1. Briefing to the FPAW Forum National Weather Service
Progress in Forecasting and Product Generation
Briefing to the FPAW Forum
NBAA Convention
October 13, 2004
Kevin Johnston
National Weather Service

2. Overview
TAF Improvements
Human In Forecast Loop
Volcanic Ash

3. TAFs Significant Improvement in FAR with little change in POD
Training; Low C&V course
New Tools; AVNFPS not just an observing tool
Forecast Techniques and Guidance automated and interactive with forecasters
SFO project transfer
Site-specific TAFs
Part of NWS and FAA CONOPS
Climatology Developed
Decision Aids Translate Impact
More TAFs
As requirements evolve-AVNFPS can help

4. Human In The Loop (HITL)
Key component of JPDO effort through early and mid-phases
Need to construct process to determine where, when and how human aids value
MDL work with CIP/FIP and GTG
Begin testing this month
NCAR work with SR on Auto-nowcaster to improve initiation of convection

5. Volcanic Ash New collaboration tools in AR GOES 12 Detection
Two-Band Split Window Technique
Two IR bands available at 4km every 30 minutes
New algorithm to detect ash from Imager Infrared brightness temperature