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Christos H. Papadimitriou UC Berkeley christos
Networks and Games Christos H. Papadimitriou UC Berkeley christos
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(Mathematical tools: combinatorics, logic)
Goal of TCS ( ): Develop a mathematical understanding of the capabilities and limitations of the von Neumann computer and its software –the dominant and most novel computational artifacts of that time (Mathematical tools: combinatorics, logic) What should Theory’s goals be today? rosser lecture, nov
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rosser lecture, nov
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The Internet Huge, growing, open, end-to-end
Built and operated by companies in various (and varying) degrees of competition The first computational artefact that must be studied by the scientific method Theoretical understanding urgently needed Tools: math economics and game theory, probability, graph theory, spectral theory rosser lecture, nov
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Today: Nash equilibrium The price of anarchy Vickrey shortest paths
Power Laws Collaborators: Alex Fabrikant, Joan Feigenbaum, Elias Koutsoupias, Eli Maneva, Milena Mihail, Amin Saberi, Rahul Sami, Scott Shenker rosser lecture, nov
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(NB: also, many players)
Game Theory strategies strategies 3,-2 payoffs (NB: also, many players) rosser lecture, nov
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e.g. 1,-1 -1,1 3,3 0,4 4,0 1,1 0,0 0,1 1,0 -1,-1 matching pennies
prisoner’s dilemma 1,-1 -1,1 3,3 0,4 4,0 1,1 chicken 0,0 0,1 1,0 -1,-1 rosser lecture, nov
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concepts of rationality
undominated strategy (problem: too weak) (weakly) dominating srategy (alias “duh?”) (problem: too strong, rarely exists) Nash equilibrium (or double best response) (problem: may not exist) randomized Nash equilibrium Theorem [Nash 1952]: Always exists. . rosser lecture, nov
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is it in P? rosser lecture, nov
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The critique of mixed Nash equilibrium
Is it really rational to randomize? (cf: bluffing in poker, tax audits) If (x,y) is a Nash equilibrium, then any y’ with the same support is as good as y (corollary: problem is combinatorial!) Convergence/learning results mixed There may be too many Nash equilibria rosser lecture, nov
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The price of anarchy cost of worst Nash equilibrium
“socially optimum” cost [Koutsoupias and P, 1998] Also: [Spirakis and Mavronikolas 01, Roughgarden 01, Koutsoupias and Spirakis 01] rosser lecture, nov
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Selfishness can hurt you!
delays x 1 Social optimum: 1.5 x 1 Anarchical solution: 2 rosser lecture, nov
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The price of the Internet architecture?
Worst case? Price of anarchy = “2” (4/3 for linear delays) [Roughgarden and Tardos, 2000, Roughgarden 2002] The price of the Internet architecture? rosser lecture, nov
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Mechanism design (or inverse game theory)
agents have utilities – but these utilities are known only to them game designer prefers certain outcomes depending on players’ utilities designed game (mechanism) has designer’s goals as dominating strategies (or other rational outcomes) rosser lecture, nov
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e.g., Vickrey auction sealed-highest-bid auction encourages gaming and speculation Vickrey auction: Highest bidder wins, pays second-highest bid Theorem: Vickrey auction is a truthful mechanism. Theorem: It maximizes social benefit and auctioneer expected revenue. rosser lecture, nov
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e.g., shortest path auction
3 6 5 s 4 t 6 10 3 11 pay e its declared cost c(e), plus a bonus equal to dist(s,t)|c(e) = - dist(s,t) rosser lecture, nov
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Problem: s t Theorem [Elkind, Sahai, Steiglitz, 03]: This is
1 1 1 1 1 s 10 t Theorem [Elkind, Sahai, Steiglitz, 03]: This is inherent for truthful mechanisms. rosser lecture, nov
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But… …in the Internet (the graph of autonomous systems) VCG overcharge would be only about 30% on the average [FPSS 2002] Could this be the manifestation of rational behavior at network creation? rosser lecture, nov
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Theorem [with Mihail and Saberi, 2003]: In a random graph with average degree d, the expected VCG overcharge is constant (conjectured: ~1/d) rosser lecture, nov
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The monster’s tail [Faloutsos3 1999] the degrees of the Internet are power law distributed Both autonomous systems graph and router graph Eigenvalues: ditto!??! Model? rosser lecture, nov
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The world according to Zipf
Power laws, Zipf’s law, heavy tails,… i-th largest is ~ i-a (cities, words: a = 1, “Zipf’s Law”) Equivalently: prob[greater than x] ~ x -b (compare with law of large numbers) “the signature of human activity” rosser lecture, nov
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Models Size-independent growth (“the rich get richer,” or random walk in log paper) Carlson and Doyle 1999: Highly optimized tolerance (HOT) rosser lecture, nov
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Our model [with Fabrikant and Koutsoupias, 2002]:
minj < i [ dij + hopj] rosser lecture, nov
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Theorem: if < const, then graph is a star degree = n -1
if > n, then there is exponential concentration of degrees prob(degree > x) < exp(-ax) otherwise, if const < < n, heavy tail: prob(degree > x) > x -b rosser lecture, nov
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Heuristically optimized tradeoffs
Power law distributions seem to come from tradeoffs between conflicting objectives (a signature of human activity?) cf HOT, [Mandelbrot 1954] Other examples? General theorem? rosser lecture, nov
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Also: eigenvalues Theorem [with Mihail, 2002]: If the di’s obey a power law, then the nb largest eigenvalues are almost surely very close to d1, d2, d3, … Corollary: Spectral data-mining methods are of dubious value in the presence of large features rosser lecture, nov
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PS: How does traffic grow?
Trees: n2 Expanders (and most degree-balanced sparse graphs): ~ n The Internet? Theorem (with Mihail and Saberi, 2003): “Scale-free graph models” are almost certainly expanders rosser lecture, nov
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