1. Incidence of Acute Pancreatitis Does Not Increase During Oktoberfest, but Is Higher Than Previously Described in Germany 
Veit Phillip, Wolfgang Huber, Frank Hagemes, Sandra Lorenz, Ulrike Matheis, Sigrid Preinfalk, Tibor Schuster, Florian Lippl, Bernd Saugel, Roland M. Schmid 
Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 
Volume 9, Issue 11, Pages e3 (November 2011)
DOI: /j.cgh
Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

2. Figure 1
Etiology of AP in different populations. Bar plot showing the crude (nonstandardized) percentage of alcoholic (black) and biliary (gray) etiology of acute pancreatitis in different populations.
Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, e3DOI: ( /j.cgh )
Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

3. Figure 2
Etiology of AP. Bar plot showing the etiology of acute pancreatitis during the observation period (P1, P2, P3; n = 188).
Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, e3DOI: ( /j.cgh )
Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

4. Figure 3
Frequency of AAP. Bar plot showing the percentage of acute attacks of alcoholic pancreatitis of all acute pancreatitis during the Oktoberfest (P2) and the control periods (P1, P3); % (n).
Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, e3DOI: ( /j.cgh )
Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions

5. Supplementary Figure 1
Predictors for different etiologies of acute pancreatitis. (A) ROC curves showing the predictive value for alcoholic etiology of chronic alcohol intake (cutoff >20 g per day, sensitivity of 73%, specificity of 86%, ROC-AUC 0.866, P < .001) and chronic nicotine intake (>7.5 py, sensitivity of 80%, specificity of 71%, ROC-AUC 0.755, P < .001). (B) ROC curves showing the predictive value for biliary etiology of age (cutoff >69.5 years, specificity of 92%, sensitivity of 57%, ROC-AUC 0.759, P < .001) and ALT (cutoff >105 U/L, specificity of 82%, sensitivity of 60%, ROC-AUC 0.733, P < .001). (C) ROC curves showing the predictive value for death of BUN (cutoff 42 mg/dL, ROC-AUC 0.918), alkaline phosphatase (cutoff 282 U/L, ROC-AUC 0.861) and C-reactive protein (cutoff 16 mg/dL, ROC-AUC 0.855).
Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology 2011 9, e3DOI: ( /j.cgh )
Copyright © 2011 AGA Institute Terms and Conditions