1. POLI 308 US Presidency

2. Basics Ideas in Studying the Presidency: Big Frameworks
Three Approaches to the Presidency
Presidential Domination
Institutional Environment
Cycles of Presidential Power

3. 1. Three Approaches to the Presidency
Historical
Institutional
Character

4. Historical

5. Historical: Presidential Power

6. Historical: Eligibility
Who can be president?

7. Institutional Approach

8. Basic Structure
US Constitution
Executive
Legislative
Judicial

9. Cabinet-Style Government (standard organizational structure)

10. Career vs. Appointee Basic Management Dilemma
Transition
Career
OBAMA
TRUMP

11. Advisors to the President

12. Character

13. Character: The Good

14. Character: The Bad

15. Character: The Ridiculous

16. 2. Presidential Domination

17. Lincoln Memorial

18. Jefferson Memorial

19. Mt. Rushmore

20. FDR Memorial

21. Speaker of the House Monument?

22. 4. Institutional Environment
Time
People
Federal
Judiciary
State
Courts
Media
Congress
State
Governments
President
Bureaucracy

23. 5. Cycles of Presidential Power
LBJ/Nixon Reagan Bush 43
Carter/Ford Bush 41/Clinton

24. Creating the Executive

25. Early Debates on the Executive
Hamilton Madison
Presidential power checks and balances

26. Creating the Executive
Articles of Confederation
US Constitution
The Federalist Papers
Anti-Federalist Papers

27. Enough Intro…

28. Design of the US Government
Articles of Confederation
US Constitution
Executive
Legislative
Judicial

29. Institutional Powers Article One: Article Two: Congressional Powers
Declare War
Raise and support armed forces
Regulate armed forces
Senate: approve executive branch officials
Senate: advise and consent on treaties
Tax and Spend money
Article Two:
Executive Powers
Make treaties
Appoint officials and ambassadors
Commander-in-chief of armed forces 29

30. Two Presidencies? Domestic Affairs vs. Foreign Affairs
US vs. Curtiss Wright (1936)
“The powers to declare and wage war, to conclude peace, to make treaties, to maintain diplomatic relations with other sovereignties, if they had never been mentioned in the Constitution, would have vested in the federal government…Not only, as we have shown, is the federal power over external affairs in origin and essential character different from that over internal affairs… In this vast external realm, with its important, complicated, delicate and manifold problems, the President alone has the power to speak or listen as a representative of the nation.”

31. Supreme Court Judicial Review Marbury V. Madison 1803 John Marshall,
Chief Justice

32. Executive Orders By President since FDR
Lincoln’s Emancipation Proclamation 9/22/62
FDR’s Orders 1937
Carter creates FEMA 7/20/79
Bush creates HSC and OHS 10/8/01
Bush Military Order on Unlawful Enemy Combatants 11/13/01
Obama Executive Order on Immigration 11/20/14

33. Choosing a President Electoral Votes 12th Amendment Election Results
Electoral College Rules

34. Electoral College Number of electoral votes: 538 State wide elections
Number of House of Reps seats
Based on population
Number of Senate seats
Two per State
State wide elections
Winner of state vote gets electoral votes
Winner needs 270

35. Actually Electing the President 2012
November 6, 2012—Election Day: The voters in each State chose electors to serve in the Electoral College.  
December 17, 2012—Meeting of Electors:  The electors in each State met to select the President and Vice President of the United States.
December 26, 2012—Deadline for Receipt of Electoral Votes: Federal and State officials had to have the electoral votes in hand. 
January 4, 2013—Electoral Votes Counted in Congress.

36. Electoral Votes 2008

37. Electoral College 2016

38. Red States (180 EV) (pre-2016 assumptions)

39. Blue States 2016 (215 EV) (pre-2016 assumptions)

40. Swing States (143 EV) (pre-2016 assumptions)

41. 2012 Results (332-206) Obama Victory

42. Urban vs. Rural, plus College Towns: Population Density Matters
Blue State by County: Illinois
Red State by County: Alabama

43. 2016 Results (306-232)(304-227)* Trump Victory
*Faithless electors 2016 (7 Total) (December 19, 2016)
Faith Spotted Eagle (WA)
Sanders (HI)
Powell (3, WA)
Paul (TX)
Kasich (TX)

44. 2016 Results by County By Precinct

45. Complications Electoral Vote and Popular Vote
2016
1824
1876
1888
2000
US Election Atlas
Candidate
Votes
Trump
62,980,160
Clinton
65,845,063
Johnson
4,488,931
Stein
1,457,050

46. Before the 12th Amendment