? Before the Leverage: RE = 10.00% WE = 1.00 Taxes = 35% WACC = WERE + WDRD(1 - T) WACC = 1.00(10.00%) + 0 = 10.00% If the firm issues $200 of 5% debt and repurchases $200 of stock: RE = 11.25% WE = $520/$720 = RD = 5.00% WD = $200/$720 = T = 35% WACC = (11.25%) (5.00%)(1 – 0.35) = 9.03% Leverage Lowers the Cost of Capital!

34 With Taxes, Adding Debt Lowers WACC And this Increases Firm Value
One More Look at Value – Lowering the WACC Unlevered WACC was 10% VU = EBIT(1 – T)/WACC VU = $100(1 – 0.35)/0.10 = 65/0.10 = $650 Levered WACC is 9.03% VL = EBIT(1 – T)/WACC VL = $100(1 – 0.35)/ = 65/ = $720 With Taxes, Adding Debt Lowers WACC And this Increases Firm Value

35 One More Look at the Firm’s Cost of Equity (RE)
Consider the CAPM: RE = Rf + βEquity[E(RM) – Rf] For the Market: E(RM) – Rf = 8.33% Rf = 5.00% RE for the Unlevered Firm: βEquity = 0.60 RE = Rf + βEquity[E(RM) – Rf] = 5.00% [8.33%] = 10.00% Also: βEquity = βAssets [1 + (1 - T)D/E] 0.60 = βAssets [1 + (1 - T)0/E] βAssets = 0.60

36 One More Look at the Firm’s Cost of Equity (RE) For the Levered Firm
D/E = 200/520 = βAssets = 0.60 βEquity = βAssets [1 + (1 - T)D/E] = 0.60[1 + (0.65)(0.3846)] βEquity = 0.60[ ] = 0.60(1.25) = 0.75 RE = Rf + βEquity[E(RM) – Rf] = 5.00% [8.33%] = 11.25% This is the same RE as we got from MM II: RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – T)D/E = 10% + (10% - 5%)( ) = 11.25%

37 Recap: With Taxes: Leverage Increases Equity Risk (βEquity)
βEquity = βAssets [1 + (1 - T)D/E] βEquity from 0.60 to 0.75 Leverage Increases Equity Return (RE) RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – T)D/E RE from 10.00% to 11.25% Leverage Decreases WACC WACC from 10.00% to 9.03% Leverage Increases Value VL = VU + TD Value from $650 to $720

38 So if Increasing Leverage Increases Value
Why not 100% Debt? Let’s try 90% debt instead: Same Company with NI = $65 and VU = $650 Now issue $854 of 5% Debt (instead of $200) VL = VU + TD = $650 + (.35)$854 = $650 + $299 = $949 E = $949 – $854 = $95 WE = $95/$949 = and WD = 854/949 = 0.90 D/E = $854/$95 = 9.00 Calculate New RE: RE = RA + (RA – RD)(1 – T)D/E = 10% + (10% - 5%)(.65)9 = 39.22% Calculate New WACC: WACC = 0.10(39.22%) (5%)(1 – 0.35) = 6.85% WACC from 10.00% to 6.85% Old Value: $65/0.10 = $650 New Value: $65/ = $948 Why does this not work?

39 How Firms Establish Capital Structure
Most corporations have low Debt-Asset ratios. Changes in financial leverage affect firm value. Firm value increases with leverage This is consistent with M&M with taxes. Another interpretation is that firms signal good news when they lever up Differences in capital structure across industries. Evidence that firms behave as if they had a target Debt-Equity ratio

40 Factors in Target D/E Ratio
Taxes Since interest is tax deductible, highly profitable firms should use more debt (i.e., greater tax benefit). Types of Assets The costs of financial distress depend on the types of assets the firm has. Airplanes vs. Fixed Assets Uncertainty of Operating Income Cyclicality and Operating Leverage Even without debt, firms with uncertain operating income have a high probability of experiencing financial distress

41 Some Debt to Value Ratios

42 Some Others


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