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Section 11.2: Carrying Out Significance Tests

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1 Section 11.2: Carrying Out Significance Tests
AP Statistics Section 11.2: Carrying Out Significance Tests

2 Objective: To be able to conduct a z-test.
z-test (test for 𝝁 when 𝝈 is provided): Conditions: Data is an SRS Normality: a. Population is normal OR b. n is sufficiently large so that the CLT ensures that the sampling distribution of π‘₯ is normal. Independence: a. Observations are independent OR b. Population β‰₯ 10n

3 Hypotheses: 𝐻 0 :πœ‡= πœ‡ 𝐻 π‘Ž :πœ‡> πœ‡ Upper tail πœ‡< πœ‡ 0 Lower tail πœ‡β‰  πœ‡ sided Rejection Region: I will reject 𝐻 0 if my p-value < 𝛼. OR I will reject 𝐻 0 if 𝑧> 𝑧 𝛼 ; 𝑧<βˆ’ 𝑧 𝛼 ; 𝑧 > 𝑧 𝛼 2 Test Statistic & p-value 𝑧= π‘₯ βˆ’ πœ‡ 0 𝜎 𝑛 𝑃 𝑍>𝑧 ;𝑃 𝑍<𝑧 ;2βˆ™π‘ƒ(𝑍> 𝑧 ) 5. State your conclusion in the context of the problem. (2 parts)

4 Tests from Confidence Intervals:
A level 𝛼 two-sided significance test rejects a hypothesis, 𝐻 0 :πœ‡= πœ‡ 0 , exactly when the value πœ‡ 0 falls outside a level C confidence interval for ΞΌ. Be careful when using a confidence interval to evaluate a significance test with a one-sided alternative. The 𝛼 level and the confidence level do not correspond directly as they do in a two-sided alternative. Diagrams for 2-sided and 1-sided confidence intervals:

5 Example: Given 𝐻 0 :πœ‡=64.5; 𝐻 π‘Ž :πœ‡β‰ 64.5; π‘₯ =65.2; 𝜎=2.5 and n=100.
a. Calculate a 90% confidence interval for πœ‡. Is there statistically significant evidence at the 0.10 level that the mean differs from the true value of 64.5? Explain without using a significance test.


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