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24th Annual Healthcare Conference
JP Morgan 24th Annual Healthcare Conference January 9, 2006
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Forward-Looking Statements
Statements included in this presentation or in the oral comments made as part of this presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements of the Company’s plans, objectives, expectations or intentions, that involve risk and uncertainties. The Company’s actual results may differ significantly from those projected or suggested in any forward-looking statement due to a variety of factors, which are discussed in detail in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Today’s Challenging Environment:
Maintaining Access to Safe and Affordable Drugs
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Unmanaged Prescription Drug Trend
Source: Drug Trend Report Plan sponsors will likely increase the use of PBM tools to manage drug spend
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Our Value Proposition: Complete Alignment
To reduce pharmacy costs, without compromise to health outcomes, while maximizing patient satisfaction
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Alignment - Building a Formulary
Evaluate relative clinical value Determine net cost Drug A Drug B Relative clinical value Drug C TALKING POINTS A key element in how PBMs interact with manufacturers is the formulary development process. This slide shows how we develop formularies at Express Scripts. We develop our formulary class by class. That is, we start with a list of chemically similar drugs used for one or more related health conditions. The first step is to rank each drug by its relative clinical value. In this case, relative clinical value relates to the number conditions for which each drug has been approved. These rankings are made based on the best available scientific data as to whether or not a drug can achieve the goal of therapy using published literature. Agents are distinguished through attributes such as side-effect profiles, potential toxicities, and drug interactions. Costs are not a consideration in determining clinical benefit. The second step in building our formulary is to account for cost. Net Cost – measured as AWP per rx minus the rebate – is shown along the horizontal axis. Here, the drugs position includes the effects of rebates. We’re looking for affordability. This cost doesn’t, however, include the effects of copays. Ideally, we’d like the drugs to end up in the top left corner, with high clinical value and low cost. What we see here is more typical, however. When a class includes generics, we include those on the chart as well. Considering generics when making formulary decisions is important, because some brand products might not be cost effective when compared to the generic (as opposed to when they are compared to other brands).This class currently doesn’t include generics, so none are plotted. Costs are NOT included by the P&T in their assessment of relative clinical value. The final step is to account for rebates. Rebate reduces the cost per rx for the drugs on the formulary (i.e., shifts the green dots to the left). Marketshare and net costs are often considered by clients when evaluating clinically equivalent products. For instance, if a drug having a high negotiated discount is non-formulary in favor of a drug that is lower costs, but also has low marketshare, costs for the therapy class may actually increase depending on MS movement. $60 $50 $70 $80 Cost per prescription
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Alignment - Building a Formulary
Drug A Drug B Drug C Most cost effective Evaluate relative clinical value Determine net cost Account for market share Drug A Drug B Relative clinical value TALKING POINTS Now we account for market share. Market share is the fraction of rxs “captured” by each different agent. Market share varies from group to group; we use book-of-business averages when we build the formulary. The bigger the dot, the greater the market share. For example, Fosamax is the biggest dot; it has the biggest market share. We account for market share because most of our plan sponsors are concerned about member disruption. All else being equal, we prefer to keep big circles on the formulary. Why worry about marketshare? Eliminating a widely used drug (one with high marketshare) from a formulary may create unacceptable levels of disruption among physicians, patients, and pharmacies. Marketshare and net costs are often considered by clients when evaluating clinically equivalent products. For instance, if a drug having a high negotiated discount is non-formulary in favor of a drug that is lower costs, but also has low marketshare, costs for the therapy class may actually increase depending on MS movement. Drug C $50 $60 $70 $80 Cost per prescription
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Alignment - Building a Formulary
Drug A Drug B Drug C Most cost effective Evaluate relative clinical value Determine net cost Account for market share Account for rebates Drug B Drug A Relative clinical value TALKING POINTS Now we account for market share. Market share is the fraction of rxs “captured” by each different agent. Market share varies from group to group; we use book-of-business averages when we build the formulary. The bigger the dot, the greater the market share. For example, Fosamax is the biggest dot; it has the biggest market share. We account for market share because most of our plan sponsors are concerned about member disruption. All else being equal, we prefer to keep big circles on the formulary. Why worry about marketshare? Eliminating a widely used drug (one with high marketshare) from a formulary may create unacceptable levels of disruption among physicians, patients, and pharmacies. Marketshare and net costs are often considered by clients when evaluating clinically equivalent products. For instance, if a drug having a high negotiated discount is non-formulary in favor of a drug that is lower costs, but also has low marketshare, costs for the therapy class may actually increase depending on MS movement. Drug C $50 $60 $70 $80 Cost per prescription
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Alignment - Building a Formulary
Most cost effective Cost per prescription Relative clinical value $50 $60 $70 $80 Drug A Drug B Drug C Most cost effective Evaluate relative clinical value Determine net cost Account for market share Account for rebates Select formulary products Exception: Market dynamics might “trump” net cost TALKING POINTS Now we account for market share. Market share is the fraction of rxs “captured” by each different agent. Market share varies from group to group; we use book-of-business averages when we build the formulary. The bigger the dot, the greater the market share. For example, Fosamax is the biggest dot; it has the biggest market share. We account for market share because most of our plan sponsors are concerned about member disruption. All else being equal, we prefer to keep big circles on the formulary. Why worry about marketshare? Eliminating a widely used drug (one with high marketshare) from a formulary may create unacceptable levels of disruption among physicians, patients, and pharmacies. Marketshare and net costs are often considered by clients when evaluating clinically equivalent products. For instance, if a drug having a high negotiated discount is non-formulary in favor of a drug that is lower costs, but also has low marketshare, costs for the therapy class may actually increase depending on MS movement. Impact on Client Impact on Patient Impact on ESI Lower drug cost More choice Lower co payment Higher Profit/Rx More Flexibility
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Alignment - Retail Network Management
Greater Management States Available Pharmacies Most Inclusive Network Most Restrictive Network TRICARE Access Minimum CA 5,644 5,071 3,881 283 NY 4,444 4,224 1,829 300 TX 4,236 3,821 1,827 579 FL 4,020 3,670 1,966 469 PA 2,970 2,825 1,687 432 Higher Profit/Rx More Flexibility Lower co payment More choice Lower drug cost Impact on ESI Impact on Patient Impact on Client
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Alignment – Clinical Programs
Plan Designs Encourage Greater Use of Generics and Preferred Low-cost Brands Impact on Client Impact on Patient Impact on ESI Lower drug cost Lower co payment Higher Profit/Rx Clients using step therapy realize on average a 2 percentage point increase in generic utilization
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Alignment – Home Delivery
We Offer Highly Efficient, Cost-effective Home Delivery Impact on Client Impact on Patient Impact on ESI Lower drug cost Choice Lower co payment Higher profit/Rx
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Alignment – Growing Demand for Home Delivery
Increased home delivery penetration Excludes UHC claims * Represents network claims plus 3 times home delivery claims –home delivery claims are 90 days vs. 30 days in the network. ** Twelve months ended Sept 2005 Home Delivery Helps Manage the Cost of Maintenance Drugs
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Alignment – Generic Utilization
Express Scripts Leads in Generic Utilization Impact on Client Impact on Patient Impact on ESI Lowest drug cost Lowest co payment Highest profit/Rx Source: From public filings
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Alignment – Growing Generic Opportunity
ESI Analysis Our Clients and Members Will Benefit From a Growing Generic Opportunity
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Alignment – Specialty Pharmacy
Traditional Spend $210 Billion Specialty Spend $35 Billion 2004 Total Outpatient Pharmacy Spend $190 Billion Specialty Spend $73 Billion 18% 26% 2008 Projected Outpatient Pharmacy Spend $283 Billion Traditional Spend $155 Billion Sources: IMS Data through November 2004 Wall Street Equity Research, 2004 CMS National Healthcare Expenditure Projection: 2003 – 2013 Data on file: CuraScript. As we look across the pharmaceutical market, a key contributing factor to its change is the growth of the specialty market segment. As a definition, the specialty pharmacy market consists of high cost oral, injectable and infused medications that are used to manage complex diseases such as Multiple Sclerosis, Hepatitis and Rheumatoid Arthritis. (Top graph) In 2004, Specialty spend accounted for 18% (or 35 billion) of all Outpatient Pharmacy spend throughout the US. Over the next 4 years, the specialty market is projected to more than double in cost to 73 billion dollars. This represents a growth rate 3xs that of your traditional pharmacy spend. (Bottom graph) There are several key components fueling this specialty growth. First, new drug development – in just the last 5 years, 105 specialty drugs have entered the market, for a total of 197 drugs on the market in In addition, 250 more drugs have entered the pipeline (currently, there are 600 drugs in the pipeline). Today’s issue is how to manage the growth of the 105 new drugs in market…tomorrow’s issue is managing the ever increasing pipeline. (Examples of new drugs brought to market are Raptiva, Tysabri, Sensipar) Second, new indications for existing drugs – manufacturers are constantly seeking new indications for their drugs to continue product growth. (Examples of these medications are Enbrel, Remicade) Our recommendation for controlling your specialty growth is CuraScript…ESI’s specialty solution. Impact on Client Impact on Patient Impact on ESI Lower drug cost Lower co payment Higher profit/Rx Improved reporting Improved quality of care Higher client satisfaction Clients are Seeking Solutions for High-cost Specialty Drugs
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CuraScript Penetration into Express Scripts
Percentage of Plan Costs Source: Express Scripts Analysis. Express Scripts’ specialty penetration has increased from 2% to 30% in the first 5.5 quarters of our CuraScript acquisition.
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Priority Acquisition - Strategic Rationale
Creates one of the largest specialty franchises in the U.S. $3+ billion annual specialty revenues One of the fastest growing sectors in healthcare Sector remains fragmented and market structure continues to emerge (greenfield opportunities) Fills key therapy classes within CuraScript portfolio – “one-stop shopping for clients” Infertility (number one fertility franchise) Pulmonary Fibrosis Pulmonary Hypertension Home Infusion Offers additional capabilities Specialty distribution capabilities Supply chain services Leverages PBM core competencies (payor and manufacturer relationships, mail order pharmacies, clinical and trend management expertise) Synergy potential Increased value proposition for clients (single vendor, integrated reporting)
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What Are the Savings? C O S T
Retail, Clinical. Formulary And Rebate Savings 24% Paid by Cash Customer at Pharmacy Home Delivery Savings 6% Retail Pharmacy Cash Price Express Scripts Client Savings Express Scripts Client Costs C O S T Paid by Express Scripts Clients Total Savings 30% Availability of Proven PBM Cost Management Tools Will Produce 20%–25% Savings (CBO)
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Alignment – A Win-Win-Win Proposition
Retail Non-pref. Brand Retail Pref. Brand Generics Mail Pharmacy Increased Savings Opportunities: Client Member Increased Profit Express Scripts Moving to preferred brands, home delivery and generics Moving to preferred brands, home delivery and generics Moving to preferred brands, home delivery and generics We make money by saving clients and members money
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We Deliver Against Client and Patient Expectations:
To make the use of prescription drugs safer and more affordable
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Client/Patient Focus Why Express Scripts? Alignment With Clients
Generics Specialty By membership Health Plan Sponsors Recognize Express Scripts Single Focus on Making Prescription Drugs More Affordable
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2006 Upsell Pipeline is Strong
10,000 Significant potential to continue to manage client trends in key product categories New products continue to be developed and rolled out Strong track record of success Sold Weighted Pipeline 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 ('000 Lives) 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 Home Delivery Three Tier Generic Enforcement Narrowing Formularies New Clinical Products Specialty/CuraScript As of April 2005
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Client Satisfaction Steadily Improving
Service and satisfaction metrics have increased consistently quarter over quarter since 2003 with an early spike in 2005 100% 95% 2003 90% 85% 2004 80% 1q05 75% 70% 65% 60% ESI Performance Exceed Likelihood to Likelihood to Expectations Recommend Renew
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Express Scripts has demonstrated a proven track record
Our Financial Results Express Scripts has demonstrated a proven track record
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Q Highlights Adjusted EPS of $0.67*, up 34% from $0.50* last year Cash flow from operations of $214.6 M vs. $150.0 M last year Repurchased 4.0 million shares for $219.9 million Generic drugs were 55% of total prescriptions vs. 51% last year Gross profit of $293.2 M, up 25% Gross profit per adjusted claim was $2.13, up 20% EBITDA per adjusted claim was $1.32, up 19% Raised EPS guidance for 2005 Provided 2006 EPS guidance of $3.10 to $3.22 *Excludes prior period tax benefit of $0.01 in Q and non recurring charge of $0.10 for legal defense costs in Q – reconciliation of reported EPS to adjusted EPS is included in Table 4 of the 3Q 2005 earnings release
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Quality of Earnings (4) (1) (4) (3) (2)
Reflects a $70-$75 million reduction in Q due to one-time impact of implementing a new wholesale purchase agreement Excludes a $0.04 per share charge for the early retirement of debt Excludes a $0.10 charge to increase legal reserves for the cost of defense. Excludes an $0.08 and $0.01 prior year tax benefit in Q2 and Q3, respectively * Reflects a 12-month moving average of free cash flow (cash from operations less CapX)
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Components of EPS Growth — 2004
6% 7% 8% * Excluding $25 million charge to increase legal reserves for the cost of defense and $5.5 million termination payment received
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Major PBM Prescription Growth
Note: Rx growth for Medco, Caremark reflect as configured today * YTD
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Claims Volume Vs. EPS Growth
Expanding Margins Supports Strong EPS Growth on More Modest Claims Growth (3) (2) (1) (4) Excludes a $0.10 charge to increase legal reserves (4) Reflects the June 1st anniversary of the DoD retail contract Excludes an $0.08 prior year tax benefit Excludes a $0.01 prior year tax benefit
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Profits Per Claim Growth
EBITDA* per adjusted claim 11% CAGR Pricing can be lowered as clients tighten formulary compliance, increase home delivery, utilize generics and restrict retail networks. These changes result in lower prices to our clients and greater profits to Express Scripts. * A reconciliation of EBITDA to net income and to net cash provided by operating activities can be found in the Investor Relations section of Express Scripts’ Web site, under Presentations. ** Excluding $25 million charge to increase legal reserves for the cost of defense and $5.5 million termination payment received.
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Gross Profit* / SG&A* / EBITDA per Adj. Rx
* Before depreciation and amortization ** Excluding $25 million charge to increase legal reserves for the cost of defense and $5.5 million termination payment received. Source: Express Scripts Analysis. Future EBITDA per Adj. Rx Must Come From Gross Profit per Adj. Rx
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Components Of EPS Growth
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Focus on Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
* Reflects operating income less tax divided by average invested capital, which consists of stockholder’s equity, plus interest bearing liabilities plus long-term deferred income taxes, net. ** Excludes $25 million charge to increase legal reserves for the cost of defense and 5.5 million termination payment received ROIC is our Preferred Performance Metric
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Why Express Scripts? Industry-Leading ROIC
We Lead Our Peer Group in ROIC Performance Source: Express Scripts Analysis
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Peer Group Total Return - 2005
Peer group avg. 32.4% ESI’s 119% return is more than 3.5 times our peer group
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S&P Total Return – 2005 Only 2 companies in the S&P 500 exceeded ESI’s
total return to stockholders of 119% in 2005 Note: Returns reflect stock price increase plus dividend yield
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Our Value Proposition Will Continue to Drive Growth
Making the use of drugs safer and more affordable is more important than ever Plan sponsors will increasingly deploy our tools Express Scripts is well-positioned for sustainable growth Strong market fundamentals/new business opportunities Increased use of home delivery and generic drugs Growth in management of specialty pharmacy Productivity and capital structure improvements We have taken a different approach Alignment -- we make money by saving our clients money Strategic acquisitions have enhanced our value proposition
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