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Actuarial Information / Valuations 101

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Presentation on theme: "Actuarial Information / Valuations 101"— Presentation transcript:

1 Actuarial Information / Valuations 101
Kerry Worgan, FSA, FCIA, MAAA, Supervising Pension Actuary Julian Robinson, FSA, EA, MAAA, Senior Pension Actuary February 2018

2 Today’s Topics Actuarial Report Highlights
Non pooled plans Pooled plans Paying down the Unfunded Accrued Liability Amortization Policy Update Experience Study Impact on Valuation Results Mention that they should have gotten their report from the link Don sent out

3 Actuarial Report Highlights
Non Pooled Plans

4 Non-Pooled Report – Common Questions
What are my required contributions? Is my plan in good shape? Why did my required contributions change? Where are my required contributions headed? Where are my PEPRA members? What additional information is available in the reports?

5 Non-Pooled Plans What are my required contributions? - Cover page
Rates do not reflect any cost sharing information FY and FY projections reflect Phase in of discount rate to 7.25% and ultimately 7.00% Don’t reflect the FY asset gain of 4% We took out all cost sharing information. Too hard since you can cost share by bargaining group. This rate is the same for PEPRA and classic members. Although the employee rate changes

6 Non-Pooled Plans What are my required contributions? – Page 4
Blue box – components of your employer rate Important to note Normal cost is employer normal cost only. PEPRA people are blended in and will drive the normal cost down as the years go by Red box – “new” PEPRA minimum will be the same as employer rate for most agencies Green – prepayment number calculated by multiplying projected payroll by rate and discounting ½ year Orange box – The rate is based on your projected payroll, talk about shorting the plan if your payroll is off.

7 Non-Pooled Plans Employer Contribution comprised of 2 components
Normal Cost Rate (% of Payroll) UAL $ Amount Annual UAL Prepayment Option Only for UAL $ Amount component Normal Cost Rate must be paid regularly throughout the year

8 Non-Pooled Plans Is my plan in good shape? – Page 5
Unfunded Liability = UAL = Unfunded Accrued Liability Funded Ratio is one indicator of the plan’s health Information as of June 30, 2016 There is no more AVA. MVA numbers are what to focus on UAL payments made after 6/30/13 will affect future funded ratios, not this year Answers “is my plan in good shape?”

9 Non-Pooled Plans Why did my required contributions change? Page 14
Expected liability and asset values compared with actual values Explains changes to the UAL amount The short answer is because things did not go according to plan The big influence is the asset loss this year Total difference in experience is total Gain loss, asset the big one this year

10 Non-Pooled Plans Why did my required contributions change? – Page 15
Bases comprising the plan’s UAL 6/30/13 GL is residual balance from loss. Up until this point, you have not paid anything but interest. The new smoothing will get you to pay for prinicpal and interest which is why rates are going up

11 Non-Pooled Plans Where are my required contributions headed? – Page 5
Assumes expected return for FY and thereafter No demographic gains or losses after 6/30/16 included Total as % of Payroll for illustration purposes only This table is our best guess of where your rate is headed in the future

12 Discount Rate Change On December 21, 2016 the CalPERS Board adopted a 7% discount rate with a 3-year phase-in 7.375% to be used 6/30/2016 7.25% to be used 6/30/2017 7.00% to be used 6/30/2018 Affects all non-pooled and pooled actuarial valuations Lower discount rates result in higher accrued liabilities and normal costs Full impact of 7.00% discount rate will take 7 years due to phase-in procedures

13 Other Assumption Changes
Effective for June 30, 2017 valuation Inflation assumption 2.625% (2.50% for 6/30/18) Payroll growth 2.875% (2.75% for 6/30/18) Updated demographic assumptions Mortality rates Early Retirement rates

14 Non-Pooled Plans Where are my PEPRA members?
Non pooled plans include PEPRA members Non pooled plans require the same employer rate for all members in the plan Non pooled plans require differing employee rates Classic member rate is set by statute PEPRA member rate can be found in Appendix D

15 Normal Cost Additional Information
Normal Cost Rate for Each Group/Tier Available in June 30, 2017 report Classic formulas PEPRA formulas

16 Non-Pooled Plans Additional information – Page 22
Highly sensitive to the discount rate

17 Non-Pooled Plans Additional Information – Page 24
Highly sensitive to the discount rate Next discount rate evaluation is in 2017

18 Non-Pooled Plans Additional Information – Appendices Appendix A
Assumptions and methods used in rate setting Appendix B Descriptions of all benefit provisions offered Appendix C Participant Data Demographic information for the plan as of valuation date

19 Non-Pooled Plans Additional Information – Appendices Appendix D
Normal Cost by Group PEPRA Member Rate Information Appendix E Glossary of Actuarial Terms

20 Actuarial Report Highlights
Pooled Plans

21 Pooled Report – Common Questions
What is the difference between “pooled” and “non-pooled” plans? What are my required contributions? What is my UAL? Where are my required contributions headed? Where are my PEPRA members? What additional information is available in the reports?

22 Pooled Plans Difference between pooled and non-pooled plans
Plans with less than 100 active members are combined into Risk Pools Miscellaneous Risk Pool Safety Risk Pool Risk Pools aggregate experience of all plans for setting normal cost and actuarial gains/losses Plans are allocated pieces of the pool’s gains/losses each year Allocation based on plan’s proportionate share of the pool’s total liability

23 Pooled Plans Difference between pooled and non-pooled plans
Actuarial Valuation Reports Section 1 - Plan specific information Contribution rate Unfunded liability Plan specific projections Section 2 – Risk Pool information UAL of Risk Pool Normal Cost Rates for different benefit levels Surcharges for optional benefits New report structure

24 Pooled Plans – Section 1 What are my required contributions? - Cover page Rates do not reflect any cost sharing arrangements FY and FY projections reflect Phase in of discount rate to 7.25% and ultimately 7.00% Don’t reflect the FY asset gain due to 11.2% return Expiring side funds (if applicable) We took out all cost sharing information. Too hard since you can cost share by bargaining group. This rate is the same for PEPRA and classic members. Although the employee rate changes

25 Pooled Plans – Section 1 What are my required contributions? – Page 4
Blue box – components of your employer rate Red box – “new” required contribution, normal cost is a percentage of pay UAL payment is a monthly payment due as a dollar amount For your convenience the rate is still quoted based on an inflated payroll (orange box) Green – prepayment number calculated by multiplying projected payroll by rate and discounting ½ year only can prepay the UAL contribution by August 1 Orange box – The rate is based on your projected payroll, talk about shorting the plan if your payroll is off.

26 Pooled Plans – Section 1 Is my plan in good shape? – Page 5
Unfunded Liability = UAL = Unfunded Accrued Liability Funded Ratio is one indicator of the plan’s health Information as of June 30, 2016 There is no more AVA. MVA numbers are what to focus on UAL payments made after 6/30/13 will affect future funded ratios, not this year Answers “is my plan in good shape?”

27 Pooled Plans – Section 1 What is my UAL? – Page 8
Side Fund has been incorporated Share of pre-2013 Pool UAL is the allocation of the pool’s UAL Employers can pay off any portion of the UAL 6/30/13 GL is residual balance from loss. Up until this point, you have not paid anything but interest. The new smoothing will get you to pay for principal and interest which is why rates are going up Order of what to pay

28 Pooled Plans – Section 1 Where are my contributions headed? – Page 5
Assumes expected investment returns No demographic gains or losses after 6/30/16 included

29 Pooled Plans – Section 1 Where are my PEPRA members?
Separate Classic and PEPRA pooled plan reports produced Pooled plans require different employer contributions for Classic and PEPRA members Pooled plans also require different employee rates Normal cost rate for the group is on page 4

30 Pooled Plans – Section 1 Additional Information – Page 15
Highly sensitive to the discount rate

31 Pooled Plans – Section 1 Additional Information – Page 17
Highly sensitive to the discount rate

32 Pooled Plans – Section 2 Available on CalPERS online
in the Forms and Publications section Has pool specific information Normal Cost Rates by formula Funded status Asset information Gain/Loss Analysis

33 Pooled Plans – Section 2 Appendices
Appendix A - Actuarial Methods and Assumptions Appendix B - Principal Plan Provision Appendix C - Optional Benefit Information Appendix D - Participant Data Appendix E - Glossary

34 Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL)
Paying Down the Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL)

35 What is the Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL)
Paying Down the UAL What is the Unfunded Accrued Liability (UAL) UAL = Accrued Liability – Market Value of Plan Assets Agencies required to make minimum annual payments on the UAL Many Agencies are electing to make additional discretionary payments to save interest

36 Additional Discretionary Payments
Paying Down the UAL Additional Discretionary Payments Fiscal Year Number Amount 202 $143,763,000 243 $228,445,000 YTD (~6 mth) 213 $223,367,000

37 Paying Down the UAL Accelerated Funding Multiple ways to do it
Fresh start over a reduced period Additional Discretionary Payment (ADP) on an ad hoc basis

38 Accelerated Funding (cont’d)
Paying Down the UAL Accelerated Funding (cont’d) Fresh Start Must pay off bases faster than existing schedule Creates new higher Minimum UAL payment Significant long-term savings Inflexible

39 Accelerated Funding (cont’d)
Paying Down the UAL Accelerated Funding (cont’d) Ad hoc basis – Employer Option Short-term Savings : Apply to Shortest Base Long-term Savings : Apply to Longest Base Flexible

40 Amortization Schedules
Paying Down the UAL Amortization Schedules Page 11 of Report for Pooled Page 17 for Non-Pooled

41 Paying Down the UAL Total Payments $2,837,000 Total Payments
$2,653,300 Net Savings $183,700

42 Paying Down the UAL Total Payments $2,017,100 Total Payments
$1,915,400 Net Savings $101,700

43 Paying Down the UAL Total Payments $1,696,500 Total Payments
$1,626,800 Net Savings $69,700

44 Paying Down the UAL Total Payments $1,875,300 Total Payments
$1,787,800 Net Savings $87,500

45 Amortization Policy Update

46 Current Amortization Policy
Driver Source (Gain)/Loss Assumption/Method Change Benefit Change Golden Handshake Investment Non-investment Amortization Period 30 Years 20 Years 5 Years Escalation Rate - Active Plans * - Inactive Plans Payroll (3%) 0% 3% Ramp Up 5 Ramp Down * Reducing to 2.875% for the 6/30/2017 actuarial valuations and 2.75% for the 6/30/2018 reports.

47 Amortization Policy Effective June 30, 2019
Driver Source (Gain)/Loss Assumption/Method Change Benefit Change Golden Handshake Investment Non-investment Amortization Period 20 Years 5 Years Escalation Rate Active Plans & Inactive Plans Level Dollar Ramp Up 5 yrs Ramp Down Adopted by CalPERS Board in February 2018

48 New Amortization Policy – Asset G/L

49 New Amortization Policy - Asset G/L

50 New Amortization Policy – Asset G/L

51 New Amortization Policy – Non-Asset G/L

52 New Amortization Policy – Non-Asset G/L

53 New Amortization Policy – Non-Asset G/L
For copy of spreadsheet, send to

54 Impact on Valuation Results
Experience Study Impact on Valuation Results

55 Questions & Discussion


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