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Published bySudirman Muljana Modified over 6 years ago
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UAB Green and Gold Fund Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. (WDR)
Buy Presentation January 19, 2012
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Asset Management Highly competitive industry, but offers significant economic profits (ROIC > WACC) 3 Levers for Earnings Fund Flows Market Appreciation Economies of Scale (Operating Leverage)
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Waddell & Reed Asset management and financial planning
Ivy Funds and Waddell & Reed Advisors Funds Consistently ranked in top decile for fund families Historical focus in large cap growth equities Distribute funds through Advisor, Wholesale, and Institutional Channels Future growth catalysts – promote Ivy Funds brand and focus on diversification of product line
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Historical Fund Performance (2010)
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Growth relative to peers
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Fund Flows Advisors channel was historically chief source of fund flows Sticky AUMs with redemptions ~ 10% Wholesale and institutional channels will drive future growth
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Fund Flows and AUM by Channel
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Valuation
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Historical P/Es
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Fundamental Data This increase in energy will create a substantial increase in revenue since Energy makes up 25% of total revenue.
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Key stats relative to peers
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Why is WDR undervalued relative to peers?
Ivy Asset Strategy – flagship product with 33% of WDR’s AUM World Allocation strategy targets all asset classes Sharp 19% drop in fund value from July – Oct. Recently downgraded to 3 from 4 stars by Morningstar
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WASAX fund flows
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WASAX Top Holdings
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Long-term Outperformance
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Stock Price: Buy Low, Sell High
This increase in energy will create a substantial increase in revenue since Energy makes up 25% of total revenue.
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Stock Price This increase in energy will create a substantial increase in revenue since Energy makes up 25% of total revenue.
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SWOT Analysis Strengths Weaknesses Good relative performance
Product concentration Historically strong fund flows Financial market sensitivity Strong advisor base reduces redemptions Asset Strategy fund underperformance Opportunities Threats Diversification among products Deterioration in global equity markets Inexpensive beta play Higher correlation among asset classes Growing awareness of Ivy Funds brand Fierce competition for fund flows
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Investment Thesis As one of the more attractively priced asset managers, WDR currently provides a discounted beta play on the broader U.S. equity market. Longer-term, the successful performance and growing name recognition of the Ivy Funds brand should contribute to above average growth in AUM.
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Portfolio Recommendation
BUY 500 shares of WDR at limit of ~$27 ($13,500) Total position: 500 shares / 2.8% of portfolio (after purchase) Financials Target Sector Allocation: 10.5%, Current Sector Allocation: 11.1% Allocation after purchase: 13.9% This increase in energy will create a substantial increase in revenue since Energy makes up 25% of total revenue.
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