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Networked Taiwan H. T. Kung July 22, 2003
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Presentation Plan Defining “Networked Taiwan”
2018/11/18 Presentation Plan Defining “Networked Taiwan” Strategies and Opportunities A National-level Focus: Integrated Beyond 3G (iB3G) or 雙網計畫 Improve the System Recap
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“Networked Taiwan” Three levels of meaning:
2018/11/18 “Networked Taiwan” Three levels of meaning: Network level (“plumbing” level) Network connectivity, broadband penetration, # wireless access points, etc. Service level (“information systems”) E-government, e-learning, e-healthcare, etc. Society level (“social networking”) Perhaps most interesting We elaborate on the 2nd and 3rd levels in the next two slides
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“Macro Computing” at Service Level
2018/11/18 “Macro Computing” at Service Level Service-level networking is “macro computing” for enterprises. It is large-scale integration of people, databases and services through computer and telecom networks, e.g., Healthcare systems for the senior population Entertainment Distance learning These applications often have unlimited market demand This is in contrast to traditional "micro computing" for individuals
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"Social Capital“ at Society Level
2018/11/18 "Social Capital“ at Society Level Society-level networking is “social capital”, which refers to those stocks of social trust, norms and networks that people can draw upon to solve common problems“ "Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community" by Robert D. Putnam, New York: Simon & Schuster, 2000 Social capital, beyond just physical capital, is essential in addressing challenges and making difficult decisions
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2018/11/18 The Current Status Taiwan has been successful at the “Network Level”, E.g., High ADSL and cellular phone penetration rates 10% of world market in handset manufacturing, and growing 80% of world market in WLAN manufacturing
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“Service Level” Should Be the Next Focus
2018/11/18 Large-scale applications and services are where computing and communications converge Computing is part of telecom services Applications are where telecom’s future lies We will illustrate a strategy in enhancing the service aspect of “Networked Taiwan”
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A Principle: “Anticipate and Lead”
2018/11/18 A Principle: “Anticipate and Lead” Anticipate future discontinuities in science, technology and business models These discontinuities may be as varied as the end of current semiconductor device feature scaling or the emergence of XML Web services as the underpinning of all future e-commerce Develop R&D policies on preparing for and leveraging emergent opportunities that these discontinuities represent Only through an anticipatory R&D program capable of identifying and ultimately leading such seminal changes can Taiwan hope to secure a leading position in emerging areas
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Some Technical Background
2018/11/18 Some Technical Background Cellular Phone Network Mobility and wide-area coverage in voice services Narrow-band data services Standards: 1G (analog); 2G (digital); 2.5G/3G (packets) Wireless Local Area Network (WLAN) High-speed wireless but in specific locations Low-cost and grassroots deployment Standards: b (Wi-Fi) and Bluetooth
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2018/11/18 Rapid Growth of WLANs WLAN users in North America will shoot from 4.2 million in 2003 to 31 million by 2007 (source: Gartner) Taiwan produced 11 million units in 2002, and 16 million expected in 2003 By 2004, 60 or 70 million world wide installations (source: Intersil) By 2005, over 80% professional notebook PCs will have WLAN interface (source: Gartner) By 2007, revenue from WLAN hot-spot users will surpass US$9 billion (source: Gartner) Note that many ISPs are installing WLANs automatically as part of DSL or cable service package
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“Parasitic Grid” of WLANs
2018/11/18 “Parasitic Grid” of WLANs Enterprises and end users make their own investment in WLANs They have been aggressively installing wired Ethernets for the past dozen years They have shown similar enthusiasm in installing WLANs For WLANs, there is no need for carriers to gather millions of subscribers to justify deployment investment; things just happen automatically! Need to reuse private WLANs (public WLANs have been insignificant and expect to remain so for the next several years)
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New York City’s “Parasitic Grid”
2018/11/18 New York City’s “Parasitic Grid” 12,647 Wi-Fi access points in New York City, Summer 2002 (WLANs must have been providing good value for users!)
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Two Possible Responses to the Rapid WLAN Growth
2018/11/18 To play safe: leave WLAN to computer industry Like PDA, thin-client, etc. To play big: integrate WLAN with telecom industry In particular, work on large-volume handsets beyond traditional PDAs We argue that we should take the second approach
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WLANs Will Affect Telephone Operators Business
2018/11/18 WLANs Will Affect Telephone Operators Business Cellular phone subscribers will demand mobile access to WLAN-based services E.g., make use of WLAN resources in servers, network bandwidth, etc. Fixed-line phone subscribers will demand Wi-Fi portable access to phone lines or PBS systems as well as access to WLAN-based services
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Cellular-WLAN Integration: Combining the Best of Both
2018/11/18 Cellular Coverage for voice and data services Seamless roaming for wireless data services Mobility Billing WLAN Deployment in hotspots, homes, work places, etc. High bandwidth and low cost Multimedia services
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A Telecom Strategy for Taiwan
2018/11/18 A Telecom Strategy for Taiwan We have launched a focused national-level initiative (雙網計畫 or iB3G program) to prepare for and leverage emergent opportunities represented by WLANs Within two years, attain a world leadership position in a dozen of key technology and service areas Brand Taiwan as a powerhouse in creation of integrated WLAN and cellular technology and services Start new business ventures in this area Leverage existing strengths of Taiwan: World-class manufacturing capability in WLAN and handset Highly competitive mobile operators in Taiwan
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Defining cellular-WLAN Integration
2018/11/18 Defining cellular-WLAN Integration User perspective Technology perspective
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Cellular-WLAN Integration: User Perspective
2018/11/18 Cellular-WLAN Integration: User Perspective Integration means: beyond cellular services, a subscriber may also access WLAN-based services when he is in WLAN areas
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Cellular-WLAN Integration: Technology Perspective
2018/11/18 Cellular-WLAN Integration: Technology Perspective Integration means both: handsets, called "integrated handsets“ here, can access WLANs as well as cellular phone networks and interoperability of WLANs and cellular networks at some layers of networking
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Two Integration Approaches
2018/11/18 Two Integration Approaches Tight coupling Integration starting at a layer below the IP layer Seamless voice handoff between cellular and WLAN Loose coupling More suitable at this time Integration starting at the IP layer Use of the existing phone authentication, authorization and accounting (AAA) systems in WLAN
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Mobile Operators’ Possible Concerns & Proposed Responses
2018/11/18 Public WLAN hotspots They sometimes have low usage Response: Offer billing and roaming services. Focus on subscriber's own private and enterprise WLANs Voice over IP (VoIP) Likely, VoIP will only shift business revenues rather than increasing total revenue Response: Create other revenues, e.g., content Small handsets Can handsets with stringent size and battery power constraints make good use of WLAN? Response: Yes, see the next slide
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Use of Integrated Handsets for WLAN-based Services
2018/11/18 A wide range of WLAN resources are available to handsets: Access points, file system, mass storage, smart display, wall mounted display, entertainment center, etc.
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Use of Integrated Handsets for WLAN-based Services (Cont.)
2018/11/18 Handsets can use resource discovery protocols to find WLAN resources: Universal Plug and Play (UPnP) Zeroconf XML Web services Handsets can use powerful peripherals to work with these resources: I/O: Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, etc. Storage: Memory sticks (512MB), USB drive (2GB), 1.5in HD (5GB), etc.
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Triangle Routing: An Example Problem Integration Can Solve
2018/11/18 Cellular Connection USB Drive Handset WLAN ISP File Server E.g., download video to home entertainment center
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Handover to High-bandwidth WLAN Shortcuts
2018/11/18 Cellular Connection USB Drive Handset High-speed WLAN Connection ISP AP File Server
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Handover to High-bandwidth Internet Connection
2018/11/18 Cellular Connection USB Drive Handset High-speed WLAN Connection File Server AP High-speed Internet Connection
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Examples of Integration Efforts
2018/11/18 Examples of Integration Efforts Avaya/Proxim/Motorola: Wi-Fi/cellular roaming Nokia: Wi-Fi/GPRS integration Cometa Networks: JV of AT&T, IBM, Intel to provide wholesale wireless broadband T-Mobile: Starbucks, etc. hotspot services Boingo: WLAN hotspots aggregator Nextel: iDEN and private Wi-Fi for customers Verizon & Sprint focus on 1XRTT for now Lots of others: VoIP integration, security, etc. Source: William Lehr, March 2003
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Further Integration Examples
2018/11/18 Further Integration Examples British Telecom has committed to providing public WLAN services with 4,000 hotspots by 2005 Texas Instruments has a 3-in-1 chip integrating cell phone networking, b and Bluetooth technologies Toshiba will deploy 10,000 public access Wi-Fi hot spots in the US by the end of 2003 Intel is working on public Wi-Fi access in Asia through an agreement with the Singapore government Cisco has began to deliver Wi-Fi phones
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2018/11/18 Business Models
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Examples of WLAN-enabled New Businesses for Mobile Operators
2018/11/18 Examples of WLAN-enabled New Businesses for Mobile Operators Billing and roaming services. Support WLAN hotspots and enterprises, possibly organized by aggregators such as Boingo MMS with integrated WLAN. Provide high- bandwidth WLAN delivery of conferencing and multimedia messages, i.e., “MSN-Messenger-with-WMP using a handset” Broadband content services. Consider NTT DoCoMo's i-mode as a model. Because of their higher bandwidth and lower delivery cost, WLANs should actually do better than i-mode in content services
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2018/11/18 The Size of Digital Content Market on i-mode 立ち上がったデジタルコンテンツマーケット Excluding e-commerce and other payment method provided by third parties Average # of contents per paying subscriber % of users paying for contents More than $1 billion i-mode digital content market in 2002! (fiscal year) JAVA Launch 10 million subs 504 Launch (million Yen)
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Mobile Operators' Advantages
2018/11/18 Mobile Operators' Advantages Billing systems can handle new business models Per-user, rather than per-household, billing Roaming agreements with other operators Payment collection enforceable by terminating voice service of non-paying user SIM card based authentication Location-based services can complement resource discovery on WLAN, e.g., scoping the broadcast domain Handsets can support digital rights management (DRM) for content-based services. The DRM function of handsets is like that of cable set-top boxes
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An Eco-system: All Parties in the Value Chain Must Win
2018/11/18 Mobile operators: subscription fee, air time, roaming fee, authentication fee, content revenue sharing, advertisement, etc. (do not worry about content generation, WLAN deployment and operations, etc.) Content providers: content income from mobile operators (do not worry about content delivery, billing, DRM, etc.) WLAN operators and aggregators: service fee from mobile operators or enterprise owners (do not worry about billing, roaming, etc.) Handset manufacturers: high-value-added handsets for content services
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“Non-telecom Way of Thinking” Is Essential
2018/11/18 “Non-telecom Way of Thinking” Is Essential Key Words: Positive Feedback De Facto Standard Content Centric Business Model Consumer Oriented Marketing Digital Content Market Value Chain Eco System Seamless and Continuous Evolution Source: Takeshi Natsuno of imode, 2003
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Action Items Cross-industry consortia Handsets
2018/11/18 Action Items Cross-industry consortia Handsets Next-generation service trials Education programs Regulatory initiatives
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Cross-industry Consortia
2018/11/18 Cross-industry Consortia Type 1: collaboration between operators and content providers Operator-independent content Subscriber authentication to support content service Competitive billing for content service Type 2: collaboration between operators and handset manufacturers Handsets supporting common content platforms and I/O interfaces DRM support
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Handsets Multi-mode cellular/WLAN handsets
2018/11/18 Handsets Multi-mode cellular/WLAN handsets Low-power Wi-Fi radio and MAC Handover to WLAN Handsets with broadband peripheral interfaces Wi-FI smart handsets, PBX, portable phones VPN, audio and video streaming, WLAN resource discovery DRM handsets Separate ENUM numbers
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2018/11/18 Education Programs NSC/MOE coordinates site licenses for acquiring cellular-WLAN systems and platforms developed by Taiwan R&D organizations to support teaching and research at universities Deployment of these systems and platforms at universities and labs
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2018/11/18 Service Trials Broadband content services over WLANs, such as those with DRM support Integrated messaging services such as MMS over WLAN Integrated billing and roaming services for WLANs WLAN aggregators based on common hot spot platforms, realizing simplified Nx1, rather than NxN, business relationships
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Principle for Regulatory Policies
2018/11/18 Principle for Regulatory Policies Policies have industrial objectives of enhancing Taiwan’s competitiveness in technology, content and services That is, policies need to be proactive in advancing manufacturing, content and service capabilities in Taiwan Study regulatory advances in other countries, such as South Korea. If they can do it, Taiwan should try to do it too
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Regulatory Initiatives
2018/11/18 Regulatory Initiatives “Open menu” on subscriber handsets Enforcement of local loop unbundling WAN outdoor: extension to class 1 and to class 2 EMI approval of equipment rather than their deployment (shouldn’t we be less paranoid about interference, given the Manhattan Wi-Fi map?)
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Regulatory Initiatives (Cont.)
2018/11/18 Regulatory Initiatives (Cont.) Reuse 3G TDD band in WLAN Increase unlicensed band substantially Allow liberal interpretation of “ISM” Encourage transit and lower transit charge for WLAN traffic Encourage WLAN antenna setting (e.g., access to roof, sharing power, and line-of-sight protection) Privacy, universal access, etc.
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Government Initiatives and Programs
2018/11/18 Encourage services and applications using integrated cellular-WLAN systems eTaiwan, etc. Public WLANs Broadband infrastructure deployment projects Digital TV initiatives Leverage national R&D programs such as NTPO, SOC and Digital Learning Close collaboration among 經濟部, 交通部, 財政部 and 教育部
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2018/11/18 Recap We need to anticipate and prepare for “discontinuities”, and develop control points The phone-WLAN integration is inevitable Ought to seize this discontinuity to secure a leadership position in telecom. Speedy execution is the issue Manufacturers, operators and service providers must collaborate. How well we can collaborate will determine our competitiveness Some changes in mindset and structure are necessary with “open style” thinking emphasized Pay attention to new opportunity areas: discovery and use of WLAN resources, application-centric network systems, DRM handsets, etc.
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Government Leadership Is Extremely Important Here
2018/11/18 Nurture cross-industry collaboration Adopt forward-looking regulatory policies Ensure highly competitive infrastructures and services. E.g., achieve the following by 2006: A minimum of X=10 Mbit/s available to Y=80% of households and businesses in the whole of Taiwan at the cost of Z=US $40/months A minimum of three broadband service operators available to A=80% of these users
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2018/11/18 Challenge Do we have the will and “social capital” to work together and lead?
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