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Dynamical Meteorology in the Tropics: Asymptotic Nondivergence?

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1 Dynamical Meteorology in the Tropics: Asymptotic Nondivergence?
by Jun-Ichi Yano with M. Bonazzola, S. Mulet, K. Delayen, S. Hagos, C. Zhang, D. Netherly

2 Large-Scale Tropical Tropsopheric Dynamics:
Vorticity is dominant more than Divergence Deep Convection is secondary, and can be treated as a “catalytic” perturbation effect Strongly Nonlinear

3 Large-Scale Tropical Tropsopheric Dynamics:
Vorticity is dominant more than Divergence Deep Convection is secondary, and can be treated as a “catalytic” perturbation effect Strongly Nonlinear

4 Scale Analysis (Charney 1963)
L~1000km, U~10m/s: vorticity>>divergence i.e., nondiverget to the leading order or asymtotically nondivergent cf., L~3000km, U~3m/s: Linear Equatorial Waves (cf., Yano and Bonazzola, 2009, JAS)

5 vorticity>>divergence
?

6 Scatter Plots between Vorticity and Divergence: TOGA-COARE LSA Data
850hPa Scatter Plots between Vorticity and Divergence: TOGA-COARE LSA Data divergence vorticity 500hPa divergence vorticity (cf., Yano, Multet, and Bonazzola, 2009, Tellus) 250hPa divergence vorticity

7 Measure of a Variability
(RMS of a Moving Average): where

8 RMS of Divergence/Vorticity (Transient)
Time scale (days) horizontal scale (km)

9 Dry Equatorial Waves with hE=25 m (Wheeler & Kiladis 1999)
OLR Spectrum: Dry Equatorial Waves with hE=25 m (Wheeler & Kiladis 1999) Equatorially asymmetric symmetric Zonal Wavenumber Frequency

10 Is this observational diagnosis consistent with (convectively-coupled)
linear equatorial wave theories? (cf., Delayen and Yano, 2009, Tellus)

11 Linear Free Wave Solutions:
RMS of divergence/vorticity cg=50m/s cg=12m/s

12 Linear Forced Wave Solutions(cg=50m/s):
RMS of divergence/vorticity n=0 n=1

13 Asymptotically Nondivergent
but Asymptotic Nondivergence is much weaker than those expected from linear wave theories (free and forced) Nonlinearity defines the divergence/vorticity ratio (Strongly Nonlinear)

14 Asymptotically Nondivergent Dynamics (Formulation):
Leading-Order Dynamics: Conservation of Absolute Vorticity Higher-Order: Perturbation“Catalytic” Effect of Deep Convection Slow Modulation of the Amplitude of the Vorticity

15 Asymptotically Nondivergent Dynamics (Formulation):
Leading-Order Dynamics: Conservation of Absolute Vorticity: :Modon Solution?

16 ? Is MJO a Modon?: A snap shot from TOGA-COARE (Indian Ocean):
40-140E, 20S-20N Streamfunction Absolute Vorticity ? (Yano, S. Hagos, C. Zhang)

17 Large-Scale Tropical Tropsopheric Dynamics:
Conclusions: Large-Scale Tropical Tropsopheric Dynamics: Asymptotically Nondivergent Asymptotic Nondivergence is much weaker than those expected from linear wave theories (free and forced) Is MJO a Modon? Strong Nonlinearty:

18 Last Theorem Last Remark
“Asymptotic nondivergence” is equivalent to “Longwave approximation” to the linear limit. (man. rejected by Tellus 2010, JAS 2011) Last Question: What is wrong with this theorem? Last Remark However, “Asymptotic nondivergence” provides a qualitatively different dynamical regime under Strong Nonlinearity. Reference: Wedi and Smarkowiscz (2010, JAS)

19 } Balanced Dynamics (Asymptotic: Charney) thermodynamic balance: w~Q:
Q w Q=Q(q, q,… ) } dynamic balance: non-divergent divergence equation (diagnostic) f vorticity equation (prognostic) barotropics b-plane vorticity equation Rossby waves (without geostrophy): vH(0) hydrostatic balance: f q moisture equation (prognostic): q continuity: w weak divergence weak forcing on vorticity (slow time-scale)

20 Scale Analysis (Summary)
L~3000km, U~3m/s (cf., Gill 1980): Wave Dynamics (Linear) L~1000km, U~10m/s (Charney 1963): Balanced Dynamics (Nonlinear) (Simple) (Asymptotic) R.1. Nondimensional: b =2WL2/aU R.2. Vertical Advection:

21 Scale Analysis (Charney 1963)
Thermodynamic equaton: i.e., the vertical velocity vanishes to leading order i.e., the horizontal divergence vanishes to leading order of asymptotic expansion i.e., Asymptotic Nondivergence


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