1. Visible Satellite, Radar Precipitation, and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning
Convective Initiation Nowcasting for Aviation
PI: John R. Mecikalski
GOES Satellite-based 0-1 hour forecasts predict convective thunderstorm and first-flash lightning initiation. Used by Flight Control Centers to guide airline traffic.
Working to provide enhance lead times of lightning occurrence, for airport operations.
New work using European data in preparation for GOES-R (~2016).
New Thunderstorm Development: 25 May 2011
1832 UTC
3 July 2011
Number of Satellite Lightning Initiation Fields
4 LI
Indicators
1732 UTC
1746 UTC
Mobile Radar at 1826
Tallahassee at 1829
miss
correct negatives
Red – clouds to become storms
Blue – clouds not likely to make rain
1850 UTC
MSY
Visible Satellite, Radar Precipitation,
and Cloud-to-Ground Lightning LI