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The Federal R&D Budget: Process and Perspectives
Matt Hourihan September 5, 2017 For the Albert Einstein Distinguished Educator Fellowships AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program
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The Federal Budget is Kind Of a Big Deal
“Politics is who gets what, when, and how.” - Harold Lasswell “Budgeting is about values, and it’s about choices.” – Rep. Rosa DeLauro Every dollar in the budget has its claimants! Negotiation between competing interests (and their proxies) in a decentralized system Major impact for R&D and innovation: most basic research, and most university research, is federally funded
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Broad Qualities of the System
Decentralization Embeddedness Incrementalism
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Two Spending Categories: Discretionary vs. Mandatory
Mandatory Spending (aka Direct Spending) Mostly entitlements, mostly on “autopilot” Potential for high political sensitivity = “third rail” New spending requires new legislation from the authorizing committees Discretionary Spending: Adjusted annually through appropriations bills via the appropriations committees Easy (nondefense) targets? i.e. Sequestration Vast majority of federal R&D is discretionary
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Budget Process in Regular Order: Three Years, Four Phases
Phase 4: Execute the fiscal year’s budget (not shown) Note: different timing in transition year! Arranged by fiscal year (October to September)
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The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 1: Internal agency discussions and planning Strategic plans, staff retreats, program assessments OMB is present throughout Agencies deliver budget justifications to OMB (early fall)
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One Agency’s R&D Budget
Agency Budgeting Coordination and Top-Down Guidance One Agency’s R&D Budget Decentralized planning and scientific input
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The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 2: OMB performs multi-stage review, responds to agencies (“passbacks”) Agencies and agency heads can and do negotiate Budget proposals are finalized in January President presents the proposed budget to Congress early February
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The Federal Budget Cycle
Phase 3: Congress gets involved Receives and reacts to President’s budget, holds hearings Approves budget resolution (simple majority) Writes and passes appropriations
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Natural Resources Cmte
House Budget Cmte Natural Resources Cmte Approps Cmte Subc on Interior + Env Subc on Energy + Water Energy + Commerce Cmte Senate Energy and Nat Res Cmte Env and Pub Works Cmte And many others… Also revenue (tax) committees (House Ways and Means, Senate Finance)
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Natural Resources Cmte
House Budget Cmte Natural Resources Cmte Approps Cmte Subc on Interior + Env Subc on Energy + Water Energy + Commerce Cmte Senate Energy and Nat Res Cmte Env and Pub Works Cmte Budget Committees
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The Budget Resolution Established by 1974 Congressional Budget Act
Overall framework Discretionary spending Also revenue, deficit, and total spending targets Also non-binding recommendations from majority Isn’t law and can’t change law, but can set up reconciliation instructions The budget resolution is a political document (and therefore, often not passed!)
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Natural Resources Cmte
House Budget Cmte Natural Resources Cmte Approps Cmte Subc on Interior + Env Subc on Energy + Water Energy + Commerce Cmte Senate Energy and Nat Res Cmte Env and Pub Works Cmte Appropriations Committees
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From Budget to Appropriations Committees
Budget Resolution limits Approps Committees Subcommittees [302(b) allocations] These caps remain in place all the way to floor, but can be revised as needed Twelve Appropriations Subcommittees Eight responsible for >$1 billion of R&D Led by “Cardinals” Committee Chairs: Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (NJ), Sen. Thad Cochran (MS) Ranking Members: Rep. Nita Lowey (NY), Sen. Patrick Leahy (VT) Appropriators will often have their own priorities All politics is local “There are three parties: Democrats, Republicans, and appropriators” “President proposes, Congress disposes”
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Energy & Water ~$40 billion
House Senate Chair Mike Simpson (ID) Lamar Alexander (TN) Ranking Member Marcy Kaptur (OH) Dianne Feinstein (CA) ~$40 billion Tradeoffs: Balancing basic research and facilities, national labs, DOE technology portfolio, NNSA; also Army Corps, Bureau of Reclamation Partisan debates over energy technologies (renewables vs. nuclear vs. fossil) Basic vs. applied? Climate research?
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Commerce, Justice, Science
House Senate Chair John Culberson (TX) Richard Shelby (AL) Ranking Member Jose Serrano (NY) Jeanne Shaheen (NH) ~$55 billion Tradeoffs: Balancing Depts. of Justice and Commerce, NASA, NSF NSF: social and geo science funding? Facilities? NASA: planetary exploration, climate research, human spaceflight (and where do we fly?) Commerce: NOAA climate research and NIST industrial technology programs controversial
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The Federal Budget Cycle
Approps committees write/approve 12 appropriations bills Bills have to pass both chambers Can be amended (always subject to caps) Funding changes or policy riders Differences are resolved in conference committee Can be filibustered
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Other Legislative Appropriations Tools
Continuing Resolutions …with depressing regularity Uncertainty? New starts? Omnibus Or minibus, or megabus, or cromnibus, or… Supplementals i.e. Zika, Ebola, Hurricane Sandy Also war funding Not subject to spending caps
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The Federal Budget Cycle
Gov’t is usually working on 3 budgets at any given time (However, presidential transitions complicate things)
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Looking Ahead FY18 spending caps: Where do we end up?
House to vote on budget resolution in September? But… Will need to work with Democrats on any deal to change the caps FY18 appropriations: House to finish omnibus this week? Senate a bit further behind Very mixed year CR likely What does White House think? Debt ceiling? Tax reform? Health reform? FY19: Guidance memo issued
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