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The Changeover from CEMAP to NAICS:

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Presentation on theme: "The Changeover from CEMAP to NAICS:"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Changeover from CEMAP to NAICS:
Implications for the Production of Economic Statistics in México

2 Contents: Introduction CMAP and NAICS features
Necessary adjustments to the generation of information process due to the classifier changeover Conclusions

3 Introduction North America free trade agreement NAFTA

4 Introduction México United States of America Canada
Mexican Classification of activities and products Standard Industrial Classification from USA Standard Industrial Classification from Canada North American Industrial Classification NAICS

5 CMAP and NAICS features
Structure: CMAP NAICS Sector Sector Sub-sector Sub-sector Sub-sector Sub-sector Branch Branch Branch Branch Branch Branch Branch Sub-branch Sub-branch Sub-branch Sub-branch Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class Class

6 Structure: Sector 9 Sub-sector 34 Branch 12 Class 754 Sector 20
CMAP NAICS Level of Aggregation Number of categories Sector 9 Sub-sector 34 Branch 12 Class 754 Level of Aggregation Number of categories Sector 20 Sub-sector 95 Branch 309 Sub-branch 631 Class 1051

7 Aggregation principles and criteria
CMAP NAICS similarity in the production function special importance to new and emerging e.a. and services focused on the development of advanced technology production processes type of goods and products participation of the e.u. in the economy

8 Importance of the classifier
Allows the ordering of gathering, analysing and broadcasting the information Facilitates evaluation and comparison of the economic activity

9 I. Production of Equivalence Tables
Necessary adjustments due to the classifier changeover I. Production of Equivalence Tables II. Re-ordering the Sampling Frame III. Coverage Analysis and Survey Redesign IV. Construction of Parallel Series

10 Production of equivalence tables
CIIU The bridge: CMAP 94 CMAP 99 NAICS

11 The reclassification process
Census Operative: Assignment of CMAP99 code to 3.2 million of e.u. Use of the equivalence table to assign the new code Construction of the catalogue Business Register CMAP 94 NAICS CIIU

12 Fragment of the catalogue of products with their CMAP99 class codes by type of activity
PRODUCTS AND / OR SERVICES ACTIVITY PRODUCTION COMMERCE SERVICE WHOLESALE RETAIL RENT REPAIR BY TH E PUBLIC SECTOR BY THE PRIVATE SECTOR CLOTHING ACCESORIES FROM TEXTILE MATERIALS 322053 612022 623027 831211 - METALLIC ACCESORIES FOR THE BATHROOM, MIXER FAUCETS, SHOWER EQUIPMENT 361231 612075 623084 NON METALLIC ACCESORIES FOR THE BATHROOM TOWEL, SOAP AND BRUSH HOLDERS ACCESORIES FOR SEWING MACHINES FOR INDUSTRIAL USE 382143 612082 831131 961112 ACCESSORIES FOR GASOLINE ENGINES FOR INDUSTRIAL USE 382211 612087 831161 961119 ACCESSORIES AND ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS FOR ASSORTED EQUIPMENT 383251 612069

13 Fragment of the table of class correspondence CMAP99 - CIIU, NAICS, CMAP
ECONOMIC ACTIVITY CIIU 3.1 NAICS CMAP94 13 FISHERIES - 1300 FISHING 130011 SHRIMP CULTIVATION 500 112511 130020 130019 OTHER WATER FAUNA CULTIVATION 112519 130021 SHRIMP FISHING 114111 130012 130022 TUNA FISHING 114112 130023 SARDINE AND ANCHOVIE FISHING 114113 130029 FISHING OF OTHER SPECIES 114119 130013

14 Sample frame recognition
The economic units may pass from one dominion to another There are changes in the composition of the economic activity It´s necesary to obtain the new structure and re-order the sample frame

15 Recognising the changes
Total of sectors, sub-sectors, branches, sub-branches and class of activity for the main activities in México* according to the classifiers CMAP94 and NAICS97 No. Sectors No. Sub-sectors No. Branches No. Sub-branches No. Class of Activity Activity CMAP94 NAICS 97 NAICS97 Total 6 15 25 76 110 250 - 518 667 787 Construction 1 3 5 17 26 Manufacturig 9 21 54 86 182 306 293 Commerce 2 16 41 67 118 142 Services 11 13 36 252 217 335 * Frame excluding the public sector

16 Recognising the changes
Table of movements between the CMAP94 sector and the NAICS sector in number of economic units CMAP94 Sector Total NAICS Sector Manufacturing Construction Commerce Services Other NAICS Sector 2,755,788 336,283 14,494 1,426,725 973,831 4,455 337,462 335,034 2,035 393 10,300 10,288 12 1,427,842 1,424,270 3,548 24 Services* 980,184 1,249 4,206 2,455 968,248 4,026 *Only considering private non financial services

17 Recognising the changes
Table of movements between the CMAP94 sector and the NAICS sector in total of occupied personnel CMAP94 Sector Total NAICS Sector Manufacturing Construction Commerce Services Other NAICS Sector 14,059,747 4,349,177 701,766 3,919,865 5,039,454 49,485 4,409,936 4,346,584 55,408 7,944 669,779 666,477 3,302 3,908,787 3,897,696 9,733 1,358 Services* 5,071,245 2,593 35,289 22,169 4,974,313 36,881 *Only considering private non financial services

18 Coverage analysis and survey redesign
As the level of the structure is lowered the differences become more acute, then we must ask… Has the sample mantained its coverage and representativity? Are there new dominions?

19 Coverage analysis and survey redesign
An example: the Monthly Industrial Survey The 205 classes became 248 The sample size increased from to establishments

20 Coverage analysis and survey redesign
Regarding deterministic designs... The sample maintains the weight in terms of: Occupied personnel? Value of the production?

21 Number of Establishments
Coverage of the number of establishments, occupied personnel and production value for two CMAP classes and their corresponding NAICS classes for the EIM CMAP NAICS Number of Establishments Occupied Personnel Production Value Frame Sample Coverage % Frame K$ Sample K$ CMAP94 Class 215 50 23.26 23 454 18 498 78.87 93.11 341021 NAICS97 Class 322121 322122 68 73.53 20 744 18 552 89.43 97.35 322220 156 42 56.92 8 724 6 435 73.76 90.23 322291 27 11 40.74 6 187 3 986 64.43 69.97 218 32 14.68 6 888 4 975 72.23 82.72 382106 333120 51 13 25.49 4 841 3 629 74.96 73.95 333220 55 6 10.91 968 307 31.71 87 963 46.18 333293 30 217 38 571 333294 7 71 12 933 333299 80 16 20.00 4 026 3 382 84.00 87.75 339111 458 25 5.46 7 196 3 720 51.70 61.89

22 Construction of parallel series
New state in the behavior of economic activity Redesign In order to: Avoid wrong interpretations Maintain comparability To maintain parallel series

23 Maintaining parallel series for the Monthly Industrial Survey
2003 2004 2005 JAN FEB MAR JAN FEB MAR JAN FEB MAR CMAP Serial NAICS Serial

24 Conclusions The B.R. isn´t only a list to identify the e.u.
The B.R. is an instrument for the production of statistical information The B.R. must be a support instrument to maintain the congruence between the results of the information production before and after the change of classifier A change in the classifier requires more than the introduction of a new field in the database to storage the new economic activity of the e.u.


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