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How to Do xtabond2 David Roodman Research Fellow

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Presentation on theme: "How to Do xtabond2 David Roodman Research Fellow"— Presentation transcript:

1 How to Do xtabond2 David Roodman Research Fellow
Center for Global Development

2 xtabond2 in a nutshell First ado version in 11/03, Mata version in 11/05. Extends built-in xtabond, to do system GMM, Windmeijer correction, revamped syntax Estimators designed for Small-T, large-N panels One dependent variable Dynamic Linear Regressors endogenous and predetermined Fixed individual effects Arbitrary autocorrelation and het. within panels General application

3 Outline of paper Introduction to linear GMM
Motivation and design of difference and system GMM xtabond2 syntax

4 Black box problem Canned & sophisticated procedure
Dangers in hidden sophistication finite sample ≠ asymptotic Users should understand motivation and limits of estimator

5 Linear GMM in one slide

6 Linear GMM and 2SLS

7 Linear GMM in another slide (Holtz-Eakin, Newey, and Rosen 1988)

8 Difference and system GMM

9 Problem: Dynamic Panel Bias (Nickell 1981)

10 Partial solution: OLS in differences

11 Problem: Other endogeneity

12 Solution: Instrument with lags (2SLS) (Anderson and Hsiao 1981)

13 Problem: Inefficiency

14 Solution: GMM & GMM-style instruments (Holtz-Eakin, Newey, and Rosen 1988)

15 Problem: Autocorrelation

16 Solution: Restrict to deeper lags

17 Arellano-Bond AR() test

18 Problem: Weak instruments

19 Solution: Instead of purging fixed effects, find instruments orthogonal to them (Arellano and Bover 1995)

20 Relationship among moments (Tue Gorgens)

21 Problem: Two-step errors too small

22 Problem, cont’d

23 Solution: finite-sample correction (Windmeijer 2005)

24

25 Problem: too many instruments

26 Solution: consider limiting instruments

27 xtabond2 syntax Z Y X “GMM-style” Classic

28 Examples

29 Examples, cont’d

30 Run times for bbest (seconds) 700 MHz PC
xtabond2 ado 57 xtabond2 Mata, favoring space 14 xtabond2 Mata, favoring speed 11 DPD for Ox 3


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