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Information Technology
Sector Outlook: Information Technology Summer 2018 Max Pristic, Brett Mosher, Korey Murnane, Balakrishna Nallanagulagari, Christopher Poelking, & Nate Quellhorst
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Sector Size & Weight Market Cap: $6.16T # of Constituents: 69
Weight of Largest Constituent: 14.5% Weight top 9 Constituents: 67.9% Source: Fidelity
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Sector Industries Source: Fidelity
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Sector Companies – Highest Market Capitalization
Chris add some solid info and smart art stuff - the total should be trillion Source: tradingview.com
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Sector Companies – Lowest Market Capitalization
Source: tradingview.com
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Sector Companies - Top Performers
Based on Total Return from Last 3 Months Chris Source: tradingview.com
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Sector Companies - Bottom Performers
Based on Total Return from Last 3 Months Source: tradingview.com
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Sector Performance: Overview
Q/Q: 16 years Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Performance: Overview
Info Tech: YTD: % ($150.47) QTD(3/1-6/1): +39.1% ($350.45) S&P YTD: +3.33% ($88.98) QTD(3/1-6/1): +14.3% ($338.66) YTD Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Business Cycle The Information Technology sector is still experiencing healthy global expansion, and will continue to grow in the future. That being said, it is moving from the mid to later stages of the business growth cycle. As the sector moves further into the growth cycle, growth will slow. Korey Elaborate Source: Fidelity
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Sector Growth Max Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Profitability – Porter’s 5 Forces
Threats of New Entrants: Low IT Industry is unattractive to newcomers because: - Cost advantage large-scale incumbents possess - The significant amount of capital needed by a new firm - Established brands exists Threat of Substitutes: Low - There is not much of a threat from substitutes to the IT industry, mostly because there aren’t true substitutes. Rivalry: Medium to High - Intense rivalry among existing companies - Large companies benefit from economies of scale - Well branded and tend to have a strong customer base - Market share uneven Buyer Power: Medium - Customers control IT sector - Many choices for a buyer - Minimal switching costs - Customers are sensitive to price - Companies offer incentives to use their products Supplier Power: Medium to High -Most supplier relationship are long-term & well-established -Most companies utilize standard inputs -Difficult for new suppliers to enter industry Source:
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Correlation to S&P Max/Nate Q/Q: 10 years Source: Bloomberg
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Correlation to GDP Correlation: 0.97 Max
Source: multipl.com, Bloomberg
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Correlation to 10-Year Treasury Note
Max Correlation: -0.35 Source: investing.com, Bloomberg
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Sector Financial Analysis
Sales Growth Rate: 2017: 13.48% 2018E: 8.7% Major Companies: Apple: 2017: 6.28% 2018E: 14.61% Google: 2017: 22.80% 2018E: -2.17% Microsoft 2017: 5.94% 2018E:13.16% Sector: Earnings Growth Rate: 2017: 23.45% 2018E: 32.43% Major Companies: Apple: 2017: 5.47% 2018E: 21.25% Google 2017: 24.47% 2018E: 10.34% Microsoft 2017: 20.05% 2018E:12.84% Nate Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Financial Analysis
Revenue & Earnings Nate Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Valuation Analysis
Korey Source: Bloomberg
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Sector Valuation Analysis - By Industry
Most multiples for top Industries within Info Tech are greater than S&P 500 -Attributed to potential growth
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Sector Valuation Analysis
Margins Free Cash Flow Need help moving excel table to this powerpoint slide Source: Bloomberg
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Recommendation As of May 31, 2018: S&P 500 weight - 26.19%
OSU endowment fund weight % What adjustments do we recommend for this upcoming quarter? BUY back to maximum allotment (+1% of S&P 500 weight)
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