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BLACK SEA PHYTOPLANKTON INTERCALIBRATION - BS GIG

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1 BLACK SEA PHYTOPLANKTON INTERCALIBRATION - BS GIG
COASTAL AND TRANSITIONALWATERS INTERCALIBRATION WORKSHOP Casa Don Guanella, November, 2011 BLACK SEA PHYTOPLANKTON INTERCALIBRATION - BS GIG Snejana Moncheva1, Laura Boicenko 2 1Institute of Oceanology-BAS, Parvi Mai str., No 40, P.O.Box 152, Bulgaria 2NIMRD “Grigore Antipa”, Mamaia bul., No 300, Constanta 3 , RO 5IBSS,2 Nakhimov Ave. Sevastopol, Ukraine

2 OUTLINE – MILESTONE 5 FEASIBILITY CHECK PHYTOPLANKTON METRICS PRESSURE/RESPONSE APPROACH CONCLUSSIONS

3 Common WB type BG RO Exposed-moderately exposed shallow, mezohaline

4 Stations coordinates and depths BG RO
Profil Station Coordinates Max Depth LT LG (m) Cazino CZ5M 44.242 28.642 6 CZ20M 28.708 20 CT1 44.167 28.683  Contanta CT2 28.783 32 CTS5M 44.083 28.647 CTS20M 28.688 21 Costinesti CS5M 43.945 7 CS10M 43.933 28.650 11 CS20M 28.677 Eforie Sud EF5M 44.043 28.660 EF20M 28.670 Mangalia MG5M 43.817 28.633 MG10M 43.783 28.600 MG20M 43.792 28.628 Vama Veche VV5M 43.750 28.603 VV10M 43.733 VV20M 28.620 Water Body Station Coordinates Station depth Lat Long BG2BS000C001 Krapetz 43°37.113 28°36.068 21 Krapetz' 43°34.866 28°36.788 20 BG2BS000C002 Shabla 43°31.861 28°36.399 BG2BS000C003 Rusalka 43°25.46 28°33.202 23 BG2BS000C004 Kaliakra 43°22.039 28°25.032 16 Balchick 43°22.868 28°11.845 BG2BS000C013 Albena 43°19.411 28°05.801 V-Gala 43°09.753 28°00.145 BG2BS000C005 VB-III Buna 43°12.193 27°57.288 VBay 43°11.054 27°56.254 BG2BS000C006 Kamchia 43°01.638 27°54.333 19 BG2BS000C007 Dvoinitza 42°46.147 27°55.368 30 BG2BS000C008 Nesebar 42°40.838 27°46.826 Rosenetz 42°27.816 27°31.07 15 Sarafovo 42°30.150 27°48.000 36 BG2BS000C009 Koketrais 42°38.799 27°53.28 17 BG2BS000C010 Burgas 2 42°30.019 27°40.22 28 BG2BS000C011 Sozopol 42°25.963 27°43.511 40 BG2BS000C012 Maslen nos 42°20.174 27°49.206 47 Veleka 42°05.067 27°00.233 45

5 COMMON METRICS Total abundance [cells/l] Total biomass [mg/m3]
Chlorophyll a [mg/m3] Taxonomic composition C strategy species - colonists, sensu Smayda, Reynolds (2003), as a proportion of the total abundance of Dinoflagellates - (DE %) Heterocapsa rotundata, Heterocapsa triquetra, Scrippsiella trochoidea, Prorocentrum minimum, Prorocentrum micans and Gymnodinium/Gyrodinium ; the classification boundaries are based on expert judgement , the high (2%) value is selected as an averaged value for historical data set (only for summer season) (source: Smayda, T.J. and C.S. Reynolds “Strategies of marine dinoflagellate survival and some rules of assembly”. Journal of Sea Research 49, ) The sum of the Abundance [cells/l] of species of 3 taxonomic groups (microflagellates + Euglenophyceae + Cyanophyceae) as a % from the total abundance of the phytoplankton community with the suggested classification boundaries as shown below. The classification boundaries are based on expert judgement, the high (2%) value is selected as an averaged value for historical data set (only for summer season).

6 Diversity (non-mandatory parameter) •Two nonparametric indices –
Biodiversity Index Menhinick (1964) and Evenness Index Sheldon (1969) developed originally as a phytoplankton metric for the Mediterranean Sea (source: Spatharis S., G. Tsirtsis, “Ecological quality scales based on phytoplankton for the implementation of Water Framework Directive in the Eastern Mediterranean”, Ecological Indicators, ). The proposed classification boundaries are not changed. Frequency and intensity of algal blooms - So far a classification system based on frequency and intensity of microalgal blooms has not been developed due to the lack of relevant data set and adequate frequency of sampling. The reference data ( ) are seasonal, as well as the recent data which makes quantification and the application of the 6 years monthly frequency records as suggested by some expert groups (WFD ITR, 2007) impossible. The records for the species that were the most frequent drivers of ecosystem disfunction (Prorocentrum minimum and the related hypoxia events in summer during the eutrophication period – Moncheva et al., 1995, 2001) are of little use due to the shifts in the phytoplankton taxonomic composition after 2000 (Moncheva et al, 2006).

7 Classification system
BIOMASS [mg/m3] - Summer Metric High Good Moderate Poor Bad Biomass (mg/m3) 750 2501– 5000 >5000 EQR <0.80 0.8 0.42 0.17 > 0.17 CHLOROPHYLL a [mg/m3]Summer Metric High Good Moderate Poor Bad Chl a, µg/l < 1.5 1.5 – 2.05 2.05 – 3.19 3.19 – 7.10 > 7.10 EQR < 0.80 0.80 – 0.67 0.67 – 0.43 > 0.19 ABUNDANCE [cells/l] Summer Metric High Good Moderate Poor Bad Total abundance (103 cells/l) 500 >3000 EQR <0.80 0.8 0.45 0.16 >0.16 Metric High Good Moderate Poor Bad Index Menhinick (1964) Index Sheldon (1969) Taxonomic metric High Good Moderate Poor Bad Microflagellates, Euglenophyceae, Cyanophyceae (МЕС) - % total abundance 2 25 50 75 >75 C strategy species -% of the total abundance of Dinoflagellates) EQR <0.75 0.75 0.50 0.25 >0.25

8 REFERENCE CONDITIONS Historical data from “reference” period 1960 – The threshold “bad” was based on the 90 percentile of the long-term data set from the highly eutrophication period (80-ies) and expert judgement N, B and Taxonomic based metrics Chlorophyll a BG- Due to lack of chlorophyll a measurements from the reference period and before 1990, the 10 percentile from a long-term data set ( ) was determined and its applicability tested against the results from the analysis of the phytoplankton data set – RO historical data (1976 – 1978, the earliest data from the Romanian coastal waters) using 90th percentile and expert judgement

9 For the diversity indexes the reference conditions and boundaries set for the Mediterranean Sea developed by Spatharis S. and G. Tsirtsis (2010) are used Combination rule of metrics As the single metrics reflect different aspects of phytoplankton response to environmental pressures, an integrated biological index (IBI) was calculated assuming equal weight of the single components: Abundance [cell/l]; Biomass [mg/m3], the taxonomically based indices (MEC% and DE%). The IBI was calculated as an average score of the EQR value calculated for each sample and for each single metrics to yield a final integrated score (EQR- IBI) based on which the final ecological category is assigned (the combination rule). For this integrated IBI we apply the equidistant EQR class boundaries (Spatharis S., G. Tsirtsis, 2010) EQR-IBI = (EQR-N+EQR-B+EQR-DE%+EQR-MEC%)/4 EQR-IBI-1= (EQR-N+EQR-B+EQR-DE%+EQR-MEC%+EQR-SH + EQR-M )/6 All the metrics were intercalibrated for the summer season We take only summer season because it is considered critical for the ecological status

10 COMMON DATA SET Average BAC [cells/l] stdev CV% 2318659 261722 11.3
Average abundance [cells/l] stdev and CV [%] by partners Average BAC [cells/l] stdev CV% RU 261722 11.3 BG 26535 7.0 RO UK2 294579 7.8 All 613651 20.0 Average B [mg/m3] stdev CV% RU 372 19.2 BG 103 4.5 RO UK 4 0.16 All 489 19.5 Based on testing the reproducibility of the in-house analysis (replicates) and employing the CV < 20% assumption for the total numerical abundance the results reveal a good reproducibility of the in-house replicates and very close results between the different labs, with the exception of Ukraine, where the difference was between 25-30%

11 Bacillariophyceae Dinophyceae Prymnesiophyceae Small flagellates
1.Cerataulina pelagica 2.Chaetoceros socialis 3.Chaetoceros curvisetus 4. Nitzschia tenuirostris 5. Proboscia alata 6. Pseudo-nitzschia p-delicatissima 7. Skeletonema costatum 8.Thalassionema nitzschioides Dinophyceae Ceratium fusus -1 Gyrodinium fusius -2 Heterocapsa triquetra -3 Prorocentrum compressum -4 Prorocentrum micans -5 Protoperidinium bipes -6 Protoperidinium granii -7 Scrippsiella trochoidea -8 Prymnesiophyceae Emiliania huxleyi Small flagellates For the common species biovolume comparative analysis reveal very close values between BG and RO

12 Chlorophyll a [mg/m3] Station BG RO RUS S-BG01-05 (M301) 7.53 8.08 7.13 7.85 6.11 7.97 10.19 7.92 average 7.54 8.70 7.19 stdev 0.42 1.29 0.95 CV% 5.6 14.8 13.3 S-BG01-13 0.61 0.68 0.46 0.72 0.59 0.38 0.69 0.48 0.00 0.02 0.15 3.06 30.41 S-BG01-08 (M304) 6.33 6.24 4.18 6.32 6.29 3.82 6.86 6.84 4.71 6.50 6.46 4.24 0.31 0.33 0.45 4.75 5.16 10.50 The results of chlorophyll a measurements reveal good in-house reproducibility for BG and RO and higher than 10% difference for RU The difference between the BG and RO data is within the (range average ±s 1stdev)

13 DATA BASE ROMANIA – sampling/stations

14 BULGARIA – sampling/stations

15 Inventory Pressures Pressure data Agricultural diffuse inputs
- the data represented by total agriculture surface (ha) in county - surface of cultivated area (ha) and percent (%) in county Agricultural area as % from the 1.5 km coastal land Number of stocks breeding farms and domestic animals per water body for the year 2003 Lack of adequate data of fertilizers or nutrients from diffuse sources River input - nutrients data as km3/year at Sulina branch Average annual discharge and total N and P loads [t/y] for of major rivers Domestic discharges (nutrients) - Data from WWTP North, South, Eforie South, Mangalia - sChemical parameters registered are: CBO5 (mgO2/l), NH4, NO2, NO3, Nt, Pt (mg/l), in total 1446 of data; WWTP ‘s discharge and nutrient N &P annual loads [t/y] for the period Organic loads (BOD5) - Data from WWTP Constanta North, South, Eforie South, Mangalia; 391 number of BOD5 (mgO2/l) data WWTP ‘s discharge and annual loads of BOD5 [t/y] -irregular data Industrial discharges - Data from Rompetrol refinery, SC Canopus Star, U.M. Midia and Mangalia - A number (289) of chemical parameters as BOD5 (mgO2/l), NH4, NO2, NO3, Nt, Pt (mg/l), are registered Average annual data for N and P for Burgas only Urbanization - Data are not adequate, so pressure range was calculated based on expert judgment Number of population and % of urban area in the 1.5 km coastal for the water body Tourism (nutrients) - Data as accommodation capacity (no of places), arrivals, nights spent, indices of accommodation capacity use (%) Number of arrivals and nights spent for the resorts Port activity - Data are not adequate, so pressure range was calculated based on expert jugdement. Data of ship inspections for Burgas and ports

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18 Pressures by stations

19 Correlation Coefficient r
Romania Bulgaria Correlations for summer data ( ) Marked correlations are significant at p < N=46 (Casewise deletion of missing data) NO3 (µM) NO2 (µM) NH4 (µM) DIN (µM) DIP (µM) Phytoplankton Abundance (cells/l) -0.10 0.33 0.28 Phytoplankton Biomass (mg/m3) -0.27 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.10 Chl a -0.13 0.32 0.31 0.41 Correlations for hot spot data ( ) Marked correlations are significant at p < N=11 (Casewise deletion of missing data) NO3 (µM) NO2 (µM) NH4 (µM) DIN (µM) DIP (µM) Phytoplankton Abundance (cells/l) -0.07 0.87 0.64 0.41 Phytoplankton Biomass (mg/m3) -0.16 0.71 0.53 0.52 0.35 Chl a -0.17 0.83 0.79 0.78 0.72 Correlation Coefficient r Interpretation Slight, almost negligible correlation Low, quite small correlation Moderate correlation High correlation Very high correlation

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21 Summary of Metric values and physicochemical parameters averaged per station (common RO-BG set)

22 Statistical summaries of correlation coefficients (in red statistical significant at p< .05000)

23

24 Pressure scoring for the common type sites (1-low; 2-moderate; 3-high)

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26 Scater plot of Integrated Biological Index (IBI-EQR) to the Total pressure score by stations: A) integrated BG and RO; B) BG stations C)RO stations. Both RO and BG response is identical suggesting the applicability of common classification boundaries for M/G /H (no biogeographical differences) although the confidence is low due to the inadequacy of the data sets

27 Indicate gaps of the current intercalibration
Indicate gaps of the current intercalibration. Is there something still to be done ? There is a gap of systematic phytoplankton data and complimentary pressure data, which is essential in the efforts for validation of the proposed metrics and the classification system with sufficient confidence The taxonomically based metrics are promissing if correlated to meaningful pressures at the necessary confidence level (enough data) The use of Pressure Index is promissing but the sites should be properly scored Frequency of sampling improved Pressure data with adequate time-spatial variability complimentary to the phytoplankton data

28 THANK YOU FOR THE ATTENTION
? THANK YOU FOR THE ATTENTION

29 EQR boundary between Reference status and High status is always set equal to 0.95 (HELCOM, 2010) and represents, together with the boundary between Good and Moderate status, fixed points for estimating the remaining boundaries We consider the span of highest classes is two times larger than the span of the next two classes so that: EQR Ref/High – EQRGood/Moderate = 2*(EQR Good/Moderate– EQRPoor/Bad) EQRPoor/Bad = 0.19 The boundaries between High and Good status and Moderate and Poor status are defined as midpoints between the two adjacent boundaries (HELCOM, 2010): EQRHigh/Good = 0.5*EQR Ref/High + 0.5*EQRGood/Moderate = 0.81 EQRModerate/Poor = 0.5*EQR Good/Moderate + 0.5*EQRPoor/Bad = 0.43

30 EQR-IBI- Pressure index

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