1. What is the optimal number in an ensemble?
Joint Meeting of the
Climate Variability and Climate Change Working Groups

2. Return level curves and their uncertainty Precipitation Extremes

3. Return level curves and their uncertainty Temperature Extremes

4. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Heat Wave index

5. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Heat Wave index

6. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Max 5 Day Precipitation index

7. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Max 5 Day Precipitation index

8. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Extreme Temperature Range index

9. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Extreme Temperature Range index

10. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Warm Nights index

11. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Warm Nights index

12. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Precipitation Intensity index

13. Single-model ensembles and multi-model ensembles Precipitation Intensity index

14. Marginal utility vs. marginal cost of additional ensemble members
Single-model ensembles vs. multi-model ensembles
Analyzing “super ensembles” where different models provide different numbers of ensemble members