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Lecture 1 – Part B: ERM Concept
Finance 562: Enterprise Risk Management Professor Stephen P. D’Arcy and Professor Weili Lu Lecture 1 – Part B: ERM Concept
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ERM Risk Categories Common risk allocation Hazard risk Financial risk
Operational risk Strategic risk Bank view – New Basel Accord Credit risk Loan and counterparty risk Market risk (financial risk)
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Hazard Risk “Pure” loss situations Property Liability Employee related
Independence of separate risks Risks can generally be handled by Insurance, including self insurance Avoidance Transfer
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Financial Risk Components Correlations among different risks
Foreign exchange rate Equity Interest rate Commodity price Correlations among different risks Use of hedges, not insurance or risk transfer Securitization
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Operational Risk Causes of operational risk Internal processes People
Systems Examples Product recall Customer satisfaction Information technology Labor dispute Management fraud
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Strategic Risk Examples Competition Regulation
Technological innovation Political impediments
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Evolution of ERM Control function Risk adjusted returns
How much can we lose? Risk adjusted returns Capital allocation (Stefan Lippe – Swiss Re) Compensation Bonuses Optimization Maximize stakeholder value Vision of the future
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Examples of ERM - 1 Michelin – contingent capital
Issued by Swiss Re New Markets and Societe Generale Option to draw on subordinated long-term bank credit facility Option to issue subordinated debt at fixed spread This option can only be exercised if GDP growth falls below a trigger (1.5% , 2.0% )
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Examples of ERM - 2 United Grain Growers – risk integration
Issued by Swiss Re Regional grain volume coverage Integrated with other property/liability coverages Three year policy Annual aggregate retention $35 million annual limit $80 million policy limit
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Examples of ERM - 3 RLI Corporation – Cat-E-Puts
Arranged by Aon, issued by Centre Re Three year term Provided an option to issue $50 million in convertible preferred shares Trigger was major California earthquake Subject to minimum capital requirements
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Examples of ERM - 4 Hurricane Katrina
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Katrina Induced Gas Lines
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Conclusion ERM is continuing to evolve
Started as hazard risk management Financial risk management developed Failures brought increased attention Technology and risk management experience led to new approaches Regulation is pushing organizations to improve Modeling risks is key component No standard approach has yet emerged Challenging and attractive area
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