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Severe Weather and Storm Chasing
A behind the scenes look at what went on during a chase from June 7, 2009 AOS 121 November 2, 2009 Vortex 2 photogrammetry
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Thunderstorm Process Air that is warmer than its surroundings is positively buoyant and will rise. As air rises, it does expansion work, and cools. Dry Adiabatic Lapse rate ≈10oC/km Moist Adiabatic Lapse rate ≈6.5oC/km
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Thunderstorm Process Cont’d
Using a Skew-T diagram, we can see the effect of lifting a parcel of air from the surface. If the surface parcel is warmer, it is likely to rise and form a thunderstorm.
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Atmospheric Soundings and Skew-T Diagrams
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Temperature Dry Adiabats Moist Adiabats Mixing Ratio Td = Dewpoint T = Temperature
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Level of Neutral Buoyancy ~ 280mb
Level of Free Convection ~ 660mb Lifting Condensation Level ~830mb
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Convective Available Potential Energy
Convective INhibition LCL
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Real World Example June 19th Sounding from Davenport IA
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Summary A Saturated parcel will cool at a slower rate than a Dry air parcel. Convective Available Potential Energy measures the amount of potential energy in the atmosphere. By understanding Skew-T diagrams, we can predict when severe weather may occur.
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Storm Chasing Objective
Identify weather patterns that will produce rotating thunderstorms. Find a storm that will produce a tornado, and be a safe distance away, yet close enough to see it… Sound easy???
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NO WAY!!! A long-lived tornado is on the ground for 10 minutes, and its path length is only a few miles. Most tornadoes are on the ground less than 1 minute. If you are on the wrong side of the storm, all you will see is hail crushing your windshield. Needle in a Haystack.
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Long term Forecast (3 days)
Look at large scale patterns Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
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Short term Forecast (day of)
Look smaller features Fronts Clouds Balloon soundings Base support Storm Prediction Center (SPC)
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Comparison Long range Short range
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Morning Outlook Tornado Hail
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Our Chase
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Satellite NWS KC 7:15 PM
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Radar NWS KC 6:45 PM
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Little Hail
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Big Hail!!!!
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Storm Reports
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More Pictures
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Storm Prediction Center
Acknowledgements NWS Kansas City Office Storm Prediction Center Storm Chasing Class ‘09
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Questions ???
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