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Bruno Hérault – UMR Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane – Labex CEBA

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Presentation on theme: "Bruno Hérault – UMR Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane – Labex CEBA"— Presentation transcript:

1 Modeling climate change impacts on tropical forest biodiversity of French Guiana - CLIMFOR -
Bruno Hérault – UMR Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane – Labex CEBA Jean-François Dhôte – Office National des Forêts

2 Highly diverse tropical rain forests not fragmented
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management km² 90 % forest people (+4.5%.year-1) > 20% unemployment Highly diverse tropical rain forests not fragmented

3 Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management

4 Research Questions Does the spatial variation of climate shape forest Ecosystem Services*? Will the future climate scenario change the values of the selected Ecosystem Services*? Can we optimize the design of protected areas in French Guiana to account for all possible futures? What exploitation rules should be set up by forest managers to maintain long-term viable tree populations? * Species Diversity, Functional Diversity, Carbon Storage, Timber Resource

5 What do we need? What do we have? What will we be doing? Context
Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management What do we need? Long-term forest dynamic data Botanical identification What do we have? Guyafor Forest Network Habitat Forest Network What will we be doing? Forest Recensus Growth-Mortality Monitoring

6 CLIMFOR What do we need? What do we have? What will we be doing?
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management What do we need? Rainfall & Water stress monitoring Temperature & Irradiance data What do we have? Tropical Rainfall Monitoring Mission Météo France What will we be doing? Install TDR probes (water stress) Install 5 Weather Station CLIMFOR There is a dry season in tropical forest and this is probably the most important driver we need to monitor this but impossible without monitoring water stress, we’ll do that using weather station and WBW parametrized on these data

7 What do we need? What do we have? What will we be doing?
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management What do we need? Leaf-Stem-Root Economics Around 700 species What do we have? ANR BRIDGE data (Leaf-Stem) NSF Amalin data (Leaf-Stem-Root) What will we be doing? Anatomical Traits for 200 sp Completing Leaf-Stem economics “Anatomical traits are good candidates to shape tree water stress response but our knowledge is currently lacking”

8 Functional Diversity Carbon Storage Timber Resource Environmental Data
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management Environmental Data Geology Geomorphology Topography Land-Use Climate Static Data Weather Station Météo France TRMM data Species Diversity Functional Diversity Carbon Storage Timber Resource Inventory Data Trait Data

9 Reference Maps Climate Scenarios Forest Dynamic Models
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management Reference Maps Climate Scenarios Forest Dynamic Models Water Balance Model

10 National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series Context
Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series

11 Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series Natural Reserves Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park

12 Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series Natural Reserves Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park National Parc ‘Parc Amazonien de Guyane’

13 Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series Natural Reserves Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park National Parc ‘Parc Amazonien de Guyane’ Other Protections ZNIEFFs Biotope Protection Orders

14 Evaluate the Current Network Prioritize Protection Levels
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management National Forests Ecological Series Protection Series Natural Reserves Private Natural reserves Regional Natural Park National Parc ‘Parc Amazonien de Guyane’ Other Protections ZNIEFFs Biotope Protection Orders Evaluate the Current Network Prioritize Protection Levels Modelize biogeographical senibilities Manage Protected Areas

15 Qualea rosea 75% production Sextonia rubra
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management Dicorynia guianensis Qualea rosea % production Sextonia rubra Impact of climate change on forest dynamic Adapt the sylvicultural objectives

16 Qualea rosea 75% production Sextonia rubra
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management Dicorynia guianensis Qualea rosea % production Sextonia rubra Impact of climate change on forest dynamic Adapt the sylvicultural objectives Differential tree population sensibility Take into account bio-geographical influence in management plans

17 Qualea rosea 75% production Sextonia rubra
Context Reference Maps Forest Plots Predictive Modeling Climate Monitoring Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management Dicorynia guianensis Qualea rosea % production Sextonia rubra Impact of climate change on forest dynamic Adapt the sylvicultural objectives Differential tree population sensibility Take into account bio-geographical influence in management plans Use Reference Maps to define territories objectives Timber and fuel-wood availability for example

18 CLIMFOR thanks Reference Maps Climate Monitoring Predictive Modeling
Forest Plots Protected Areas Functional Traits Forest Management FUNCTIONAL TRAITS CLIMFOR thanks FOREST PLOTS CLIMATE MONITORING

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