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Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 28.3 Working Days in March

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Presentation on theme: "Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 28.3 Working Days in March"— Presentation transcript:

1 Mean Vacancy Duration Rose to 28.3 Working Days in March
Dr. Steven J. Davis University of Chicago Booth School of Business May 9, 2017

2 Selected Statistical Products, DHI Hiring Indicators Report
Slides 2-13 below show charts and tables produced using data from the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, and following the analytical framework and measurement methods in Davis, Faberman and Haltiwanger (2012, 2013). Steven J. Davis faculty.chicagobooth.edu/steven.davis/ May 2017

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4 Decennial Census Hiring

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7 Three-Month Moving Averages

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10 Three-Month Moving Averages

11 Recruiting Intensity Index By Industry and Time Period
2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan.-Mar. 2017 Resources 0.99 1.06 1.05 0.70 1.00 0.98 1.04 0.89 1.03 1.25 Construction 1.07 0.90 1.01 0.94 0.88 0.87 Manufacturing 1.02 1.09 0.95 0.85 0.92 0.93 0.96 Wholesale and Retail Trade 1.10 0.84 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 1.13 1.11 1.12 Information 1.08 0.83 0.91 1.16 1.14 Financial Services Professional and Business Services Education Health Services 0.97 Leisure and Hospitality Other Services Government Non-Farm 0.86

12 Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working Days)
By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan.-Mar. 2017 Resources 12.0 14.0 18.1 13.5 18.7 17.4 22.5 17.5 13.0 17.3 Construction 7.9 8.8 7.3 4.3 6.1 9.5 10.9 11.4 14.9 11.2 Manufacturing 20.9 21.6 13.8 23.4 28.4 29.2 30.4 32.1 30.9 Wholesale and Retail Trade 14.2 15.8 15.5 13.1 15.9 19.8 18.6 21.0 24.1 23.7 Warehouse, Trans. & Utilities 17.0 20.6 11.3 18.2 23.9 29.1 27.3 25.1 Information 25.8 36.0 34.5 40.9 36.4 36.8 35.6 26.7 Financial Services 28.0 27.6 25.7 33.3 36.1 37.1 43.1 44.7 46.8 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 22.0 27.0 26.3 25.5 Education 25.0 18.5 21.1 26.5 29.9 28.8 31.8 Health Services 39.1 35.8 29.8 33.5 34.6 38.4 44.6 47.7 49.7 Leisure and Hospitality 13.7 14.8 10.4 13.3 19.3 19.7 19.5 Other Services 25.2 16.9 18.9 20.1 22.2 30.1 29.7 Government 33.2 30.7 35.7 32.2 33.0 35.9 37.7 37.8 37.9 Non-Farm 20.0 26.9 27.7

13 Focus on Professional & Business Services
Mean Vacancy Duration (Number of Working days) By Industry and Time Period 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan.-Mar. 2017 Professional and Business Services 18.3 19.9 21.3 16.6 18.8 19.6 22.0 27.0 26.3 25.5 Private 19.3 20.1 15.5 19.0 21.6 23.2 26.1 27.3 Non-Farm 20.0 21.1 22.5 24.1 26.9 28.0 27.7 Recruiting Intensity Index 1.08 1.07 0.90 0.83 0.94 0.96 1.00 1.01 1.03 0.98 1.05 0.95 0.86 0.92 0.99 1.02

14 Mean Vacancy Duration by Establishment Size
Selected Time Periods Class Size 2001 to 2003 2004 to 2005 2006 2008 2009 2010 to 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan.-Nov 2016 1-9 19.4 18.2 17.2 19.9 13.3 16.7 19.2 23.3 27.8 27.0 10-49 15.2 14.9 17.4 16.5 12.9 15.7 19.0 20.7 22.9 25.8 50-249 17.0 19.3 15.1 17.9 21.0 21.2 24.8 21.5 25.4 17.7 24.4 24.0 26.5 29.4 30.5 36.3 34.8 44.2 35.8 30.8 34.4 37.2 36.7 39.5 5000+ 48.8 44.3 39.4 39.9 40.8 55.9 56.7 57.0 60.8 58.5 Recruiting Intensity Index By Establishment Size and Time Period Jan.-Nov. 2016 0.98 1.10 1.06 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.90 0.9 1.05 1.07 0.89 0.99 1.0 1.09 1.08 0.81 0.91 1.01 0.84 1.00 1.04 1.14 1.2 0.97 1.11 1.35 1.12 0.78 0.79 0.83

15 References Davis, Steven J. and Brenda Samaniego de la Parra (2017), “Application Flows,” working paper, University of Chicago Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2012), “Recruiting Intensity during and after the Great Recession: National and Industry Evidence,” American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings, 102, no. 3 (May), Davis, Steven J., R. Jason Faberman and John Haltiwanger (2013), “The Establishment-Level Behavior of Vacancies and Hiring,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128, no. 2 (May), Hornstein, Andreas, Marianna Kudlyak and Fabian Lange, 2014, “Measuring Resource Utilization in the Labor Market,” Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, 1Q 2014.


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