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Analise and Hope ISIL in Iraq
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About the Conflict Between the Islamic State in the Levant and the states in which it operates ISIL & Syria currently Threats of Nigeria & Libya Affiliates in other countries Analysis of the causes and consequences of spread of global terrorism Consequences: Cultural Political Economic
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Key Ethnic Identities Sunni Arabs Shiite Arabs Kurds Yazidis
20% of Iraq Live in “Sunni triangle” Shiite Arabs 68% of Iraq Shiites live only in Iraq, Iran, Pakistan and India Kurds Make up 15-18% of Iraq Most are Sunni Mostly live in North Yazidis Approx. 300,000 in Iraq Kurdish & Zoroastrian
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U.S. Involvement 2003: U.S. Invasion of Iraq
2006: Appointment of PM Nouri al-Maliki 2011: U.S. troops leave, Maliki solidifies ethnic divides 2 campaigns establish ISIL support network “Breaking the Walls” “Soldiers Harvest”
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The Birth of ISIL Ideological split from Al-Qaeda in Iraq
Al-Zarqawi & Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi Foundations set by al-Zarqawi & ISI Strict interpretation of Islamic texts Salafist and Takfiri Teachings Beyond Global Jihadism Short term goals Islamic Caliphate over Middle East Long term goals Global Influence
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ISIL’s Ideology Actors
Icons Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi Ayman al-Zawahiri Religious Scholars Issue fatwas Strategic Thinkers Young members of militant groups Ideological Actors Use of propaganda and justifications Rely heavily on recruitment Grassroots Radicals Indirect online spread of jihadism
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ISIL on Social Media Twitter, Facebook, Instagram
“Twitter bombs” Social Media Branding #hashtag branding YouTube Violent videos of attacks Videos showing fighters living well Phone Apps “Dawn of Good Tidings”
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ISIL in the Print Media Dabiq Islamic State Report
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Key Findings ISIL uses religious ideology as justification for gaining power Apostacy First terror network with a successful social media campaign Uses as way to gain recruits abroad, uses as a fear tactic domestically ISIL’s current operations are economically unsustainable Lacks long-term sustainability Western response required Undermining of ISIL propaganda tactics
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Implications International: West should undermine propaganda tactics
Bring to light: ISIL crimes ISIL military failures Infighting between ISIL & al-Qaeda Domestic: Creation of a common Iraqi nationalist identity Joint committees & organizations to stabilize and bring unity to Iraq
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