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Foreign exchange markets
Financial Management Foreign exchange markets
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Foreign Exchange Rates
Currency quotation Indirect: $1 = AED 3.67 Direct: $ = AED 1 Inverse relationship: 1/indirect = direct Currency appreciation/depreciation Indirect quote increase = appreciation Direct quote increase = depreciation FX rate driver: supply and demand of currency
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Spot and Forward Exchange Rates
Spot rate: foreign exchange rate now Forward rate: foreign exchange rate in future Why are they different? Why do FX rates change? Interest rate differences between countries Inflation differences between countries Default risk differences between countries
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Forward Exchange Rate Premium/Discount
Formula: (spot-forward) / spot Example:
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Purchasing Power Parity
“Balancing” relationship between prices and FX rates
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Fixed Exchange Rates Some countries “override” market factors by created a fixed exchange rate with a major currency Examples: Oman: OMR = USD $1 Mali: CFA = €1 Nepal: NPR = INR 1
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Exchange Rate Risk Risk that exchange rates change unfavorably
Example:
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Hedging and Derivatives
To protect against exchange rate risk, a company can use a hedge transaction Example: option to buy $2,500 at MXN 20/USD 1 by date of loan repayment
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