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Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Fall 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 10:00 - 10:50 Mondays, Wednesdays.

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Presentation on theme: "Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Fall 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 10:00 - 10:50 Mondays, Wednesdays."— Presentation transcript:

1 Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Fall 2017 Room 150 Harvill Building 10: :50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. Welcome

2 Lecturer’s desk Projection Booth Screen Screen Harvill 150 renumbered
Row A 15 14 Row A 13 3 2 1 Row A Row B 23 20 Row B 19 5 4 3 2 1 Row B Row C 25 21 Row C 20 6 5 1 Row C Row D 29 23 Row D 22 8 7 1 Row D Row E 31 23 Row E 23 9 8 1 Row E Row F 35 26 Row F 25 11 10 1 Row F Row G 35 26 Row G 25 11 10 1 Row G Row H 37 28 27 13 Row H 12 1 Row H 41 29 28 14 Row J 13 1 Row J 41 29 Row K 28 14 13 1 Row K Row L 33 25 Row L 24 10 9 1 Row L Row M 21 20 19 Row M 18 4 3 2 1 Row M Row N 15 1 Row P 15 1 Harvill 150 renumbered table 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Projection Booth Left handed desk

3 Schedule of readings Before next exam (September 22nd)
Please read chapters in OpenStax textbook Please read Appendix D online On syllabus this is referred to as online readings 1 Please read Chapters 1, 5, 6 and 13 in Plous Chapter 1: Selective Perception Chapter 5: Plasticity Chapter 6: Effects of Question Wording and Framing Chapter 13: Anchoring and Adjustment

4 writing assignment forms notebook and clickers to each lecture
Remember bring your writing assignment forms notebook and clickers to each lecture

5 Even if you have not yet registered your clicker you can still participate

6

7 Labs continue next week
Lab sessions Everyone will want to be enrolled in one of the lab sessions Labs continue next week Exam 1 Review

8 Overview Frequency distributions
The normal curve Mean, Median, Mode, Trimmed Mean Standard deviation, Variance, Range Mean Absolute Deviation Skewed right, skewed left unimodal, bimodal, symmetric

9 Based on difference from the mean
Deviation scores: The amount by which each observation deviates from the mean (above or below) Deviation scores Diallo is 0” (x - µ) Preston is 2” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Shea is 4 David is 0” Remember It’s relative to the mean 5’8” 5’10” 6’0” 6’2” 6’4” Based on difference from the mean

10 How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean Step 1 Find the mean David is 0” Diallo Step 2 Find each deviation score Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Step 3 Square each deviation score And add them up Step 4 Divide by n and take square root Σ(x - x) 2 2 Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N Σ(x - µ) 2 Σ(x - µ) = 0

11 These would be helpful to know by heart – please memorize
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean These would be helpful to know by heart – please memorize these formula

12 What do these two formula have in common?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean What do these two formula have in common?

13 What do these two formula have in common?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean What do these two formula have in common?

14 How do these formula differ?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean “n-1” is Degrees of Freedom” How do these formula differ?

15 “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares”
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares” “Sum of Squares” Diallo is 0” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David 0” Preston is 2” Deviation scores Remember, it’s relative to the mean “n-1” is “Degrees of Freedom” “n-1” is “Degrees of Freedom” Generally, (on average) how far away is each score from the mean? Based on difference from the mean Mean Remember, We are thinking in terms of “deviations” Diallo Please memorize these Preston Shea Mike

16 Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
Please note spatially where 1 standard deviation falls on the curve

17 Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
Please note spatially where 1 standard deviation falls on the curve 68% 95% 99.7%

18 These would be helpful to know by heart – please memorize areas
1 sd above and below mean 68% 2 sd above and below mean 95% 3 sd above and below mean 99.7% These would be helpful to know by heart – please memorize areas

19 Summary of 7 facts to memorize

20 We estimated and calculated the standard deviation
Now let’s use it as a measure of counting

21 Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
1 sd above and below mean 68% z = +1 z = -1 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 60 If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 40

22 Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
2 sd above and below mean 95% z = -2 z = +2 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 70 If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 30

23 Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
3 sd above and below mean 99.7% z = +3 z = -3 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 80 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 20

24 z score = raw score - mean standard deviation
If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 105 z = -1 z = +1 68% If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 95 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 110 z = -2 95% z = +2 If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 90 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 115 99.7% z = -3 z = +3 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 85 z score: A score that indicates how many standard deviations an observation is above or below the mean of the distribution z score = raw score - mean standard deviation

25

26 Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz

27 Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz

28 Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz Distance from the mean X Taller 2 inches
Preston is 2” taller than the mean (taller than most) Taller 2 inches Shorter X Mike is 4” shorter than the mean (shorter than most) Shorter 4 inches Taller X Equal to mean Diallo is exactly same height as mean (half taller half shorter) 0 inches Half are Shorter

29 Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz Sigma – standard deviation - population
Parameter mu – a mean – an average - population Parameter x-bar – a mean – an average - sample statistic s – standard deviation - sample statistic The number of “standard deviations” the score is from the mean population Sigma squared and s squared - variance Sigma is parameter (population) s is statistic (sample) Deviation scores (x-µ) for population (parameter) (x-x) is statistic (sample) Sum of squares On left is statistic on right is parameter Standard deviation s is statistic sigma is parameter Degrees of freedom sample

30 If it is complete and correct, hand it in now

31 z score = raw score - mean standard deviation
If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 105 z = -1 z = +1 68% If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 95 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 110 z = -2 95% z = +2 If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 90 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 115 99.7% z = -3 z = +3 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 85 z score: A score that indicates how many standard deviations an observation is above or below the mean of the distribution z score = raw score - mean standard deviation

32 Thank you! See you next time!!


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