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Making and Using Graphs
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Types of graphs Scatter diagram: A graph of the value of one variable against the value of another variable Time-series graph: A graph that measures time on the x-axis and the variable or variables of interest on the y-axis. Cross-section graph: A graph that shows the values of a variable for different groups in the population at a point in time.
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1991 1999 Scatter diagram 1959
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Source: U.S. News and World Report
115 U.S. universities Source: U.S. News and World Report
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Recessions are shaded
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Source: Authors’ calculations using the March Demographic Files of the Current Population Survey
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Cross-section graph Source: The Economist
Unemployment rates in industrialized countries, May 2000 Cross-section graph Source: The Economist
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Relationships among variables
Variables X and Y have a positive or direct relationship if, ceteris paribus, they move in the same direction. Variables X and Y have a negative or inverse relationship if, ceteris paribus, they move in opposite directions. The relationship between X and Y is linear if it can be described by a straight line.
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Direct, linear Distance traveled in 5 hours (miles) 300 200 40 60
40 60 Speed (MPH)
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Direct, nonlinear Recovery time (MINUTES) 30 20 100 200 400
100 200 400 Distance sprinted (Yards)
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Inverse, linear Time partying (Hours) 5 5 Time studying (Hours)
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Advertising ($1,000’s per Mo.)
Linear graphs Advertising ($1,000’s per Mo.) Sales ($1,000’s per Mo.) 40 2 46 3 49 6 58 7 61 11 73 12 76 The Jewelry Mart
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We want to describe the (causal) relationship between sales and advertising using a simple linear equation—because, as it turns out, the relationship is linear Let Y denote sales per month (in $1,000’s) Let X denote advertising per month (in $1,000’s) Thus we have: Y = f(X) Where Y is the dependent variable and X is the independent (explanatory variable)
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Relationship is linear
76 73 F E Sales ($1,000’s per mo.) 49 46 B 40 A 2 3 11 12 Advertising ($1,000’s per mo.)
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Where a is the intercept and b is the slope coefficient.
Now we want to describe the relationship by a linear equation like this: Y = a + bX Where a is the intercept and b is the slope coefficient.
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The intercept (a) Y a > 0 a = 0 X a < 0
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Computing the slope of a line
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The slope (b) b > 0 Y a b = 0 b < 0 X
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Now let’s compute the slope of this line
76 73 F E Sales ($1,000’s per mo.) 49 46 B 40 A Notice that a = $40 2 3 11 12 Advertising ($1,000’s per mo.)
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Moving from point A to B (or from point E to F), the vertical change is $3 and the horizontal change is $1. Thus our slope is equal to 3 Interpretation: A $1,000 increase in monthly advertising expenditures will result in a $3,000 increase in monthly jewelry sales(and vice-versa), other things being equal.
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Thus we have: Y = X Suppose that the management of the Jewelry Mart have set a monthly sales target of $64,000. How much advertising is necessary to meet the target? Y = X Hence: 64 = X 24 = 3X X = 8 The Jewelry Mart needs to spend $8,000 per month on advertising to achieve the sales target.
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