1. VERIFICATION – DAY 1
- 68
- CLD: 9/10 (5)

2. FORECAST TECHNIQUES (TMP) CLIMO = 80F PERSISTENCE (YESTERDAY) = 73 MODIFIED PERSISTENCE …..

3. - svr reports = MA/NY/CT
RADAR LOOP
VERIFICATION – DAY 1
- 68
- CLD: 9/10 (5)
- SC Rain = no ( but …)
- svr reports = MA/NY/CT
WINNERS, WINNERS ……
CHICKEN DINNERS …

4. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES

5. H PA NAM MODEL FCST – 500 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES. Trough
Axis H

6. NAM MODEL FCST – 500 mb map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) TUES.

7. OLDER MODEL RUN - NAM

8. NEWER MODEL RUN - NAM

9. OLDER MODEL RUN - GFS

10. NEWER MODEL RUN - GFS

11. OLDER MODEL RUN - NAM

12. NEWER MODEL RUN - NAM

13. OLDER MODEL RUN - GFS

14. NEWER MODEL RUN - GFS

19. Penn State Weather Camps
Basic Weather Forecasting Guidelines
Sat IR – Sat V – Sat V – Sat WV - NWS - NHC – SPC – Radar - Radar
sfc. map 1 - sfc. map 2 – sfc map 3 - EWALL

20. NAM MODEL FCST – 4 PANEL map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.

21. NAM MODEL FCST – 500 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.

22. NAM MODEL FCST – SFC map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
SVR. WX.
TRIANGLE

23. NAM MODEL FCST – 700 MB map Valid at 2 p.m. (18z) WED.
E-WALL

25. MOS – Model Output S …
Accu Friends
Wx Channel Friends
NWS Friends

26. RISING AIR = CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
Ways to produce rising motion:
FRONTS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS
MOUNTAINS (ORAGRAPHY)
CONVECTION

27. Cloud top
Height ?
(50,000 ft. vs. 20,000 ft.)
500 mb
-15C
-10C
-15C