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Challenges and Changes
The Next Chapter in the Health Reform Debate November 30, 2010 Joseph R. Antos, Ph.D. Wilson H. Taylor Scholar in Health Care and Retirement Policy American Enterprise Institute
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Health programs drive the federal deficit
Federal spending as a percentage of GDP Source: Author’s calculations based on CBO, “The Long-Term Budget Outlook,” December 2007.
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The new Exchange subsidy
Source: CBO Long-Term Budget Outlook, June 2010
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Is this sustainable? Medicare/GDP (%) Prior Law Alternative
11.18% Prior Law 10.70% Alternative 6.37% Current Law Source:
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The fourth health “entitlement”
$ Billions Tax breaks for other health spending Tax breaks for private insurance Source: JCT, Tax Expenditures for Health Care, July 30, 2008
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