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Case Study: August 2005 moving precipitation system over West Africa

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Presentation on theme: "Case Study: August 2005 moving precipitation system over West Africa"— Presentation transcript:

1 Case Study: August 2005 moving precipitation system over West Africa
Benjamin Lamptey NCAR (RAL) July 6, 2005

2 Motivation Meso-scale (1000 – 100,000km2) – most disciplines and models can be integrated in AMMA Complies with both hydrologic and atmospheric model capabilities Scale of MCS and many surface-atmosphere interactions Scale to expected to directly benefit from EOP/SOP observations

3 Objective Compare atmospheric and hydrologic simulations between them and with observations First step in science integration – will prepare further studies based on SOP observations Need to validate MSAM outputs and ensure outputs comply with forcing of MSHM and vice-versa.

4 Model WRF version 2.1.2 Grid resolution is 12 km, 4km
Grid size: 251x201, 216x196, 31 levels BC and IC: NCEP and ECMWF Period of simulation Aug. 27:00UTC to August 30:00UTC

5 Simulation domain

6 Satellite Evidence

7 Animation 1 BMJ WSM6 ECMWF

8 Animation 2 KF Lin et al. ECMWF

9 Animation 3 KF Thompson ECMWF

10 Animation summary Animation 1 BMJ WSM6 ECMWF
Reasonable timing, wrong orientation Animation 2 KF Lin et al. 4 hour delay, reasonable orientation Animation 3 Thompson 5 hour delay, reasonable orientation

11 24-hour rain 6h-6h Aug 27 KF WSM6 ECMWF CPC WRF

12 24-hour rain 6h-6h Aug 28 KF WSM6 ECMWF WRF CPC

13 Summary WRF has the potential to simulate the moving rainfall system if an optimal model configuration for West Africa is obtained There is a qualitative agreement between WRF and CPC data for the 24 hour rainfall

14 To do list Compare results with observations (making use of more variables) Evaluation of analysis used to initialize the model –includes comparing simulation to analyses To run WRF in an operational mode over Africa (any help with funding?): Technology Transfer? WRFCM, CLM


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