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MU Retirees Association Retirement Plan Update March 17, 2018
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S&P 500 Monthly Returns Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 1992 -2.0% 1.0% -2.2% 2.8% 0.1% -1.7% 3.9% -2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 3.0% 1993 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% -2.5% 2.3% -0.5% 3.4% -1.0% -1.3% 1994 3.3% -3.0% -4.6% 1.2% -2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 2.1% -4.0% 1995 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 0.0% 4.0% 4.1% 1.7% 1996 0.8% 1.3% 5.4% 2.6% 7.3% 1997 6.1% 0.6% -4.3% 5.8% 5.9% 4.4% 7.8% -5.8% 5.3% -3.5% 4.5% 1.6% 1998 7.0% 5.0% -1.9% -1.2% -14.6% 6.2% 8.0% 5.6% 1999 -3.2% -0.6% -2.9% 6.3% 2000 -5.1% 9.7% -3.1% -1.6% -5.4% -8.0% 0.4% 2001 3.5% -9.2% -6.4% 7.7% 0.5% -1.1% -8.2% 1.8% 7.5% 2002 -2.1% 3.7% -6.1% -0.9% -7.3% -7.9% -11.0% 8.6% 5.7% -6.0% 2003 8.1% 5.1% 5.5% 2004 -3.4% 1.4% 2005 -1.8% -0.1% 2006 2.5% 2007 4.3% 1.5% -4.4% 2008 4.8% -8.6% -9.1% -16.9% -7.5% 2009 8.5% 9.4% 7.4% 2010 -3.7% 2.9% 6.9% -4.7% 8.8% -0.2% 6.5% 2011 -1.4% -5.7% -7.2% 10.8% 2012 3.1% -0.8% -6.3% 2.0% 0.3% 2013 -1.5% 2014 -3.6% -0.4% 2015 8.4% 2016 -5.0% 6.8% 2017 2018
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Total Portfolio Returns
(as of December 31, 2017) 1 Year Actual 1 Year Benchmark Policy Objective* Total Portfolio 13.8 13.2 7.2 * Policy Objective lowered from 7.75% to 7.20% September 2017. For calendar year 2017, public equities delivered the largest absolute returns at nearly 24%, with private equity, private debt and real estate posting strong results as well. All asset classes had positive returns in 2017, which is somewhat unusual.
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Longer-Term Returns 3 Year Return 7.2 6.4 5 Year Return 7.7 7.6
(as of December 31, 2017) Retirement Plan Actual Benchmark Policy Objective* 3 Year Return 7.2 6.4 5 Year Return 7.7 7.6 7 Year Return 7.5 10 Year Return 4.8 4.9 * Policy Objective lowered from 7.75% to 7.20% September 2017.
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Asset Allocation Objectives
Reduce public equity allocation Reduce credit risk exposure Increase US TIPs and US Treasuries Expand portable alpha program Improve portfolio balance Reduce portfolio risk
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Asset Allocation Changes
(approved by the Board of Curators – September 28, 2017) Prior New Global Equity 37% 32% Private Equity 10% Private Debt 0% 3% Global Fixed Income 4% Sovereign Bonds 15% Inflation-Linked Bonds 17% Prior New Emerging Markets Debt 6% 0% Opportunistic Debt 12% Hedge Funds Real Estate 8% Risk Balanced 10% Commodities 3% 5% *Portable alpha program increases from 7% to 20% of capital.
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Asset Allocation Changes
Prior New Mean Expected Return 6.8% 7.2% Standard Deviation 11.5% 10.2% Sharpe Ratio 0.46 0.54 Actuarial Return Assumption 7.75% 7.20% * Revisions to actuarial assumptions will be considered by the Board of Curators at the December 2017 meeting.
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New Portfolio Mix - Range of Outcomes
New Portfolio – Range of Rolling Five Year Outcomes ( )
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Retirement Plan Investment Objectives
(approved by the Board of Curators – September 28, 2017) Retirement Plan investments should be managed in a manner that maximizes returns while attempting to minimize losses during adverse economic and market events, with an overall appetite for risk governed by the Plan’s liability structure and the need to make promised benefit payments to members over time. This will be accomplished through a more ‘risk-balanced’ portfolio that seeks meaningful diversification of assets, which necessarily means less equity risk and more long-term bond exposure relative to peers. To offset potentially lower returns from a more risk-balanced portfolio, a key component of this strategy includes a less common, yet prudent, program of return enhancement commonly referred to in the investment industry as portable alpha. These investment objectives seek to prioritize the long-term structural needs of the Retirement Plan over short-term performance comparisons of the investment portfolio relative to peers.
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