1. Preventonomics: A Better Start – how will it pay?
‘A Better Start’ induction event
Newcastle, 17 July 2014

2. The ABS Economic Study: Oct 2013 – Apr 2015
Preventonomics
AVOIDING (MOST) TECHNICAL DETAILS
Based in economic theory and more years experience of economic evaluation than we’d like to admit.
We can tell you about them … but later.
What we are doing
Local tools:
costing interventions
cost savings’ models
How you can help develop a model that’s right for your area
Timeline
Concluding comments and contact details
The ABS Economic Study: Oct 2013 – Apr 2015

3. Preventonomics A
What we are doing

4. Preventonomics aims to…
To provide tools so that local areas can use data about their *interventions* to make an early assessment of
the additional costs
the likely outcomes and
the likely down-stream cost savings from their interventions.
Time line
October 2013 – April 2015

5. Building models from evidence …
2. How much difference does intervening make to children’s health and welfare?
Quantify the extent to which intervening alters children’s trajectories?
1. What happens to children over five years (and more) with these problems?
At what cost?
3. How does this change the way children and families use services and supports?
What are the down-stream cost savings that flow from the improved outcomes

6. Preventonomics B
From evidence to local tools

7. Developing two types of local tools
Cost estimation tools and guidance
To help estimate the costs of your local ‘interventions’ (additional costs)
‘Front-faced’ decision analytic models
In which local area personnel can record the improvements in health & welfare. These prompt the down-stream cost savings to be estimate
20/11/2018

8. I. What a cost tool might look like

9. II. A cost savings model What we need to know about the interventions:
Here’s one we prepared earlier; Bonin et al, 2012
What we need to know about the interventions:
What happens without intervention?
Take-up / drop-out
How effective is the intervention?
How long do treatment effects last?
How much does it cost to intervene?
And of course, the costs of the problem we are trying to prevent

10. % of children with persistent CD
A small change in the % children with persistent CD, but a positive return on investment after 5-8 years.

11. Input your local data and the tools can…
Help understand staffing etc. requirements
Help find out what is worth doing for whom...
…and who pays and who reaps the benefits.
Help obtain funding for the things you set out to do…
… at the level you need…
…by providing an evidence-base for your business case

12. Preventonomics C
How you can help develop a model right for your area

13. How you can help Research liaison Preventonomics sub-group
(4-5 people)
Single point of contact
Keep area personnel up to date
Liaise with other agencies
Co-ordinate sub-group
Keep us up-to-date with activities in the area
Link with Warwick Consortium evaluation – particularly the economic evaluation
Interest in modelling & evaluation
Work with research liaison
Contribute to model / guidance development
Attend workshops, learn to operate model
Commitment to long-term capacity building
Linking with local personnel
Linking with other area sub-groups

14. Preventonomics D
Our timeline

15. Preventonomics: timeline
Date
Activity
July 2014
Research contact (RC) identified for each local area
July - Sept ‘14
Preliminary meeting with RCs; discuss data requirements
Develop engagement plans with each area
Identify sub-group members in each area
Sept ’14 - Mar ‘15
Develop draft models and guidance
Visits local area visits as required; helpline available
Sept & Nov 2014
Sub-group meetings:
Developing models & toolkits; linking areas
Jan 2015
Sub-group meeting: Working with toolkit
Mar 2015
Demonstrate draft cost savings model
Sub-group meeting:
Working with cost savings’ model & guidance
Apr 2015
Area workshops: Using the area model
May 2015
Drop-in clinic; troubleshooting session

16. Preventonomics E
Concluding comments and contact details

17. Concluding comments Investment in evaluation capacity
Some knowns, some unknowns
We’re working with ABS Partners to help make sure everything fits together
Does it work for you?
Research-Oriented Contact in each area help ensure we reach the appropriate local personnel
Linking with Warwick evaluation to reduce burden of evaluation and data collection
We’re here
F2F meetings, , telephone, Skype
Seminars, workshops
Investment in evaluation capacity

18. Get in touch and keeping in touch
@preventonomics bit.ly/preventonomics