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The Policy Support Instrument Early Experience

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Presentation on theme: "The Policy Support Instrument Early Experience"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Policy Support Instrument Early Experience
Tom Dorsey Policy Strategy and Review Department IMF

2 The Policy Support Instrument in brief
A shadow program for low-income IMF members that do not need or want IMF resources. A framework for structuring policy dialogue between members and the IMF. A means of signaling donors, investors, and others of a member’s program design and its implementation.

3 Key Features of the Policy Support Instrument (PSI)
Programs modeled on PRGF-supported programs. Fixed schedule of reviews to ensure regular and timely assessments. No IMF financing, but designed to facilitate rapid transition to an arrangement if a balance of payments need arises.

4 The Prehistory of PSI Staff Monitored Programs
Both signaling and track record purposes for a single instrument A light approach to documentation leading to limited Executive Board involvement and uneven public information. Low-access PRGF arrangement No precautionary PRGF arrangements possible. Signals the lack of balance of payments need, but not a record of successful policy implementation (e.g., “graduation”).

5 An Instrument for Mature Stabilizers
Mature stabilizers have: achieved a reasonable growth performance; low-underlying inflation (comparable to that obtaining in their major trading partners); have an adequate level of official international reserves; and begun to establish (external and net domestic) debt sustainability. Emphasis on “second generation” structural reforms implies a threshold of institutional and policy quality. Policy Support and Signaling in Low-Income Countries June 2005).

6 Has the PSI been Used by Mature Stabilizers?
YES Quantitative thresholds set for each of the criteria at or around the average levels for PRGF-eligible members. Mature stabilizers are defined as those members that exceed the thresholds for all five criteria. 19 of 78 PRGF-eligible members are mature stabilizers by this definition. All but one of the PSI users were mature stabilizers; the exception missed only a single criterion.

7 Has Conditionality Under the PSI Been Lighter than Under the PRGF?
YES Fewer benchmarks and assessment criteria than under PRGF-supported programs for other mature stabilizers or PRGF-supported programs in general

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9 Has Program Implementation Been Better Under the PSI than Under the PRGF?
YES A higher percentage of benchmarks and assessment criteria were met in PSI-supported programs than under PRGF-supported programs for other mature stabilizers or PRGF-supported programs in general

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11 Topics for Structural Benchmarks and Assessment Criteria
The heaviest concentration of structural measures in PSI-supported programs is in debt and expenditure management. Other areas with significant structural measures are banking and financial sector reforms, revenue mobilization, and transparency and governance.

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13 Authorities’ Views The usefulness of the PSI for promoting closer policy dialogue with the IMF and providing effective signals to donors and markets are best assessed by PSI country authorities. In a survey, country authorities gave the PSI generally good marks. The satisfaction with the PSI was highest on promoting policy dialogue but more lukewarm on attracting private sector interest.

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15 Summary Early evidence suggests a successful launch of the PSI.
The PSI seems to be achieving the expectations set out for it in 2005. Caveats: A small sample, seven programs in six countries with most programs still ongoing.


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