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Spatio-temporal information in society: land change

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Presentation on theme: "Spatio-temporal information in society: land change"— Presentation transcript:

1 Spatio-temporal information in society: land change
Gilberto Câmara Licence: Creative Commons ̶̶̶̶ By Attribution ̶̶̶̶ Non Commercial ̶̶̶̶ Share Alike

2 source: Global Land Project Science Plan (IGBP)

3 Land change: A quintessential spatial problem
Soybeans Loggers Small-scale Farming Competition for land Temos que avaliar a potencialidade de uso das area em relacao aos seus usos Ranchers Source: Dan Nepstad (Woods Hole)

4 Food Security Stock : 457 Mt = 2.5 mois Trade : 265 Mt = 12% /utilis.
18% Others 14% Maize 35% Rice 20% Wheat Stock : 457 Mt = 2.5 mois Trade : 265 Mt = 12% /utilis. 31% Source : WASDE december 2009 © GEO Secretariat

5 Changes in dietary patterns: Meat consumption
FAOSTAT 2007

6 Food challenge: prices are increasing

7 Where is the food coming from and going to?
graphics: The Economist

8 Net trade on food (FAO)

9 Food trade networks

10 Biodiesel and bioethanol

11 The food challenge: search for new land
graphics: The Economist

12 The food challenge: technology gaps
source: Nature

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15 At what cost bio?

16 The Chinese are coming… to Africa
Trade between China and Africa surpassed $120 billion in China gives more loans to poor African countries than the World Bank. graphics: The Economist

17 Modelling collective spatial actions: potential GIScience contributions
Space Agent Agent Space Benenson and Torrens, “Geographic Automata Systems”, IJGIS, 2005 (but many questions remain...)

18 Spatially-explicit land change models
Explain past changes, through the identification of determining factors of land use change; Envision which changes will happen, and their intensity, location and time; Assess how choices in public policy can influence change, by building different scenarios considering different policy options.


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