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WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM

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Presentation on theme: "WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM"— Presentation transcript:

1 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
Agenda III. Lessons from 2007: Gaps and Needs for Understanding Arctic Change 8:30 a.m. Welcome, review of Wednesday discussions, and today's goal Martin Miles, ESARC Jean-Claude Gascard, Université Pierre et Marie Curie 9:00 a.m. Presentations and Discussion focused on: ·        What lessons can be learned from 2007 to guide future science activities? ·        What is needed in additional capacity and plans for observing the season (and beyond) to improve our understanding, and response strategies to arctic-system change? Specific needs relating back to the AON and Lagrangian workhops? 10:00 BREAK 10:30 a.m. Conclusions, recommendations, and next steps: ·        Given the unexpected changes witnessed in 2007, what are the priorities for observing, understanding, and responding to change activities? ·        How should these priorities be addressed? What are the next steps? Discussion of workshop products (reports, synthesis papers and other products), next steps, and writing assignments Myself: Co-Chair of this workshop series, with Hajo Eicken as the Lead Co-Chair of the whole affair. However, I’ve got responsibility for this particular worskhop today and tomorrow morning. I il be be a Moderator of this morning and to be some degree throughout the sessions, however, Jean-Claude Gascard, with Hajo Eicken and others Discussion Leaders, Working Group Leaders and Rapporteurs

2 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
Conclusions, recommendations and next steps 10:30 a.m. Conclusions, recommendations, and next steps: Given the unexpected changes witnessed in 2007, what are the priorities for observing, understanding, and responding to change activities? How should these priorities be addressed? What are the next steps? Discussion of workshop products (report, synthesis papers and other products), next steps, and writing assignments Myself: Co-Chair of this workshop series, with Hajo Eicken as the Lead Co-Chair of the whole affair. My background early career in tow research centres in Norway, sea ice and climate, primarily from long observational time series, instrumental historical and high-resolution paleo … My earlier work was a series of satellite passive microwave analyses in Norway, ’95, ’97 and ’99. (ice and multiyear ice decrease) not onlythe extent and area. It is nice to see that we were right … though of course had no idea that the rate of change would be a large and abrupt as it appears to be.

3 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
1. Report State-of-the-art Gaps Recommendations Near-term Long-term

4 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
1. Report Issue: Openness Issue: Process (input and output) Issue: Writing assignments

5 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
2. Sea-ice Outlook Issue: SEARCH, DAMOCLES collaboration Issue: Roles and responsibilities Issue: Management

6 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
3. Synthesis papers Issue: Quantity and quality (type and themes) Issue: Process

7 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
3. Synthesis papers

8 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
Future Plans and Timeline 03/2007 Workshop conclusion 04/2007 Report preparation and circulation Prediction (“outlook”) development 05/2007 Report delivery to NSF Produce sea-ice outlook Research and publication

9 WORKSHOP: LESSONS FROM THE 2007 ICE MINIMUM
Future Plans and Timeline 06-09/2007 Update sea-ice outlook 08-09/2007 Arrange AGU special session 10-12/2007 Retrospective activities, e.g., Workshop Observations, research and publication


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