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Decarbonisation objective
In September 2009, both the European Union (EU) and G8 leaders agreed that CO2 emissions must be cut by 80% by 2050 if atmospheric CO2 is to stabilise at 550 parts per million – and global warming stay below the safe level of 2ºC. 80% Decarbonisation by 2050 requires 95% Decarbonisation of the road transport sector "Success, indeed survival, in tomorrow's automobile industry will depend on how individual auto companies meet rapidly growing worldwide concerns over environmental quality and scarce energy resources“
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“ A Portfolio of Power-trains for Europe: a fact based analysis
30 global companies, 10,000 proprietary and confidential data points Independent analysis by McKinsey & Company Conclusions include BEV’s alone are not sufficient FCEVs ready for commercialisation, 90% cost reduction by 2020, Cost competitive with ICE vehicles around 2025 Hydrogen infrastructure affordable Hydrogen can be produced cost effectively
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Intent for Commercial roll-out
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Key role of FCEV in reaching Germany's target is to fully decarbonize private transport by 2050
CO2 emissions well-to-wheel, g CO2/km Objectives set by German government Internal combustion engine – gasoline2 2010 2010 Germany aims to reduce CO2 emissions by 40/55/ % until 2020/2030/2050 compared to 1990 The transport sector accounts for ~ 19% of total German CO2 emissions in 2009 Until 2020, Germany aims to reduce trans-port emissions by million tons CO21 2010 Plug-in hybrid Electric Vehicle Battery electric vehicle 2010 2050 2050 Internal combustion engine – diesel2 Fuel cell electric vehicle 2050 2010 Low emissions and high range 2050 2050 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1 According to the Integrated Energy and Climate Program; 21% compared to 1990 2 Range for 2050 based on fuel-economy improvement (constant tank size assumed); assumed 6% CO2 reduction due to biofuels by 2020, 24% by 2050 Range, km
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Key role of hydrogen as an energy carrier to facilitate the energy transition in Germany
Energy storage for supply from renewables Hydrogen for industrial processes Mobility Decentralized power-heat cogeneration Up to 5% H2 feed in natural gas pipeline possible Water electrolysis Byproduct of the chemical industry Reforming of natural gas/biogas or gasification of biomass/coal
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Potential HRS rollout in Germany
Tier-1 regions Tier-2 regions Tier-3 regions 2015 2020 2030 High- way Metro- politan Sub- urban No. of FCEVs Thousands ~ 5 ~ 150 ~ 1.800 No. of HRS ~ 100 ~ 400 ~ 1.000 Total population covered by HRS Percent ~ 20 ~ 60 ~ 100
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On 18 January 2012 the UK launched UK H2Mobility – a ground breaking project to ensure the UK is well positioned for the commercial roll-out of HFCEVs Objectives of UK H2 Mobility Participants Evaluate the potential for hydrogen as a transport fuel and develop a rollout strategy that will contribute towards: Decarbonising surface transport to meet emission reduction targets Creating new economic opportunities for the UK with job creation across the value chain Diversifying energy supply with the potential to increase energy security Reducing local environmental impacts of road transport such as air quality and noise pollution UK H2Mobility will deliver an objective and fact-based evaluation and roadmap for hydrogen rollout in the UK, with a target deployment date from 2015. UK Government departments Car OEMs Hydrogen providers/ producers and utilities Technology providers Public-private partnerships UK H2Mobility - key messages for use in external communications
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UK H2Mobility key messages
UK H2Mobility brings together three Government departments and industrial participants from the utility, gas, infrastructure and global car manufacturing sectors in a ground breaking project to ensure the UK is well positioned for the commercial roll-out of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles from 2015. UK H2Mobility is currently evaluating the potential for hydrogen as an ultra low carbon fuel in the UK, as one of a number of solutions to decarbonise road transport, and will produce a public summary report by the end of 2012. UK H2Mobility will develop an action plan for an anticipated roll-out of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles to consumers, analysing in detail the specific UK case and the investments required to commercialise the technology, including refuelling infrastructure. UK H2Mobility will identify what is required to make the UK a leading global player in hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicle manufacturing and use, thereby paving the way for economic opportunities to the UK through the creation of new jobs and boosting of local economies. The project will also quantify the potential emissions benefits of HFCEVs in the UK. UK H2Mobility - key messages for use in external communications
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UK H2Mobility is following a stage gated approach
Phase 1: Evaluate role of hydrogen transport in the UK rollout strategy development Phase 2: Business case development Phase 3: Implementation plan Establish a robust evidence base for the role of H2 in the UK market Develop strategy for H2 rollout in the UK Public summary report of Phase 1 Develop an agreed business case and implementation plan Coordinated action to deliver the vision for hydrogen rollout Jan 2011 Dec 2012 Summer 2013 End 2013 UK H2Mobility - key messages for use in external communications
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