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Probability
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Some fundamentals π¨ 2 4 6 3 5 1 π© πΊ π= the whole sample space (1 to 6) π΄= even number on a die thrown π΅= prime number on a die thrown What does it mean in this context? What is the resulting set of outcomes? π΄β² ? Not A. i.e. Not rolling an even number. ? {1, 3, 5} π΄βͺπ΅ ? A or B. i.e. Rolling an even or prime number. ? {2,3,4,5,6} π΄β©π΅ ? A and B. i.e. Rolling a number which is even and prime. ? {2}
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Some fundamentals π¨ 2 4 6 3 5 1 π© πΊ π= the whole sample space (1 to 6) π΄= even number on a die thrown π΅= prime number on a die thrown What does it mean in this context? What is the resulting set of outcomes? π΄β©π΅β² ? Rolling a number which is even and not prime. ? {4,6} (π΄βͺπ΅)β² ? Rolling a number which is not [even or prime]. ? {1} π΄β©π΅ β² ? Rolling a number which is not [even and prime]. ? {1,3,4,5,6}
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β©π΅ ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄βͺπ΅ ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β©π΅β©πΆ ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β© πΆ β² ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β©π΅β© πΆ β² ?
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A C B S π΄ β² β© π΅ β² β© πΆ β² π΄βͺπ΅βͺπΆ β² What area is indicated? ? ? or
alternativelyβ¦ ? π΄βͺπ΅βͺπΆ β²
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄ β² ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β© π΅β©πΆ β² ?
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What area is indicated? A C B S π΄β© π΅ β² β©πΆβ² ?
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Test Your Understanding
? π π΅ π΄ 0.33 0.32 0.3 0.05 Given that π π΄ β² β©π΅ =0.3 and π [π΄βͺπ΅]β² =0.05 and π π΅ =0.62, determine: (using a suitable Venn Diagram) π π΄ =π.ππ π π΄β©π΅ =π.ππ π π΄β©π΅β² =π.ππ π π΄βͺπ΅ =π.ππ ? a b ? c ? d ?
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Probability Formulae from the Venn Diagram β The Addition Rule
A and B are two events such that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.7 and P(A or B) = 0.9. Calculate: a) b) c) d) a) S A B 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 Now you know the intersection, you can draw a Venn diagram! 5C
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Probability Formulae from the Venn Diagram β The Addition Rule
A and B are two events such that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.7 and P(A or B) = 0.9. Calculate: b) c) d) b) S A B 0.2 0.4 0.3 βProbability of not Aβ 0.1 βProbability of not A, or Bβ βProbability of not A, and Bβ 5C
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