1. DTM, Epidemiologic, and Migration
People, Stages, and Characteristics

2. Transitions and Stages1 2 3 4 5
DTM
Epidemiologic
Migration

3. Transitions and Stages1 2 3 4
DTM
BR – High
DR – High
NIR – Low
DR – Rap decline
NIR - High
BR – Rap decline
DR – cont. decline
NIR - moderate
BR – Low
DR – Low
NIR – Low/ possible decrease
Epidemiologic
(Abdel Omran)
CDR – High
Pestilence and Famine
CDR – Rap. Decline
Receding Pandemics
CDR – Mod. Declining
Degenerative
Diseases
CDR – Low, but increasing
Delayed Degenerative
(Olshansky and Ault)
Migration
(Zelinsky)
High daily or seasonal mobility in search of food
High international emigration and interregional migration from rural to urban
High international immigration and intraregional migration from cities to suburbs
Same as Stage 3