1. Texas Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Implications for Meeting the Needs of a Technology Driven Economy
Texas Association of State Systems for Computing and Communications (TASSCC) November 17, 2011
Austin, TX
Lloyd Potter is the Texas State Demographer and the Director of the Texas State Data Center based at the University of Texas at San Antonio.

2. Growing States, 2000-2010 United States 281,421,906 308,745,538
Population*
2010
Numerical
Change
Percent
United States
281,421,906
308,745,538
27,323,632
9.7%
Texas
20,851,820
25,145,561
4,293,741
20.6%
California
33,871,648
37,253,956
3,382,308
10.0%
Florida
15,982,378
18,801,310
2,818,932
17.6%
Georgia
8,186,453
9,687,653
1,501,200
18.3%
North Carolina
8,049,313
9,535,483
1,486,170
18.5%
Arizona
5,130,632
6,392,017
1,261,385
24.6%
Population values are decennial census counts for April 1 for 2000 and 2010.
15.7% of numerical change in U.S.
Texas is the second largest state in terms of population (2nd to CA) and area (2nd to AK). In terms of number of people, Texas’ growth exceeds that of all other states between 2000 and 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Count.

3. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2009
Percent Change Due to
Year*
Population
Numerical
Change
Natural
Increase
Net
Migration
Percent
1950
7,711,194 --
1960
9,579,677
1,868,483
1,754,652
113,831
24.2
93.91
6.09
1970
11,196,730
1,617,053
1,402,683
214,370
16.9
86.74
13.26
1980
14,229,191
3,032,461
1,260,794
1,771,667
27.1
41.58
58.42
1990
16,986,510
2,757,319
1,815,670
941,649
19.9
65.85
34.15
2000
20,851,820
3,865,310
1,919,281
1,946,029
22.8
49.65
50.35
2009
24,782,302
3,930,484
2,124,124
1,781,785
18.8
54.04
45.33
* All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 is for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Bureau of the Census.
Source: Derived from U.S. Bureau of the Census Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio.
Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.
The components of change include natural increase (births-deaths) and net migration (in-out migration). In recent years, natural increase and net migration have contributed almost equally to Texas’ growth. Natural increase is much more predictable and stable than net migration. Net migration tends to fluctuate with economic factors.

4. U.S. Gross Domestic Product 1970-2010

5. Texas Total Nonfarm Employment Quarterly Growth

6. Texas High Tech Manufacturing Employment

7. Texas High Tech Services Employment

8. Texas GDP by Year for the Information Industry
About 4% of Texas total GDP in 2010
U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

9. Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate

10. Texas Residential Permits and Mortgage Rate

11. Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to 2009
Migration into Texas has made very significant contributions to our population growth for the past few decades. International migration is estimated to have made significant contributions this decade. Generally, international migration is regulated and tends not to vary substantially from year to year. Internal (state-to-state) migration is estimated to have increased significantly in the middle of this decade and has remained relatively high. However, with the economic downturn, internal migration into Texas is likely slowed. Internal migration is not regulated by the government and is largely driven by the presence or absence of jobs and economic opportunity. Therefore, internal migration tends to be variable and dependent upon economic fluctuations.
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2009 Estimates

12. Estimated domestic migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population
This map demonstrates DOMESTIC, or internal, migration made up largely of persons who are citizens or legal residents of the United States. International migrants are not included on this map. Generally, western counties had U.S. residents and citizens moving out and the areas around urban cores had U.S. residents and citizens moving in. Note that Dallas and Harris county have net out domestic migration indicating that persons from these counties may be moving to more suburban adjacent counties.
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

13. Estimated international migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population
This map demonstrates in migration of international migrants. Domestic migrants are not included on this map. It is estimated that international migrants made significant contributions to population growth in large urban counties and along the border. Note that Dallas and Harris counties experienced substantial international migration resulting in a positive net in-migration to those counties.
Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, Map produced by the Texas State Data Center

14. Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition,
As of the 2000 Census, about 53% of Texas’ population was non-Hispanic Anglo, about 32% where of Hispanic descent, about 11% where non-Hispanic African American, and about 4% were non-Hispanic Other.
In 2010, it is estimated that about 45% of the Texas population was non-Hispanic Anglo, 38% of Hispanic descent, 11% were non-Hispanic African American, and about 6% were non-Hispanic Other (largely of Asian descent).
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census count

15. Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

16. Texas Population Pyramid by White, Non-Hispanic, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

17. Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

18. Total Population by County, 2010
The counties of Harris, Bexar, Dallas, Tarrant, and Travis are the most populated in the State. Collin, Denton, Fort Bend, Hidalgo, and El Paso counties also have significant population concentrations. Many counties west of Interstate 35 are more sparsely populated.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Census Counts

19. Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010
175 counties gained population while 79 lost population over the decade.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Census Counts

20. Percent Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2000-2010
Population increase for
Texas was 20.6%
during this period
This map demonstrates the percent change in population over a ten year period. Percent change is one indicator of the speed of population change but is not always an indicator of the absolute change in numbers. For example, county A with 100 people added 100 people, and has a 100% increase. Meanwhile county B with 1,000 people added 100 people and has a 10% increase. County A is growing at a more rapid rate than county B, but in terms of total numbers, they grew by the same amount.
The State of Texas grew by 20.6% between 2000 and 2010.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and 2010 Census Counts

21. Percent of population aged 25 years and older with high school or equivalent degree or higher,
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

22. Percent of population aged 25 years and older with Bachelors degree or higher, 2004-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

23. Percent of the population, aged 5 years and over, who speak Spanish at home, 2009
Source: American Community Survey, 2009

24. Percent of the population 5 and over who speak Spanish at home, 2006-2009
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 5-Year Sample

25. Comparisons of home computer and internet access by sex, U.S., 2009
Manjarrez and Schoembs. “Who’s in the Queue? A Demographic Analysis of Public Access Computer Users and Uses in U.S. Public Librarie,s”Research Brief No. 4, June 2011, Institute of Museum and Library Services

26. Comparisons of home computer and internet access by Race and Ethnicity, U.S., 2009
Manjarrez and Schoembs. “Who’s in the Queue? A Demographic Analysis of Public Access Computer Users and Uses in U.S. Public Librarie,s”Research Brief No. 4, June 2011, Institute of Museum and Library Services

27. Comparisons of home computer and internet access by poverty status, 2009
Manjarrez and Schoembs. “Who’s in the Queue? A Demographic Analysis of Public Access Computer Users and Uses in U.S. Public Librarie,s”Research Brief No. 4, June 2011, Institute of Museum and Library Services

28. Percent of People Who Use the Internet at Any Location, Selected States: 2010
Source: Current Population Survey

29. 75 years and over 15 to 19 years of age
Time spent reading for personal interest and playing games or using a computer for leisure
75 years and over
averaged 1.1 hours of reading per weekend day
18 minutes playing games or using a computer for leisure
15 to 19 years of age
averaged of 6 minutes of reading per weekend day
1.1 hours playing games or using a computer for leisure
Source: American Time Use Survey

30. Computer Use Among 5-8 Year-Olds, 2011
percent who use a computer
Source: Common Sense Media. Zero to Eight: Children’s Media Use in America, 2011

31. Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040
This graph represents variable population projections for the State under different migration scenarios. The base (brown dashed line) is the assumption of no migration. Under this scenario, the State will grow as a function of natural increase (births-deaths). The ½ scenario (the red split line) is the most conservative. The and scenarios reflect estimates of migration for those two periods and suggest more rapid population growth. Under any scenario, even no migration, Texas will continue to grow.
Year
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

32. Projected population by county, Texas, 2040
Texas State Data Center projections indicate that the most significant growth will continue to occur in the major metropolitan areas and along the southern border area.
Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 ( ).

33. Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2008-2040
The Texas State Data Center population projections indicate the trends in population growth and decline will continue. Major metropolitan areas will continue to increase as will the southern border region. More rural, less populated counties will continue to lose population.

34. Projected Racial and Ethnic Percent, Texas, 2000-2040
The migration scenario is likely the most realistic to consider in short term projections. Using this scenario, the number of Hispanics will likely exceed the number of non-Hispanic Anglos in the State around 2015.
Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , Migration Scenario

35. Educational attainment of persons 25+ years of age by ethnicity, Texas, 2009
Source: American Community Survey, 2009

36. Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

37. Demographics and Destiny
Texas is growing – with more people being added over the decade than in any other state we added 4 additional seats to our representation in the U.S. Congress.
Texas is becoming more diverse – much of our growth is attributable to growth of the Hispanic population. This increasing diversity means that as agencies and organizations develop technology and information interfaces for the public, they will need to ensure that information is accessible to the largest number of potential as possible.
The technology and information sectors are experiencing healthy growth in Texas.
As these sectors grow, they will require an educated and skilled labor force.
One of our challenges in Texas is to ensure that our education system enables our young people to gain the knowledge and skills they’ll need to fill the jobs created by these sectors.
Part of the reason these sectors are growing is because more and more people turn to computers and the internet every day for information and for conducting business. With the growth of Texas’ population we can expect increased demand for technology and information from a growing percentage of a growing population. Agencies and organizations will increasingly need to meet the publics demand for information and the ability to conduct online business or they will find themselves to be unresponsive, underutilized, and perhaps obsolete.

38. Contact Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
Office: (512) or (210) Internet:
Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.
The Office of the State Demographer and the Texas State Data Center are committed to supporting your work through providing you with the best, most accurate, and objective information we can identify about our greatest asset, the people of Texas.